We look ahead to Saturday’s Premier League game at the Tottenham Hotspur Stadium between Spurs and Fulham with our prediction and preview.
Tottenham vs Fulham: The Key Stats
Though they have won just one home league game this season, the Opta supercomputer considers Spurs to be strong favourites for this match against Fulham, winning 53.2% of simulations.
No side have earned fewer away points than Fulham in the Premier League this season (1), while only Wolves (1) have earned fewer at home than Spurs (5).
Richarlison has scored 16 goals in his last 22 Premier League starts for Spurs, netting in his last two against Man Utd and Arsenal.
It would be fair to say that Thomas Frank has not lived up to expectations so far as coach of Tottenham Hotspur. The club sit ninth in the Premier League table – albeit in a clustered set of standings where a win could catapult them into the European spots – but it’s the more performances that are of concern.
The near-defeat of Paris Saint-Germain in the UEFA Super Cup, followed by win-to-nil victories over Burnley and Manchester City, suggested that Frank may be able to use the momentum of their Europa League triumph to turn them into a force to be reckoned with once more.
Instead, his team has appeared poorer and poorer as the campaign has progressed, and early-season promise has given way to the realisation that there is a great deal of work to be done if they are to become competitive at the top of the table.
They have overperformed their expected goals more than any other side in the Premier League this season, netting almost nine goals more than their xG suggests (20 goals, 11.2 xG).
You cannot hide from xG forever, and the results have fallen off a cliff of late.
Spurs have won just two of their last nine games in all competitions, and this run includes some of their worst performances in recent times – a 1-0 defeat at home to Chelsea in which they recorded 0.10 expected goals, and a 4-1 defeat away to Arsenal where their xG figure was 0.07.
They are the two worst performances for xG across the entire Premier League this season and are more becoming of a side destined for relegation.
Even in defence, there has been a great deal of slippage. Spurs have conceded seven goals in their three Premier League games in November, as many as they had in their nine games across August, September and October combined.
There was a spark of life in midweek when they led twice away to PSG in the Champions League, but they ultimately fell to a 5-3 defeat, and it would be dishonest to take too many positives from a game in which they conceded five goals in a 31-minute window.
You would think that a home match against a 15th-placed Fulham would be a perfect fixture to course-correct their season, but the truth is that you will find few Spurs fans who are confident of a win, and they have good reason to doubt their side at home.
Spurs would be second bottom, ahead of just Wolverhampton Wanderers, in a table accounting only for results on home soil this season, with five points from six games at the Tottenham Hotspur Stadium.
Of the 17 ever-present sides across the last two seasons, none have won fewer home games (3), lost more home games (9), or earned fewer home points (12) in 2025 than Spurs. They haven’t lost 10 home league games in a single calendar year since 2003 (10).
The good news for Spurs fans is that Fulham are as poor away as Spurs are at home.
Marco Silva’s side have earned just one point on their travels this season, the joint-lowest total in the Premier League this season (Wolves, again).
Indeed, the Cottagers have lost their last five on the road in the Premier League, last having a longer run between January and April 2019 (7).
Even though Fulham are as poor as they have ever been under Silva, they have still won two of their last three league matches – important contests against Wolves and Sunderland – and they have a habit of avoiding ever truly being in danger of relegation under the Portuguese coach.
Fulham have had problems with injuries this season, but their squad is starting to shape again. Their only expected absences for this game are Rodrigo Muniz and Antonee Robinson.
Spurs meanwhile will be without the suspended Cristian Romero, while the likes of Dejan Kulusevski, Dominic Solanke and James Maddison remain out.
Tottenham vs Fulham Head-to-Head
The last meeting between these sides saw Fulham beat Spurs 2-0 at Craven Cottage in March of this year, with a tight affair altered in the 78th minute when Muniz scored from the bench, before former Spurs man Ryan Sessegnon added a second late on.
After winning eight of their nine Premier League games against Fulham between 2013 and 2023 (D1), Spurs are now winless in their last three against the Cottagers (D1 L2).
Fulham have won two of their last three Premier League games against Spurs (D1), as many as they had in their previous 23 against them (D6 L15).
Tottenham have lost 1-0 against Chelsea and 4-1 against Arsenal in their last two league London derbies. They’ve not lost three in a row in the same campaign since September/October 2021 (a run of four).
Tottenham vs Fulham Prediction
Spurs were victorious in 53.2% of the Opta supercomputer’s simulations. A draw was the second most likely outcome, occurring in 24% of simulations, while Fulham came out on top in 22.8% of sims.
Tottenham vs Fulham Predicted Lineups
Tottenham Hotspur: Guglielmo Vicario, Pedro Porro, Kevin Danso, Micky van de Ven, Destiny Udogie, Rodrigo Bentancur, João Palhinha, Mohammed Kudus, Xavi Simons, Wilson Odobert, Richarlison.
Head coach: Thomas Frank
Fulham: Bernd Leno, Kenny Tete, Joachim Andersen, Calvin Bassey, Ryan Sessegnon, Sander Berge, Alex Iwobi, Harry Wilson, Josh King, Kevin, Raúl Jiménez.
Head coach: Marco Silva
Opta Power Rankings
The Opta Power Rankings are a global team ranking system. They assign an ability score to over 15,000 domestic football teams. This score is on a scale between zero and 100, where zero is the worst-ranked team in the world and 100 is the best team in the world.
Ahead of kick-off this weekend, here is the Opta Power Ranking for both sides.