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Europa League: previews and predictions for the semi-finals

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Athletic Club v Manchester United

Manchester United travel to the Basque Country for the second time this season. They can expect a tougher test in the semi-finals than they had against Real Sociedad in the last-16. United won that tie 5-2 on aggregate, Bruno Fernandes scoring a fine hat-trick at Old Trafford in one of their best performances of the season. In a season of many lows, the Europa League has given United some solace – and an opportunity to qualify for Europe next season.

Athletic Club are fourth in La Liga, so are well placed to qualify for the Champions League through their league position, but they have the extra motivation of knowing the Europa League final will be played at San Mamés. The stadium’s record attendance was set in a European final – when 52,282 rugby fans squeezed into the ground to watch Leinster beat Racing 92 in the Champions Cup final in 2018. That record may well be broken if Athletic reach the final next month.

The Basque side should be well rested for the first leg on Thursday night, having not played since their 1-0 win over Las Palmas last week in La Liga. They are on a good run, with three wins in their last four, but Oihan Sancet suffered a hamstring injury against Las Palmas, meaning Unai Gómez may deputise in the No 10 role. Fortunately for the manager, Ernesto Valverde, Nico Williams returned from injury in the win against Las Palmas. Having been granted plenty of time to recover, the Spain international is set to start on the left. He has scored five goals in the competition this season (the same as his bother Iñaki) so his return is a big boost.

Williams can expect to come up against Noussair Mazraoui, who should feature at right wing-back with Diogo Dalot absent owing to a calf issue. Dalot is one of a number of United players missing, but Ruben Amorim is expected to have Matthijs de Ligt and Amad Diallo available for the second leg at Old Trafford, with the latter making a quicker recovery than expected.

With Lisandro Martínez and Ayden Heaven missing, Luke Shaw will probably continue on the left of a back three, having started there in United’s 1-1 draw at Bournemouth on Sunday. Rasmus Højlund scored a late equaliser on the south coast at the weekend and is likely to lead the line in the absence of Joshua Zirkzee, who is out for the rest of the season.

United have not lost any of their 12 games in the Europa League this season – in fact, they are the only unbeaten side left in any of Uefa’s three competitions – but they have drawn four of their six away games in Europe. Their unbeaten record will be put to the test against an Athletic Club side who are unbeaten in 10 matches at San Mamés. They have won all six of their home matched in the Europa League this season, with an aggregate scoreline of 14-2. United will need to be at their very best – a rarity this season – to go through. Prediction: Athletic Club to progress

Tottenham v Bodø/Glimt

Tottenham’s eggs are firmly in the Europa League basket, with their only win in their last five matching coming in the competition. Ange Postecoglou made sweeping changes for the 5-1 defeat to Liverpool on Sunday, but he is set to revert to his strongest XI on Thursday night. That means returns for Micky van de Ven, Cristian Romero, Pedro Porro and Lucas Bergvall as Spurs eye their first major silverware since they won the League Cup in 2008 under Juande Ramos.

Like United, they have been abysmal in the Premier League this season and are on course to finish closer to the bottom of the table than the top. But a major trophy – and a route back into the Champions League – is within their grasp. The semi-final draw has been relatively kind to Spurs; the population of Bodø (42,831) is considerably smaller than the capacity at the Tottenham Hotspur Stadium (62,850). This is the furthest that Bodø – or any Norwegian club – have ever gone in Europe.

That said, Spurs may be without Son Heung-Min on Thursday night. The Spurs captain has missed their last four matches with a foot injury he sustained in the first leg of their quarter-final against Eintracht Frankfurt last month. Radu Dragusin is the only other absentee, which is rare for Spurs given their injury-hit campaign.

The same cannot be said of their opponents Bodø/Glimt. The Norwegian champions secured their place in the semi-finals by beating Lazio on penalties in the last eight but that victory came at a cost for the manager, Kjetil Knutsen, who takes his team to London with Håkon Evjen and the captain Patrick Berg suspended. Both would normally start in the middle of the park for Bodø, with Sondre Fet and Sondre Auklend potentially deputising.

Bodø also have problems in defence. Villads Nielsen is likely to fill in at centre-back after Odin Bjørtuft suffered a groin injury in their 3-0 win over KFUM on Sunday. Isak Määttä will probably deputise for the injured forward Ole Didrik Blomberg.

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James Maddison hungry to repay loyal Spurs fans with Europa League glory

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James Maddison wants to reward Tottenham’s long-suffering supporters by winning the club’s first trophy since 2008 and has said a dismal Premier League campaign has made the players more determined to succeed in the Europa League.

Spurs host the Norwegian side Bodø/Glimt in the first leg of the semi-final on Thursday after suffering a record-equalling 19th league defeat at Liverpool on Sunday. Although Spurs have reached this stage of the Europa League for the first time since they won its predecessor, the Uefa Cup, in 1984, they have beaten only Southampton in the Premier League since the end of February and are on course for their lowest finish since its formation in 1992.

Maddison acknowledged that performances – including the 5-1 hammering at Anfield on Sunday – had not been good enough but he believes Tottenham’s players have the hunger to make up for it by triumphing in Europe.

“It hurts me a lot that we’re having a poor season,” said the England midfielder. “But this is why we’re so motivated for this competition, because the season can still be so special. People talk all the time about Tottenham being without silverware for however many years, but we’re in the last four and we’ve got a great opportunity in a competition we’ve been pretty solid in this year. We want to reward them because we feel the support.”

Maddison added: “At the end of games and you’ve lost again, you go over and you want to thank them for the support and I know they don’t want to hear it from us. Even this press conference and the interview on Sunday, they’re not really that bothered because words are just words. But it hurts and we’re trying to put it right.

