Our football betting expert Jones Knows provides his insight across the weekend Premier League card.
Brighton vs Nottingham Forest, Sunday 2pm, live on Sky Sports
Elliot Anderson has been nudged further forward under new boss Vitor Pereira - and the player himself has admitted the message is clear: more end product, more presence in the final third and importantly for us more shots.
Music to the ears of anyone who plays in the player-prop markets.
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If you factor in the super-sub concession, he's fired off 17 shots across his last four appearances. For a player who, earlier in the season, was often stationed deeper and tasked with linking play rather than finishing it the algorithms that price the shots markets are lagging behind this positional tweak.
At 11/8 with Sky Bet for two or more shots, the line feels based on Anderson's old role, not his new one.
SCORE PREDICTION: 1-2
Fulham vs Tottenham, Sunday 2pm, live on Sky Sports
The relegation alarm bells are sounding for Tottenham, who are now 5/1 to be a Championship team next season.
With 11 games to go, that's real money being matched. We're no longer discussing the unthinkable. We're discussing the plausible.
They're in enormous danger.
And what should worry everyone associated with the club most, isn't just the results, it's the identity crisis. They look caught between philosophies and styles. There's an injury situation that's bitten hard. And when the pressure has gone up, the response hasn't been there so far.
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Fulham have won all five of their Premier League games against bottom-five sides this season. They've also won the last two Premier League meetings with Spurs.
And this is the key point: Fulham know exactly who they are. Structured. Aggressive in the right moments. Calm in possession. Against a side operating like a bottom-three team, at home, that's massive.
Do Spurs have the stomach for this? The mentality? The scrap? Because right now, all the underlying indicators say no. Fulham at Evens with Sky Bet looks good to me.
SCORE PREDICTION: 3-1
Manchester United vs Crystal Palace, Sunday 2pm, live on Sky Sports
This is one of those scheduling spots where Manchester United being out of Europe gives them a huge advantage. Oliver Glasner has developed a very clear pattern. When there's a knockout game in Europe, everything goes into it. Emotionally, tactically, physically, the dial gets turned up. The issue? The league game that follows often pays the price.
Across the last eight league fixtures immediately after a midweek knockout match, Glasner's teams have lost six, drawn one and won just once. And even that victory - against Wolves last weekend - had more than a whiff of fortune about it. Fine margins went their way.
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Now they head to face Manchester United who have started to find some rhythm. There's been more purpose in their attacking play. At 11/8 with Sky Bet for Manchester United to win by two or more goals, you're getting a price that doesn't fully account for a predicted post-Europe wobble from Palace.
SCORE PREDICTION: 4-0
Arsenal vs Chelsea, Sunday 4.30pm, live on Sky Sports
This fixture for Arsenal is one of only two remaining in the Premier League against another current top six opponent. The other is the trip to Manchester City in April.
Chelsea tend to raise their game when faced with a big fixture but Arsenal's defensive process is just too reliable to ignore when assessing the prices for this encounter. Arsenal's underlying process remains the best in the league by a fair way with goals being conceded because of mistakes or low probability shots going in from distance.
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The last open-play Premier League goal they conceded inside the box that didn't come from an individual error was Ollie Watkins' consolation for Aston Villa on December 30. That's nine games ago.
They haven't allowed a properly constructed, carved-open, inside-the-box goal in that time. That is elite defensive control. The classic bet of Arsenal to win and under 3.5 goals at 11/8 with Sky Bet, which has landed in seven of their last 11 home Premier League matches, has a fine chance of landing.
SCORE PREDICTION: 2-0