Tottenham Hotspur have been dragged into a relegation battle, having failed to win any of their last eight games in the Premier League
Tottenham Hotspur have been tipped to avoid relegation from the Premier League by the skin of their teeth. The Lilywhites have spent much of the season in the bottom half of the table and, after a disastrous start to the year, they've been sucked into a fight for survival.
Spurs currently languish in 16th, having failed to win any of their last eight games in the English top flight. Thomas Frank, who was sacked on Wednesday morning, last tasted victory at the end of December 2025, clambering past Crystal Palace at Selhurst Park.
Climbing to 11th, it was the best that Tottenham had managed since November, when Arsenal dumped them out of the top five following a humiliating defeat in the North London Derby. Following the win over the Eagles, Spurs were 12 points away from the drop zone.
Now, the Lilywhites are just five points adrift. Fortunately for whoever replaces Frank in the dugout, according to Opta, his side is set to avoid relegation to the Championship.
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Tottenham have been tipped to win about 15 points from their final 12 games and finish the season in 16th place, with a 3.95 per cent likelihood of relegation. Only Nottingham Forest have been predicted to finish below Spurs and retain Premier League status, with a final points tally of 41.6 and a 15.2 per cent likelihood of relegation.
According to Opta, Wolves, Burnley, and West Ham will be relegated, finishing on 19.3 points, 25.8 points, and 36.1 points, respectively. Rod Edwards' side are supposedly guaranteed to go down, with a 100 per cent likelihood of relegation.
However, there's a glimmer of hope for Scott Parker and Nuno Espirito Santo, who have a 99.7 per cent and 74.6 per cent likelihood of relegation. Interestingly, Leeds United, who Opta believe will finish above Spurs in 15th, have a greater likelihood of relegation (4.8 per cent).
While Spurs have been backed to stay in the English top flight, Frank's replacement has plenty of work to do to turn things around. In the Premier League this season, only six teams have chalked up a greater expected goals against tally than Tottenham (37.6).
According to Opta, the Lilywhites concede 1.45 expected goals against per game. Even Wolves, who sit at the rock bottom of the table, have managed to, albeit marginally, stop other teams from enjoying as many high-quality shots on goal (1.44) per game.
Tottenham have faced 326 shots in the Premier League this season, far fewer than their relegation rivals and even those pushing for European football. Burnley (413), West Ham (387), Sunderland (353), Everton (352), Bournemouth (331), and Wolves (327) have all faced more shots.
Aston Villa (323), Forest (321), and Brentford (321) have all faced fewer shots than Spurs in the Premier League this term, but, with a game in hand over Spurs, they've conceded more per game. As for shots on target faced, Tottenham seem to have a far stronger defensive setup than their relegation rivals.
Seven teams have conceded more shots on target than Tottenham (109 in total, and 4.2 per game) in the English top flight this term. The Dane will also be able to draw confidence from the fact that Tottenham have only dropped 12 points from winning positions.
West Ham (20), Newcastle (19), Bournemouth (18), Chelsea (17), Leeds (15), Manchester United (14), Brentford (13), and Crystal Palace (13) have all dropped more points from winning positions than Spurs this term. While Frank's replacement, of course, won't want to squander a lead in the first place, it'll give them great confidence in the fact that there are far weaker teams.
Tottenham will be looking to turn over a new leaf when they lock horns with Arsenal at the Emirates Stadium later this month. The Lilywhites have 10 days or so to recharge their batteries and sharpen their tools before going to war with their north London rivals...