“That’s the main thing, that hunger is there. It doesn’t always work how you want it to, but this is a unique situation that we’re in, in the last four in Europe, when we can go and reward them for their support because they do travel everywhere. We are very grateful for that. Even in the league position we’re in and we’ve got nothing to play for, they’re still selling out Liverpool away.”

Tottenham will again be without Son Heung-min, although the captain has returned to light training after a foot injury and could be in contention for next week’s second leg. That will take place on an artificial surface at Bodø’s Aspmyra Stadion – located in the Arctic Circle and with a capacity of just over 8,000. The Norwegian champions overcame the league stage winners, Lazio, in the last round via a penalty shootout and have a strong record at home under Kjetil Knutsen, winning six of their seven European matches there this season. Postecoglou knows all about the likely threat they pose having lost both legs of a Conference League playoff with Celtic in 2021.

“I don’t expect them to be overawed by the occasion, you know, sort of thinking: ‘Wow’,” said the Tottenham manager. “They’ve got a real capacity to be really strong in their mind about what they need to do and the away game is tricky because you’re playing on an artificial surface in difficult conditions. So I think there are still some real parallels there and, having experienced it, I know that they’re going to be a really tough opponent.”

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Liverpool surge to Premier League title after emphatic 5-1 win against Spurs

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Liverpool’s procession towards a 20th league title prompted an eruption 35 years in the making. Anfield exploded in emotion, passion and noise as its long wait to celebrate a Premier League triumph in unison ended in a style befitting Arne Slot’s new champions. Tottenham were dismantled, just as the rest of the Premier League has been in the head coach’s brilliant debut season, as Liverpool took the crown with a flourish.

Even Slot, the calmest man in the house, cavorted with his coaching staff when the final whistle sounded on Liverpool’s record-equalling title. Alisson fell to the ground in prayer. He and his teammates have answered Anfield’s. A five-star performance – with goals from Luis Díaz, the brilliant Alexis Mac Allister, Cody Cakpo and man of the season Mohamed Salah – sealed the title with four games to spare.

The celebrations started long before the coronation. Denied a mass communal party by the Covid pandemic in 2020, Liverpool fans were determined to make up for lost time. Not since 28 April 1990 had they and their team savoured a championship triumph together. This opportunity would not be missed.

Thousands lined Anfield Road to greet the team coach before kick off, many with ‘Champions 20’ printed on the back of their new club shirts. The air around Anfield was filled with an overwhelming smell of sulphur from flares that added to the sense of expectation. Someone didn’t get the memo and let off a blue one. Tottenham’s coach was diverted away from crowd and dropped the squad off behind the Sir Kenny Dalglish Stand, requiring Ange Postecoglou and his players to walk around the pitch to their changing room. The Courteeners’ Not Nineteen Forever blared from the PA system as Liverpool warmed up. Such was the expectation even principal owner John W Henry made an appearance from Boston.

The possibility of Spurs spoiling the fun had not been given a second thought. It was seemingly a matter of how Liverpool would win the league, not if, and so Anfield was briefly stunned into silence when Dominic Solanke headed the visitors in front. The former Liverpool striker towered above Ryan Gravenberch to convert a James Maddison corner with Alisson rooted to the spot. Spurs had started brightly but are not a team to ruin a script, however.

Postecoglou had complained about the negative narrative that surrounds Spurs in his pre-match press conference. It was a bit rich given how often his team have fed the narrative this season, and they duly succumbed to an 11th away defeat of a dreadful Premier League campaign. Their subsequent performance suggested that Solanke’s surprise opening goal, and defying expectations only briefly, was enough. There was a gulf in hunger and desire between the new champions and the visitors. Each one of Liverpool’s three first-half goals would result in Spurs’ players arguing among themselves over their weak defending in the buildup.

Liverpool levelled four minutes later when Mohamed Salah released Dominik Szoboszlai behind Archie Gray with a superbly weighted pass. The midfielder squared for Díaz to slide home but his celebrations were curtailed by an offside flag against Szoboszlai. The video assistant referee confirmed the Hungary captain had timed his run to perfection, however, and Liverpool players swarmed over Díaz when the equaliser was given. A draw was enough for Slot’s side to seal the deal but of course they wanted more, as the Mac Allister demonstrated throughout.

The World Cup-winner fired Liverpool ahead from 20 yards after Destiny Udogie played a dangerous pass across his own area towards Gray, who was beaten to the ball by the more determined Gravenberch. Mac Allister gave Spurs goalkeeper Guglielmo Vicario no chance with an emphatic drive into the roof of the net. No doubts now. This would be the day.

Comfort came in the form of a third goal from Gakpo. Lucas Bergvall failed to deal with a Mac Allister corner to the near post and steered his attempted headed clearance straight to the Netherlands international. Gakpo collected, stepped easily away from Brennan Johnson and Solanke, and swept a shot into Vicario’s bottom right-hand corner.

Liverpool performed with a freedom and style their superiority allowed. The players were as determined to enjoy themselves as the fans. All that was missing from a perfect afternoon for Liverpool was a goal for Salah, the remarkable driving force behind title number 20. It arrived at the end of a move that underlined why Slot’s team have been a class apart. The immovable force that was Mac Allister halted Bergvall on the edge of the Liverpool area and released Szoboszlai, who swept half the length of the pitch before finding Salah in space on the right. Liverpool’s leading marksman cut inside Udogie and sent an unerring finish into the bottom corner. Salah celebrated his 28th league goal of the season by accepting a fan’s offer of their mobile phone to take a selfie in front of the Kop.

It was soon five when the hapless Udogie, attempting to stop Salah reaching Trent Alexander-Arnold’s flick across the Spurs goal, bundled the ball into his own net. It was the cue for a resounding version of “Champions” to reverberate from the Kop. The party is underway.

