Tottenham Hotspur - Borussia Dortmund prediction & tips 20.01.2026
Tottenham Hotspur welcome Borussia Dortmund to North London on Tuesday, 20th January 2026, at 21:00 for a crucial Champions League encounter on matchday 7. Both sides currently occupy identical positions with 11 points each, though Dortmund sit marginally higher in 10th place compared to Spurs' 11th position in the league phase table. The match takes place at the Tottenham Hotspur Stadium, where the hosts have maintained a perfect home record in this season's European campaign.
Our Betting Prediction for Tottenham Hotspur vs Borussia Dortmund
Our betting tip for this encounter centres on a draw at odds of 3.58 available at 1win. Both teams arrive at this fixture with identical records of three victories, two draws, and one defeat in the Champions League, suggesting a closely contested affair awaits. The value proposition becomes particularly appealing when considering Tottenham's recent domestic struggles contrasted against Dortmund's improved away form in European competition.
Our second betting prediction focuses on both teams to score, available at 1.62 with Paripesa. Tottenham have netted 13 goals while conceding seven in their Champions League campaign, whilst Dortmund have been even more prolific with 19 goals scored, albeit conceding 13. The attacking capabilities of both sides, combined with defensive vulnerabilities, particularly evident in Dortmund's recent 2-2 draw with FK Bodoe/Glimt, support this market selection.
Tottenham Hotspur Form Analysis
Tottenham arrive at this fixture following a disappointing 1-2 home defeat to Aston Villa, highlighting their inconsistent domestic form which has seen them secure just one victory in their last five matches across all competitions. However, their European campaign tells a markedly different story, with Thomas Frank's side maintaining an unblemished home record in the Champions League this season, securing three victories from three matches at their North London fortress.
The Lilywhites demonstrated their European credentials with a commanding 3-0 victory over Slavia Praha in their most recent Champions League outing, showcasing the attacking prowess that has yielded 13 goals in six European fixtures. Their defensive solidity at home has been particularly impressive, conceding no goals in their three Champions League home matches, a stark contrast to their domestic vulnerabilities.
Frank's tactical approach has proven effective in European competition, with his side accumulating 11 points from six matches, placing them in contention for qualification to the knockout stages. The Danish manager's emphasis on high-intensity pressing and quick transitions has served Tottenham well in the Champions League, though translating this consistency to domestic competition remains challenging. Their recent European form across seasons shows two victories, two draws, and one defeat in their last five Champions League encounters, indicating a gradual improvement in continental competition.
Borussia Dortmund's European Campaign
Borussia Dortmund approach this encounter in notably better form than their hosts, remaining unbeaten in their last five matches across all competitions with two victories and three draws. Their most recent outing saw them secure a convincing 3-0 home victory over Werder Bremen, demonstrating the attacking fluidity that has characterised their season under Niko Kovač's guidance.
The German giants have accumulated 11 points in the Champions League, matching Tottenham's tally whilst occupying 10th position due to superior goal difference. Their 19 goals scored represent one of the more impressive attacking returns in the competition, though defensive concerns persist having conceded 13 goals. This vulnerability was evident in their most recent European fixture, a 2-2 home draw with FK Bodoe/Glimt, where they surrendered a commanding position.
Kovač has implemented an attacking philosophy that prioritises offensive output, often at the expense of defensive stability. Their away record in the Champions League shows one victory, one draw, and one defeat, suggesting they possess the capability to secure positive results on their travels. The Croatian manager's tactical flexibility has been evident throughout their European campaign, with Dortmund demonstrating resilience in challenging away fixtures. Their recent Champions League form across seasons indicates three victories, one draw, and one defeat in their last five encounters, highlighting their pedigree in European competition.
Last Direct Encounters
The recent head-to-head record heavily favours Tottenham, who have secured four victories compared to Dortmund's solitary success in their last five meetings across all competitions. Their most recent encounter resulted in a 1-0 away victory for Tottenham, continuing their dominance in this fixture. This psychological advantage could prove significant, particularly given Tottenham's impressive home form in European competition this season.
However, historical precedent must be weighed against current form trajectories, with Dortmund arriving in considerably better shape than their hosts. The German side's unbeaten run in recent fixtures contrasts sharply with Tottenham's inconsistent displays, suggesting the head-to-head advantage may be less influential than current momentum.
Recent Form Comparison
The contrasting recent form of both sides represents a crucial factor in this encounter. Tottenham's domestic struggles, evidenced by just one victory in their last five matches, stand in stark opposition to their European excellence. Conversely, Dortmund's unbeaten streak across all competitions demonstrates their current confidence and tactical cohesion under Kovač's stewardship.
Tottenham's latest result, a 1-2 home defeat to Aston Villa, highlighted defensive frailties that could be exploited by Dortmund's potent attacking arsenal. Meanwhile, Dortmund's 3-0 victory over Werder Bremen showcased their clinical finishing and tactical discipline, attributes that will prove valuable in this challenging away fixture.
Betting Markets and Odds Analysis
Our extensive experience working with leading bookmakers and analysing betting markets across the industry indicates significant value in the draw market at 3.58. The closely matched statistics between both sides, combined with Tottenham's home advantage against Dortmund's superior current form, suggests a stalemate represents the most likely outcome.
Many betting sites with welcome bonus offers provide enhanced odds for new customers, making this an opportune moment for newcomers to capitalise on welcome bonus sites. The both teams to score market at 1.62 offers compelling value given the attacking capabilities of both sides and their defensive vulnerabilities demonstrated throughout the Champions League campaign.
Conclusion
This encounter presents a fascinating contrast between Tottenham's European home fortress and Dortmund's superior current form. The identical points tally and similar Champions League records suggest a closely contested affair, supporting our prediction of a draw. Tottenham's perfect home European record provides confidence, whilst Dortmund's unbeaten run across all competitions indicates their capability to secure a positive result. The attacking prowess of both sides, evidenced by their goal-scoring records in the Champions League, strongly supports the both teams to score market, making this our recommended secondary betting option for this intriguing encounter.