Tottenham Hotspur and Newcastle United will be hoping to get their ailing campaigns back on track on Tuesday. We look ahead to this Premier League clash with our Tottenham vs Newcastle prediction and preview.
Tottenham vs Newcastle: The Key Stats
Tottenham are slightly more likely to win, according to the Opta supercomputer. They won 40.7% of the pre-game simulations compared to Newcastle’s 32.6% win rate.
Since winning four of their first five home Premier League matches in the 2024-25 season, Tottenham have won just four out of their last 26 games on their own turf (D7 L15).
Dominic Solanke has scored 13 goals in his last 19 home Premier League starts and found the net in each of his three previous encounters with Newcastle (four goals).
Tottenham Hotspur host Newcastle United in the Premier League on Tuesday in a match that could be pivotal in the futures of both managers.
The pressure on Thomas Frank has been increasing in a disappointing campaign, with a 2-0 defeat at Manchester United on Saturday leaving Tottenham just six points clear of the relegation zone.
Cristian Romero’s latest red card in the opening half an hour at Old Trafford made getting something from the game far more difficult; the Argentina international became the first player to be dismissed twice in the Premier League this season, meaning he will now serve a four-game ban.
Romero apologised to his team-mates in the dressing room, but that will be of little consolation after goals from Bryan Mbeumo and Bruno Fernandes meant Spurs’ search for a first Premier League win of 2026 remains ongoing.
The result will have been even more disappointing given the visitors produced a stirring second-half comeback from two goals down to earn a point with a 2-2 draw against Manchester City in their prior outing, albeit with 11 men.
And Frank does not have a strong record against his counterpart on Tuesday, Eddie Howe. The Dane has only won one of their nine meetings in the Premier League.
Howe will be eager to get the better of Frank again after Newcastle were booed off following a 3-2 loss at home to Brentford on Saturday, which came in the wake of a 4-1 defeat at Liverpool as well as their EFL Cup defence ending with a heavy semi-final elimination at the hands of Man City on Wednesday (5-1 on aggregate).
The Magpies took a first-half lead against Brentford at St James’ Park through Sven Botman, and levelled to 2-2 when Bruno Guimarães scored from the spot, but succumbed to a third straight Premier League loss when Dango Ouattara sealed victory for the Bees late on.
Howe’s side have now dropped 19 points from winning positions this season, with the former Bournemouth boss remarking after the game: “I’m obviously not doing my job well enough.”
Newcastle are now just 10 points clear of the bottom three, meaning they are as close to the relegation zone as they are to fifth place, which is expected to be the final Champions League qualifying spot.
If they are to turn things around against Tottenham, Guimarães will likely play a key role. The Brazilian has now scored 10 goals in his last nine top-flight home games (7 goals, 3 assists) – more than any other player in the competition since the start of October.
Newcastle will hope to have Anthony Gordon – who has been involved in more Premier League goals against Spurs than he has versus any other team (five – three goals, two assists) – and Lewis Miley available once again following injury, but Tino Livramento and Fabian Schar remain sidelined.
In addition to Romero’s suspension, Tottenham have concerns over the fitness of Destiny Udogie after the left-back was forced off with a hamstring issue early in the second half in Manchester. Brazilian teenager Souza replaced him to make his Spurs debut, and could be handed his first start for the club here.
Tottenham vs Newcastle Head-to-Head
No Premier League match between Tottenham and Newcastle – and there have been 61 of them – has ever finished goalless, which is a record. There have been 196 goals across those fixtures, making it the fourth-highest-scoring fixture in the competition’s history.
Spurs are enduring a poor run against Newcastle, losing five of their last seven top-flight meetings. That is only one fewer defeat than they had suffered in the 23 prior matches against the Magpies.
That recent record means Newcastle have won more Premier League games against Spurs than they have against any other team (27, level with Aston Villa). However, the Magpies have only been victorious twice in their past 15 matches on the road in the top flight.
Romero will be a big miss, especially as it was his two goals in the reverse fixture in December that earned Spurs a point. The Argentine first equalised after Guimarães had given Newcastle the lead, and did so again in the 95th minute following Gordon scoring from the spot.
Tottenham vs Newcastle Prediction
It is tough to know what you are going to get from Tottenham in the Frank era, but they came out on top in 40.7% of the Opta supercomputer’s simulations.
They are by no means clear favourites, though, with our projections giving Newcastle a 33.6% chance of snatching all three points in north London, leaving a 26.7% possibility of a draw.
Tottenham vs Newcastle Predicted Lineups
Tottenham: Guglielmo Vicario, Archie Gray, Radu Dragusin, Micky van de Ven, Souza, João Palhinha, Pape Sarr, Conor Gallagher, Wilson Odobert, Xavi Simons, Dominic Solanke.
Head Coach: Thomas Frank
Newcastle United: Nick Pope, Kieran Trippier, Malick Thiaw, Dan Burn, Luke Hall, Sandro Tonali, Joe Willock, Jacob Ramsey, Anthony Elanga, Harvey Barnes, Nick Woltemade.
Head Coach: Eddie Howe
Opta Power Rankings
The Opta Power Rankings are a global team ranking system. They assign an ability score to over 15,000 domestic football teams. This score is on a scale between zero and 100, where zero is the worst-ranked team in the world and 100 is the best team in the world.
Ahead of kick-off at the Tottenham Hotspur Stadium on Tuesday, here is the Opta Power Ranking for both sides.