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Liverpool win record-equalling 20th league title with rout of Tottenham

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Liverpool have won a record-equalling 20th league title in a stunning debut season for Arne Slot after beating Tottenham 5-1 at Anfield. The 46-year-old, who took on the seemingly unenviable task of succeeding Jürgen Klopp last summer, becomes the first man in Liverpool’s illustrious history to win the championship in his debut season with the club.

Anfield was ready to celebrate at kick-off, but there was an early setback when Dominic Solanke unexpectedly headed Spurs in front after 12 minutes. Liverpool hit back quickly, Luis Díaz’s equaliser awarded after a VAR review, before Alexis Mac Allister smashed home in the 23rd minute to put the hosts in front. Cody Gakpo struck from a corner before half-time to leave the outcome all but guaranteed.

The second half was a sun-kissed title party, crowned when Mohamed Salah swept in for Liverpool’s fourth – and the Egyptian’s 28th league goal of an extraordinary season. Salah was poised to add another with 20 minutes left, but Destiny Udogie reached the ball first for an unfortunate own goal.

Liverpool’s triumph and the end of Manchester City’s four-season reign as Premier League champions has appeared inevitable for some time with the club building a commanding lead over their nearest challengers, Arsenal, since the turn of the year. Arsenal’s draw with Crystal Palace on Wednesday left Slot’s side needing one point from their final five matches and they sealed the title with four games remaining.

Victory brings Liverpool level with their fallen rivals, Manchester United, on 20 league championships. It is their second Premier League title in five years but unlike in 2019-20, when Klopp’s team ended the club’s 30-year wait for a 19th league crown behind closed doors, their latest triumph was celebrated in front of jubilant supporters. Liverpool were unable to hold a trophy parade five years ago because of the Covid pandemic but one will be staged in the city on Monday 26 May. Klopp may be in attendance, having assembled the supremely talented squad that Slot inherited.

The charismatic German’s shock departure last season signalled the end of an era but Slot, lured from Feyenoord by the club’s new sporting director, Richard Hughes, made a seamless transition. The head coach, as he is officially titled, became the first Liverpool manager to win 11 of his first 12 matches in all competitions. After a home defeat by Nottingham Forest in the fourth game, Liverpool embarked on a 26-match unbeaten run in the Premier League that lasted almost seven months.

Slot’s side have topped the table since the defining date of 2 November. Arsenal lost at Newcastle that day, City were beaten at Bournemouth, part of their astonishing collapse of one win in 13 matches in all competitions, and Liverpool came from behind to beat Brighton 2-1 at Anfield. Mohamed Salah struck the late winner and has been the driving force behind the title success.

Liverpool’s campaign was played against a backdrop of uncertainty over the futures of Salah, the captain, Virgil van Dijk, and Trent Alexander-Arnold. All three were in the final years of their contracts and involved in protracted negotiations over extending their glittering Anfield careers. Salah and Van Dijk have recently signed new two-year contracts but Alexander-Arnold could join Real Madrid on a free transfer this summer.

Slot’s faith in the mentality and ability of the squad bequeathed by Klopp has been vindicated. Liverpool made only one signing last summer, the rarely used Federico Chiesa, as Slot assessed the talent at his disposal. The club also agreed a €35m deal to sign the Georgia goalkeeper Giorgi Mamardashvili from Valencia this summer, when Liverpool are also expected to be in the market for a centre-forward and a young left-back.

Slot follows José Mourinho, Carlo Ancelotti, Manuel Pellegrini and Antonio Conte in winning the Premier League in their first season. He is the fourth Liverpool manager to win the championship at the first attempt, after Matt McQueen in 1922-23, Joe Fagan in 1983-84 and Kenny Dalglish in 1985-86, all of whom were established figures at Anfield before stepping into the role. Slot is the only one to win the league in his first season at the club, rather than being promoted from within.

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Golden Goal: Paul Gascoigne for Tottenham Hotspur v Arsenal (1991)

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Football is an unstoppable continuum, a whirling dervish of love and hate, life and death, frequent tedium and the greatest excitement known to humanity. Because we care so much for it it feels like it cares for us back, but the painful truth is this is our imagination and self-respect saving us from acknowledging that actually, football was there before us, it’ll be there after us, and while we’re there it exists as though we don’t.

Occasionally, though, we have bestowed upon us an event that grabs us by the lapels and shrieks indelibly into our souls, the entirety of the cosmos consumed by the wonder of the game. “It tells us something we’ll always remember,” wrote director-screenwriter Randall Wallace when considering what makes something epic. “It makes us walk out of a theatre and whisper into our own hearts, ‘I’m changed.’”

In the mid-80s, English football was stuck, its supporters despised by the government and its clubs banned from European competition; attendances were down,quality was variable and tragedies were a fact of life. The best side, Liverpool, were known as the Red Machine because they were an effective collective lacking attitude and glamour, while the best player, Bryan Robson, was superhero but not superstar.

Which is where Paul Gascoigne comes in. To watch Gazza was to experience the physical become the metaphysical, time and space no longer as we previously understood them. On the one hand he was a throwback, an entertainer of purity and honesty who competed with and for joy, yet on the other he was a gift from the future exploding into the present, an unseen original demanding we perceive our world differently.

