We look ahead to Saturday’s Premier League game at the Tottenham Hotspur Stadium with our Tottenham vs Liverpool prediction and preview.
Tottenham vs Liverpool: The Key Stats
Liverpool are the favourites with the Opta supercomputer, with their chances of a win over Tottenham rated at 42.3%.
Tottenham have won just twice in their previous 25 Premier League meetings with Liverpool.
Spurs forward Richarlison has been involved in more Premier League goals against the Reds than against any other team.
It wasn’t long ago that Arne Slot was the manager most under pressure in the Premier League. This dishonour has since passed to Thomas Frank, so there’s a lot riding on Tottenham’s match with Liverpool on Saturday.
While this is Frank’s first meeting with Liverpool since becoming Spurs boss, they do not have a good record against the champions. Slot’s men won both Premier League meetings last season by 6-3 and 5-1 scorelines. Only the Reds themselves have scored 5+ goals in three consecutive games against an opponent in the competition, doing so against Norwich between September 2012 and December 2013.
Even if they don’t go crazy this time around, Liverpool rarely fail to score in this fixture. They found the net in 25 of their previous 26 Premier League games against Spurs, including the last 19 in a row. Only against Arsenal (a current run of 20) have they had a longer scoring streak in the competition.
It’s little wonder then that Liverpool versus Tottenham is the top scoring fixture in Premier League history, with 206 goals. The last three league meetings saw 21 goals, with at least three scored in 14 of the previous 16 clashes.
This trend looks likely to continue, too. Among ever present teams in the last two Premier League seasons, only Bournemouth (16) have conceded two or more goals in more away games than Liverpool (15). In their last 17 on the road, the Reds either kept a clean sheet (6) or conceded 2+ goals (11).
While Tottenham kept Brentford out in their last league game at home, their defensive record is also a concern. They have lost four Premier League games by 3+ goals in 2025, including a 3-0 loss at Nottingham Forest last time out. Only in 1997 (5) and 2014 (6) have they lost more matches by 3+ goals in a calendar year in the competition.
Three of those four heavy losses occurring on the road makes it less likely Liverpool will win so handsomely here. Equally, Spurs have lost 10 home league games in 2025, their joint most in a year along with 1994 and 2003.
Much will depend on the teams Frank and Slot can select, as both are dealing with depleted squads. Spurs look to be without eight players, the most notable of which include Dejan Kulusevski, James Maddison, Dominic Solanke and Destiny Udogie. While they are all injured, Pape Sarr is now on AFCON duty.
The same can be said for Mohamed Salah, though that may be a blessing in disguise for Slot given the recent distractions around the Egyptian. The Liverpool head coach’s options remain limited though. Conor Bradley is back from suspension, which is well timed given Joe Gomez will miss some games with a hamstring issue. Wataru Endo and Cody Gakpo are also out, though Dominik Szoboszlai could be available despite limping off with an ankle problem in the win over Brighton last weekend. Jeremie Frimpong is close to a return, but this game will likely come too soon for him.
As much as Alexander Isak has a great record against Tottenham, with six goals in his last four appearances against them, Hugo Ekitiké should retain his place up front for Liverpool. He netted braces against Leeds and Brighton in his last two Premier League matches; only Luis Suárez has scored multiple goals in three consecutive Premier League games for Liverpool (four in December 2013). His run included goals in a 5-0 win at White Hart Lane.
If Tottenham are to win, their hopes may rest with Richarlison. The Brazilian has been involved in seven Premier League goals against Liverpool (four goals, three assists), more than against any other opponent. A potential fly in the ointment is that his goals have all been at Anfield, but against a Liverpool side that concedes plenty on the road, the former Everton man will be confident of making an impact.
It promises to be a fascinating game, with Frank hoping for a win to ease the building pressure on his head, while Slot will be eager to make it three wins in a row in all competitions and maintain some much-needed momentum for his team.
Tottenham vs Liverpool Head-to-Head
There won’t be many matchups between big clubs in top leagues that have been as one-sided as this one in recent times.
Tottenham have won just two of their last 25 Premier League games against Liverpool (losing 17), picking up home wins in October 2017 (4-1) and September 2023 (2-1). The latter of those victories needed a wrongly-disallowed Luis Díaz goal, red cards for Curtis Jones and Diogo Jota plus a stoppage time own goal winner from Joel Matip.
Across their two Premier League meetings last season, Liverpool scored 11 goals and were able to fire away 49 shots as they enjoyed 6-3 and 5-1 victories against a porous Tottenham defence.
One positive for Spurs is their 1-0 win in the Carabao Cup semi-final first leg when these teams last met in north London in January. But the other three meetings in 2024-25 ended 6-3, 4-0 and 5-1 to the Reds.
Tottenham vs Liverpool Prediction
The Opta supercomputer predicts Liverpool will continue their excellent record against Tottenham with a win.
Arne Slot’s side were victorious in 42.3% of the 10,000 simulations of the match. That makes it 10 percentage points more likely than a Spurs win (32.3%), with a draw taking up the 25.4% that remains.
No other Premier League match this weekend has teams with a probability of victory this close to each other though, so it could go either way.
Tottenham vs Liverpool Predicted Lineups
Tottenham Hotspur: Guglielmo Vicario, Pedro Porro, Cristian Romero, Micky van de Ven, Djed Spence, Rodrigo Bentancur, Archie Gray, Mohammed Kudus, Xavi Simons, Randal Kolo Muani, Richarlison.
Head Coach: Thomas Frank
Liverpool: Alisson Becker, Conor Bradley, Ibrahima Konaté, Virgil van Dijk, Milos Kerkez, Ryan Gravenberch, Curtis Jones, Alexis Mac Allister, Federico Chiesa, Florian Wirtz, Hugo Ekitiké.
Head Coach: Arne Slot
Opta Power Rankings
The Opta Power Rankings are a global team ranking system. They assign an ability score to over 15,000 domestic football teams. This score is on a scale between zero and 100, where zero is the worst-ranked team in the world and 100 is the best team in the world.
Ahead of kick-off this weekend, here is the Opta Power Ranking for both sides.