Tottenham's survival bid: Predicted final table and run

A look at Tottenham’s survival bid and how their run-in compares to those of their rivals.

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Tottenham now find themselves involved in a relegation battle as they prepare to start a new era - albeit a temporary one - under new interim boss Igor Tudor. Tudor has taken over until the end of the season following the sacking of Thomas Frank, and the top of his priorities will be to keep Tottenham in the Premier League.

Spurs have a five-point advantage over West Ham in the last safe spot, but the Iron are in good form, and the relegation battle is now coming to life. Here we take a look at the current situation, the predicted final table and each of the run-ins of the relegation candidates to see whether Tottenham have a good chance of staying in the top flight.

The current table

Here is the current relegation battle picture, excluding Wolves given they are cut adrift and not involved in the relegation battle.

The predicted final table

Here is the predicted final table, according to OPTA’s prediction model, which used multiple simulations to get the most likely final outcome.

Run-ins compared

Here are the final run-ins of all of the teams involved in the fight for saftey. Here we also keep out Burnley, given they are almost certain to join Wolves in the Championship.

Leeds United’s run-in

Aston Villa (A), Man City (H), Sunderland (H), Crystal Palace (A), Brentford (H), Man Utd (A), Wolves (H), AFC Bournemouth (A), Burnley (H), Tottenham (A), Brighton (H), West Ham (A).

Tottenham’s run-in

Arsenal (H), Fulham (A), Crystal Palace (H), Liverpool (A), Nottingham Forest (H), Sunderland (A), Brighton (H), Wolves (A), Aston Villa (A), Leeds United (H), Chelsea (A), Everton (H).

Nottingham Forest’s run-in

Liverpool (H), Brighton (A), Man City (A), Fulham (H), Tottenham (A), Aston Villa (H), Burnley (H), Sunderland (A), Chelsea (A), Newcastle United (H), Man Utd (A), AFC Bournemouth (H).

West Ham’s run-in

AFC Bournemouth (H), Liverpool (A), Fulham (A), Man City (H), Aston Villa (A), Wolves (H), Crystal Palace (A), Everton (H), Brentford (A), Arsenal (H), Newcastle United (A), Leeds United (H).

Where Tottenham can get their points

Tottenham need 11 points to get to the magic 40-point total, but for argument’s sake, let’s say they need 12 points to be sure of safety. Looking at their run-in, there are some games that stand out as clear opportunities to pick up those points.

Crystal Palace at home, Nottingham Forest at home, Wolves and Leeds United at home are the games they need to win for a start, given they are in a battle with two of those clubs. Elsewhere, there are more tricky games that Spurs should be looking to get points from like Fulham away, Brighton at home and Everton at home.

Ignoring all of the other run-ins, just looking at those Tottenham fixtures, there is no excuse for them not to get at least 12 points, if not 15-18. On paper, even with their poor form, Spurs should comfortably secure safety, and there will be big questions to be answered if they do not.