Rarely has a midfielder been so silky but so strong, crocodile-wrestler’s torso elevated by Fred Astaire’s feet elevated by the imagination of an infant – assuming that infant was the offspring of Wolfgang Mozart and Johnny Fartpants. And to this Gazza brought exhibition chutzpah that was all his own, ragdolling experienced professionals with inspiring prejudice and disrespect. Alex Ferguson, a man unrenowned for offering unwarranted praise, takes up the story:

“In ‘87 we played Newcastle in a game and they were just bordering above relegation and he’d been injured. And he’d come back and he’d won their two previous games and we’d got them in a league game. And my three centre-midfield players were: Robson, Whiteside and Moses, three very competitive footballers, great footballers … and he absolutely tore them apart. Tore them apart. Ended up with one situation, he nutmegged Remi Moses right in front of me in the dugout … and went up to Remi after he did it and patted him on the head. And after the game I says to the chairman ‘Don’t leave here, get on to that chairman of Newcastle, we’ve gotta get this boy. He’s the best I’ve seen for years and years.”

So Gazza promised to join United before plumping for Spurs – a snub Fergie absorbed with typical levity – arriving at White Hart Lane in the summer of 1988. His first two seasons were decent, his first goal for the club encapsulating him so perfectly it remains barely believable more than three decades on: against Arsenal and having lost his right boot in a challenge, he showed the composure, desire and impudence to slot home with his sock. Spurs being Spurs, they still lost – some maladies are too profoundly ensconced even for an epochal legend – but Gazza was hearty enough to swerve infection, a typically cheeky goal at Luton also garnishing his campaign.

Then, in 1990, he forced himself into England’s World Cup squad. What happened next is relatively well-known, his tears resonating to such extent he became the physical embodiment of football, reinvigorating the domestic game to such extent that the Premier League is now the vehicle of choice for bad-faith actors looking to propagandise across all conceivable difference in pursuit of nefarious geopolitical aims.

Yet Gazza had still done nothing definitive but cry: he didn’t score in Italy and the two goals he created came from free-kicks chipped into the box – cleverly done but hardly indelible marks of greatness. Missing was what the Talmud – he’s a Gateshead boy after all – terms “tachlis”: essential, unarguable substance. But then came the 1990-91 FA Cup.

Spurs began away at Blackpool, Gazza helping create the only goal for returning hero and non-scoring-striker-now-midfielder, Paul Stewart. For only the second time in four years under Terry Venables, they were into round four.

A home tie with Oxford arrived amid boardroom unrest – both Robert Maxwell and Alan Sugar were attempting to buy the club from Irving Scholar. On the pitch, though, Gazza’s stepover, drive, one-two and block helped facilitate Gary Mabbutt’s opener and his header put Lineker in to blast home a second. Then, when the visitors halved the deficit, he confiscated possession from Terry Fenwick to revive a floundering attack, playing and following a pass into the box before beating both centre-backs to slide home a beauty from a narrow angle. And with things getting edgy after Oxford again closed to within one, he again invented space in the box to punish home another terrific finish.

In round five came a trip to Portsmouth, Spurs trailing until, on the hour, Gazza pounded through rutted terrain and spread the play so that when the cross came in, he was able to lunge at a back-post leap and personality home a monstrous equaliser; “Gascoigne … YES!” shrieked John Motson, vocalising the thoughts of almost everyone in the country. And of course, just six minutes from the end, he collected a long punt, exaggeratedly threw foot over ball, beat his man, and slotted the winner.

The quarter-finals followed more boardroom turmoil along with rumours of Gazza being hurt and moving to Italy; Spurs duly went behind at home to Notts County. But an own-goal drew them level before Gazza, grabbed from behind, accidentally clattered Paul Harding’s coupon with an elbow; the ref opted against sending him off and, with six minutes to go, he held his run on the edge of the box so that, when the ball broke to him as he knew it would, his finish was as definitive as everyone knew it would be.

The goals, though, were only part of things – the performances were equally magical, a rare mix of transcendent talent and competitive charisma allowing Gazza to seize contests involving 22 players and make them solely about him. “We all know he’s struggling a bit with an injury” said Lineker, proud owner of 10 World Cup goals and one World Cup golden boot. “I wish I could struggle like that”.

To reach the last four, Spurs had not defeated a high calibre list of opponents. But next for them came Arsenal, champions-elect and playing a season in which they would concede only 18 league goals; for context, next lowest was 40.

Spurs, though, were confident. Both previous matches between the sides had ended scoreless, the second only because David Seaman had a blinder and Lineker was uncharacteristically profligate, while Venables was a rare English manager able to formulate then inculcate a smart strategy.

Interest in north London’s first semi-derby – a description Gazza might’ve deployed – was intense. The previous year was the first in which the ties had been played on Sunday not Saturday, consecutively not concurrently, and on telly rather than not. For better and for worse, two matches of stupefying intensity and excitement ensured the change became a permanent one.

With Highbury and White Hart Lane unusable, it was decided to compromise the prize of taking over a third team’s ground while keeping Wembley special for the final – for one year only. The world being the world, it marked the start of the avaricious and myopic process that leaves fans paying, financially and emotionally, for the FA’s inability to rebuild the national stadium to time and to budget, but just that once it seemed just about fair.

Though no one needs another paean to the world’s greatest cup competition, it’s worth noting that in 1991, its mystical, mythical quality remained intact. The quantity of live, televised football was improving but still relatively low, while a mere four channels in the UK meant engaging with the game was almost unavoidable – even before factoring in the presence of Gazza, by now half-man, half-mononym and the most talked-about person in England.

The problem was because there’d never been another him, no one knew how to alleviate the pressure of being him nor how to handle the unique challenges he presented, the intricacies of neurodiversity and mental health well beyond the collective grasp at the time – never mind in the hyperreal world of football. So Gazza was indulged and incited, excoriated and extolled, often simultaneously, a blur of fantastical thoughts and unresolved energy with no capacity to calculate consequences.

He actually almost missed the game recovering from a stomach operation, returning for a half at Norwich in midweek, and the night before was so inflamed by its prospect he managed only an hour’s sleep, eventually given injections to calm down. Then, as the teams walk down the tunnel, what to others is ceremonial to him is temptation, leaving him no choice but to offer the camera a gurn more Haçienda than hallowed turf.

A second follows shortly afterwards before the camera zooms in on him because there’s nowhere else it wants to be, should be, could be. “If that man there is fit,” intones Jimmy Hill as Gazza completed his hat-trick, “Spurs have a chance”.

And inside three minutes he’s at the centre of things, shooting narrowly wide and sharing some thoughts with the ref when a goal-kick not a corner is awarded. Within seconds, though, he’s back on the ball like he’s its proud father and the rest are awkwardly loitering relatives. Head up – head always up – he moves it between his feet with Cruyff turn and stepover in a manner not really seen in this country until him, picking a clever pass before a late challenge on Stewart is punished with a free-kick a distant 35 yards from goal, fractionally left of centre.

Forward trot the Spurs centre-backs, Barry Davies speculating as to what’s coming next. “Is Gascoigne gonna have a crack?” he wonders, as if any other option is feasible. “He is you know!” By which point Gazza is catapulting into a shot, the entirety of his corporeality focused into a brutal, spiteful curler which booms around the charging Kevin Campbell and past Seaman, whose self-declared “Safe Hands” can only help the ball into net.

“Ohhhh I say!” shouts Bazza as Gazza charges towards the mayhem in the stands. “Brilliant! That – is – schoolboy’s own stuff! Ohhhh I bet even he can’t believe it!” (he can). “Is there anything left from this man to surprise us?!” (Yes, plenty).

Perhaps Seaman should’ve saved it – he later said his studs stuck in the turf and it’s unfortunate that so fine a keeper is best remembered for avoidable errors in the biggest games (see also: Koeman, Nayim, Ronaldinho). But sometimes the confluence of genius and circumstance are irresistible.

Nor was that it; in Gazza’s reality, “it” didn’t exist. So, five minutes later, he helped create a goal for Lineker with two visionary, disguised touches and, though he went off injured after Alan Smith pulled one back, a(nother) Seaman blunder helped Lineker make it 3-1 which was how the game finished; “You’ve lost that double feeling!” sung the Spurs fans, who’ve celebrated St Hotspur Day every 14 April since.

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Postecoglou rails against narrative of Tottenham always being ‘set up for a fall’

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Ange Postecoglou has railed against what he says is a well-worn narrative around Tottenham – the club must always be set up for a fall, negative interpretations at every turn. And yet the manager still believes they can break the cycle of frustration, leaning on the words of Jacob Riis, a journalist and social reformer in late 19th and early 20th century New York, to inspire his players.

Postecoglou has endured a miserable Premier League season, losing 18 matches. He takes his team to Liverpool on Sunday admitting that some of his work has gone “disastrously wrong”. It is why he may not remain in his post beyond the end of the season even if he wins the Europa League. Spurs are into the semi-finals, where they take on Norwegian club Bodø/Glimt.

What has got to Postecoglou is his sense that all of the challenges he has faced have been overlooked – chiefly, how he has been asked to overhaul the squad, placing an emphasis on youth, and reimagine the playing style. In his first season, he led the team to a fifth-placed finish; an improvement on eighth from 2022-23.

Postecoglou felt the achievement was poorly received. Spurs had been in pole position to finish fourth, which would have guaranteed a return to the Champions League, until they lost five of their final seven games, including the penultimate one at home to Manchester City. Most of their fans had wanted them to lose that night to ensure Arsenal did not win the title. Fifth place will be enough for Champions League qualification this season. Spurs are 16th.

“I love the frenzy around finishing fifth this year … they’re all brilliant, aren’t they?” Postecoglou said. “We finished fifth last year. Why is it such a disaster that we finished fifth? Around this time last year, I was asked to lose a game [against City]. And I was wrong for wanting to win it.

“We finished fifth but it’s not a good story. A better story is my tenure has been a disaster and it continues to be. I just think that the kind of hysteria that is surrounding what’s happening at the moment is all premeditated for a certain outcome. Hopefully we can defy that.”

Postecoglou said the Spurs fans he met were very supportive; he has never felt it was them against him. His impression, though, is that there is a tension between people and the club.

“There is this narrative of trying to set this club up for some sort of fall – consistently,” Postecoglou said. “There is no allowance for any kind of building of foundations, for something a bit different than before.

“The one thing you do know is what doesn’t work here. Yes, I’m trying to do things very, very differently. It hasn’t all worked out, some of it has gone disastrously wrong. I accept that. I said from the start: ‘We need to chart a different course if we are ever going to break the cycle this club has been in.’

“But I think there is a narrative around that this club has been on some sort of downward spiral again or is going down the same rabbit hole that it has in the past. Whereas I think this is totally different and there has been very little acknowledgment of that.”

Postecoglou has previously said that winning a first trophy for Spurs since 2008 would not change everything but he is now all-in on Europa League glory. He brought up a quotation from Riis about the endeavours of a stonecutter and he clearly sees the parallels.

“I talk to the players a lot about the stonecutters’ creed – only the 101st blow cracks the rock,” he said. “No one sees the other 100 blows and they think it’s the last one that does it. It’s not. So time will tell … whether what I’ve tried to do over the last two years gets us to crack that stone.”

If Postecoglou reaches the Europa League final, it would be his 100th game for Spurs – with one league match to follow before the end of the season. “You won’t know how much I’ve had an impact until we get to that place,” he said of the final. “We need to take the opportunity that’s before us and that won’t happen because we’re good for the next two to three weeks. That will only happen if what’s got us to this place gets us what we want.

“What it [the Riis quotation] says is that if you keep doing the right thing, the impact it has is unseen. You won’t break it with the 101st blow unless you’ve done a lot of things which, to the naked eye, seem like you’re doing nothing or maybe the wrong thing. But the stonecutter knows you need to keep doing it because it’ll come.”

When the manager cannot crack it at Spurs, it is invariably him who pays the price. But Postecoglou continued to brush off the swirl of speculation about his future. “If you asked any Tottenham supporter what’s the most important thing for them right now – who is going to be the manager next year or whether they win this thing [the Europa League] – 100% of them would say: ‘Just make sure we give ourselves the best opportunity to make some history,’” Postecoglou said. “The rest of it doesn’t matter. It will all take care of itself.”

Postecoglou reported that Son Heung-min would not play at Liverpool as he recovers from a foot injury. The captain returned to training on the grass on Friday and will be monitored before Thursday’s first leg at home to Bodø/Glimt.

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Nuno and Nottingham Forest grateful recipients of Dr Tottenham’s elixir

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Nuno and Nottingham Forest grateful recipients of Dr Tottenham’s elixir | Ed Aarons - The Guardian
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As the old adage goes, never go back. Unless your opponents are Tottenham Hotspur and your name is Nuno Espírito Santo that is.

On a night when Nottingham Forest desperately needed to get their Champions League challenge back on the rails, Ange Postecoglou’s side could hardly have been more obliging opponents until they finally mounted a late flurry after Richarlison had pulled a goal back with three minutes to play.

Dr Tottenham had already helped Crystal Palace end their search for a first win of the season at the ninth attempt back in October and then allowed relegated Leicester to record their solitary victory in a run of 15 straight defeats. So watching the manager who lasted only 124 days in north London before being sacked in November 2021 guide Forest to their first double over his former club since 1997 has to go down as one of the more predictable results of the season.

Nuno had said beforehand that revenge was not on his agenda on only his second return to this stadium since he became the shortest reigning permanent manager in Tottenham’s history. But you could tell this meant so much more as he celebrated Elliot Anderson’s opener after just five minutes and Chris Wood’s 19th goal of the Premier League campaign not long afterwards.

In fact, the only time Nuno or any of his players showed the slightest sign of nerves against an underwhelming Tottenham side came as Forest ran down the clock during an agonising five minutes of stoppage time. After a few bear hugs for his players and a quick wave to the travelling supporters, he was back down the tunnel within 60 seconds of the final whistle to leave the stage clear for his players.

This was classic Nuno-ball: score two quick goals on the break and then defend for your lives. Yet it is a trap that numerous opponents have fallen into this season and why he will deservedly feature highly on the contenders for manager of the year, even if Forest do not end up finishing in the top five.

Of course it is tempting to wonder at this point what might have happened if Nuno hadn’t been sacked by Tottenham after a home defeat to Manchester United only 17 games into his tenure in October 2021. Spurs were eighth at the time having scored only nine goals from their opening 10 league matches, with Harry Kane still trying to get over the disappointment of failing to force a move away.

Despite winning August’s manager of the month award thanks to a victory over Manchester City, it always felt as if he was on borrowed time in north London after Daniel Levy had initially been more interested in appointing Hansi Flick, Erik ten Hag, Antonio Conte, Paulo Fonseca, Gennaro Gattuso or even bringing back Mauricio Pochettino before settling on the former goalkeeper.

After José Mourinho’s ill-fated reign the previous season, Daniel Levy had promised to appoint someone who would bring back “free-flowing, attacking and entertaining” football to the club, whose motto is basically a variation on Del Boy’s “he who dares wins”. Postecoglou seemed to fit that bill during his first season in charge as Spurs entertained on their way to fifth place yet the early promise has given way to disappointment, even if the Europa League could yet offer unlikely salvation.

After an uncharacteristically robust defensive display in the second leg of their quarter-final against Eintracht Frankfurt in midweek, Postecoglou attempted to channel his inner Nuno by selecting a combative midfield trio and leaving James Maddison on the bench along with the increasingly influential Lucas Bergvall. However, as early as the fourth minute when Morgan Gibbs-White produced a wonderful pirouette to take the ball away from Pape Matar Sarr before shooting in the same movement, it was Forest who undoubtedly looked more up for the fight.

Anderson thumped in the opening goal from the resulting corner and after some more slapstick defending prompted by Rodrigo Bentancur, Wood’s goal – shortly having another disallowed for offside by VAR – was the prompt for another group hug on the Forest bench as Postecoglou scowled in the direction of his. One of the complaints about Nuno during his brief spell at Spurs was that he had been too quiet or uncommunicative at the training ground but the same cannot be said at his present club, where he seems to have formed a close bond since replacing the popular Steve Cooper last season.

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Wood caps Forest’s blistering start at Tottenham to refuel European dream

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There is no need to attempt to rewrite history by arguing that Tottenham failed to see what they had in Nuno Espírito Santo. All that matters now is that this meticulous, softly ­spoken manager is the perfect fit for ­Nottingham Forest.

They have provided Nuno with the perfect platform for his counterpunching tactics and, in what would surely be the story of the ­Premier League season, are closing in on Champions League football after beating Ange Postecoglou’s half-hearted Spurs.

This was clinical and resilient from Forest as they bounced back from two successive defeats by rising into third place with five games left. Nerves, it seems, are not for them. They struck early through Elliot ­Anderson and Chris Wood, who punished ­diffident defending with his 19th goal of a ­wonderful league campaign, and then leant on their defensive prowess to claim the points at the Tottenham Hotspur Stadium. Spurs, stuck in 16th after falling to their 18th defeat in 33 games, were beaten inside 16 minutes, a header from Richarlison coming too late to save them.

“The final minutes were full of anxiety,” Nuno said. “Tottenham put us against the ropes. We are very proud of the way we competed today. We reacted well after the recent ­performances. The way we compete is as a team.”

Although Forest had to tweak their back four because of Ola Aina’s absence through injury, with Harry Toffolo coming in for his first league start of the season at left-back, there was little sign of expectation weighing them down.

The home fans must have ­wondered if the team in red could possibly have been coached by the same man who was deemed too negative before being sacked after four unhappy months in charge here in 2021. Nuno had Forest playing on the front foot, even if the omission of Callum Hudson-Odoi had suggested a more measured approach before kick-off, and it was not long before they exposed frailties within ­Postecoglou’s setup.

Spurs were not in the zone despite Postecoglou making five changes to the side that saw off Eintracht F­rankfurt. They seemed startled by Forest’s intensity and did not even wake up after seeing Morgan Gibbs-White test Guglielmo Vicario with a stinging drive in the fourth minute.

Forest went ahead from the resulting corner. Anthony Elanga’s delivery was disappointing but Pedro Porro’s clearance was worse, exposing a lack of organisation. There was no ­pressure on Anderson when the ball fell to him on the edge of the area, allowing the midfielder to drive through a shot that flicked off Rodrigo Bentancur and beat Vicario for power.

The venom of Anderson’s strike shook Spurs, who looked flimsy next to such conviction. This is why ­Postecoglou’s position is so vulnerable, even with a Europa League ­semi-final against Bodø/Glimt to come. He chose not to rest Cristian Romero and Micky van de Ven in central defence, but Spurs remained feeble in the face of Forest’s directness.

The crosses kept coming. Spurs could not handle Wood. The striker had one effort disallowed for offside but soon made it 2-0, rising unchallenged to head past a flapping Vicario. Porro, standing off, had done nothing to stop Elanga’s inswinging cross.

Spurs, who were without Son Heung-min and Destiny Udogie, summoned belated fire. Wilson Odobert, Mathys Tel and Richarlison had chances. The thought occurred that Spurs would have been better served by trying harder when it was 0-0.

Postecoglou was pushing it when he claimed that his side played “outstanding” football. “It’s another game we’ve lost we shouldn’t lose,” he said. “We make things really difficult for ourselves in key moments. We gave away poor goals. It’s too many losses. I know that.”

Forest adjusted during the break, gearing themselves up for a rearguard action by replacing Elanga with ­Morato, who joined Murillo and Nikola Milenkovic in the middle of a back five. This was Nuno showing his flexibility, adjusting to circumstance in a way that Postecoglou rarely does. The danger, though, was inviting pressure. It was not done yet.

Forest went close to a third, Gibbs-White missing a good chance, but Spurs stirred. Toffolo, whose diligence after coming in from the cold summed up Forest’s unity, cleared Dejan Kulusevski’s header off the line. Matz Sels twice thwarted Richarlison.

Spurs enhanced their attack, Dominic Solanke and Brennan Johnson coming on, and they broke through when Richarlison glanced Porro’s cross past Sels after 87 minutes.

Forest had to survive seven added minutes, Nuno praying for the final whistle. The celebrations at the end were gleeful. Forest head to ­Wembley on Sunday, an FA Cup semi-final against Manchester City there to be won, and will keep dreaming. Out of the top five before the start of play, the question was whether they could handle the pressure. Their response was resounding.

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Tottenham v Nottingham Forest: Premier League – live

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Updated at 21.28 CEST

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GOAL! Tottenham Hotspur 0-2 Nottingham Forest (Wood 17)

Try chalking that one off! A simple pass from centre to left, Anderson out to Elanga, allows the winger to nip inside on to his right foot, his swings in a delectable cross, and Wood, alone between the centre-backs, leaps – he is risen! – as Vicario piles out, getting nowhere near anything, and the ball sails into the far side-netting! Forest are all over this! Spurs are Spurs!

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Updated at 21.24 CEST

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NO GOAL! Tottenham Hotspur 0-1 Nottingham Forest

You could see this one with the naked eye, but the semi-automated offside good enough for international tournaments but not for the Prem shows us beyond doubt, without a scrawled line in sight.

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GOAL! Tottenham Hotspur 0-2 Nottingham Forest (Wood 10)

AND THERE IT IS! Anderson again finds space in midfield – he’s dominating this game now – clips over the top and the pass lands perfectly for wood, who punches a sidefoot volley that Vicario can only help into the net! But was Wood offside?

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Updated at 21.23 CEST

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GOAL! Tottenham Hotspur 0-1 Nottingham Forest (Anderson 6)

What a start for Forest! The corner swings out and maybe takes a flick or two before arriving into anderson’s path on the edge. And he gives it a proper thump too – the rising shot might’ve gone in on its own – but it hits Bentancur, bounces awkwardly, and lifts above Vicario’s dive high into the net, though the keeper should probably have done better. There is no side against whom it’s worse to concede first and early, Spurs will have known that, and here we are!

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Updated at 21.11 CEST

And here they come trying to make it happen, Anderson punching a terrific short, early pass into Gibbs-White – a Roy Keane pass, if you will, and there can be no higher compliment. So Gibbs-White turns superbly, shoots instantly, and Vicario dives to shovel behind.

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Is Matz Sels the best plural football since Mats Hummels?

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This is an absolutely colossal game for Forest, now out of the top five on goal difference from Chelsea. I can’t wait to see how they set things.

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Our teams are tunnelled … and here they come!

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I’ve just seen how long I spent seeking the perfect Elmo aspect. Attention to detail, mates!

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Email! “A meeting between these two clubs is arguably the pinnacle of the Premier League’s perches power,” reckons Peter Oh. “The crests speak for themselves. A cockerel perched on top of a ball, and a tree on top of a river. I challenge anyone to name better perches.”

I actually think Forest’s crest looks like Elmo…

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Pedro Porro might be a key player tonight. He’s improved a lot since joining Spurs, has a phenomenal hairline, and will offer the width they might need to breach the league’s third-best defence. I said below he’ll be looking for cut-backs, but I also think fast, low balls to the front post will help Richarlison.

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Nuno speaks, saying the time on the training ground has been good and his team need to play better than they did in losing to Everton last weekend – though their opponents deserve credit.

He knows Spurs are a tough opponent – you just have to look at their teamsheet – but the team have earned the right to fight for Champions League and the theme in the dressing room is “responsibility”.

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I’ve been really impressed with Elliot Anderson this season. He looked a decent player at Newcastle, who sold him to make PSR ends meet, not because they didn’t want him, his combination of physicality and skill turning Forest into a different team. Spurs, though, have picked a pretty robust midfield three, so it could get tasty in there, perhaps even with a bit of the kind of thing that NO ONE wants to see.

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Forest, meanwhile, will soak up pressure, blocking up the centre while keeping Spurs in front of them. I’d actually not be shocked if Gibbs-White makes an extra man in the middle, as opposed to playing as a regular winger, but when he does pull wide, he might fancy his chances against Spence, who’s not on his natural side.

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Where is the game? Well, we know what Spurs will do: press high, with a high line; and we know what Forest will do: sit deep and counter. Simple?

Not quite. With Richarlison through the middle, not Solanke, I’m not totally certain what type of goal Spurs will be trying to score. I think they’ll be hoping Kulusevski drives through midfield; that Tel makes another man in the box; and Odobert and Porro get around the outside to pick out cut-backs.

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Burnley and Leeds are promoted to the Premier League!

The former have beaten third-placed Sheffield United 2-1; Niall McVeigh has all the reaction here:

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I thought Nuno would fancy setting Hudson-Odoi against Pedro Porro, but he’s opted to solidify in midfield. I think that’s a shame as I love Gibbs-White in the centre, but we may well see it later on as Spurs tire.

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I know he’s been on the bench recently, but I was a little surprised Kulusevski didn’t start in midweek. I know he’s been injured but he’s been one of Spurs’ best players since signing for them, and will be desperate to force his way back in before the Europa semi. He’ll start in midfield tonight for the first time in a while, and will feel that, though Maddison and Bentancur are likely locks, Bergvall’s spot might yet be his, likewise Tel’s.

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Updated at 21.00 CEST

Nuno, meanwhile, makes three alterations: out go Alex Moreno, Callum Hudson-Odoi and Jota Silva, with Harry Toffolo, Danilo and Anrthony Elanga replacing them.

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Postecoglou said he’d make changes and he has. Following a physical test in Frankfurt and with a semi soon come, he benches Lucas Bergvall, Brennan Johnson, James Maddison and Dominic Solanke with Destiny Udogie not in the squad, while bringing in Djed Spence, Pape Sarr, Dejan Kulusevski, Wilson Odobert and Richarlison.

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Updated at 20.18 CEST

I’ll write these down, then we’ll get into what they’re about.

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Teams!

Tottenham Hotspur (4-3-3): Vicario; Porro, Romero, Van de Ven, Spence; Sarr, Bentancur, Kulusevski; Odobert, Richarlison, Tel. Subs: Kinsky, Davies, Danso, Gray, Bissouma, Bergvall, Maddison, Johnson, Solanke.

Nottingham Forest (4-3-3): Sels; Williams, Milenkovic, Murillo, Toffolo; Anderson, Dominguez, Danilo; Gibbs-White, Elanga, Wood. Subs: Miguel, Morato, Sangare, Awoniyi, Hudson-Odoi, Moreno, Yates, Sosa, Abbott.

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Going on as we speak:

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Preamble

These clubs are pretty much opposites. Yes, Forest are good and Spurs aren’t, I sense you chortle, and you’re right, they are and they are. But there’s more to it than that.

Forest are effective and efficient, scoring relatively few and conceding relatively few; Spurs, on the other hand, are infuriating and inept, relatively prolific and relatively profligate — underachieving as their opponents are over-achieving. As such, Forest could scarcely be a happier club and, though Spurs being Spurs, they’ve plenty of misery still to realise, at the same time, they’re not exactly loving life at the moment.

And, of course, Forest are managed by Nuno Espírito Santo, increasingly loved by supporters with good reason, after giving them a sensational season; meantime Spurs – who sacked him after just four months in the job – are led by Ange Postecoglou, increasingly disliked by supporters after picking fights with them for reasons only he understands. Where Nuno needs points for Champions League qualification, Postecoglou might soon be pointed towards the door.

Yet, football being football, there’s always a yet: Forest have lost their last two games and are out of the top five for the first time in months while, on Thursday night, Spurs recorded their biggest win of the season, a 1-0 triumph in Frankfurt taking them into a Europa League semi against Bodo/Glimt. It might just be that they are running into form, just as it’s possible that Forest have run out of it. We shall see!

Kick-off: 8pm BST

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Never mind the late drama, Amorim and Postecoglou still face the Ten Hag trap

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Never mind the late drama, Postecoglou and Amorim still face the Ten Hag trap | Jonathan Wilson - The Guardian
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Erik ten Hag has gone, but his shadow looms over English football still. The mistake was understandable enough: high on the euphoria of beating Manchester City in the FA Cup final, Manchester United renewed his contract. Three months into the new season, more than £180m spent on summer transfers, Ten Hag was dismissed with United 14th in the table on 11 points from nine games.

The sporting director, Dan Ashworth, and various members of Ten Hag’s backroom staff also left, at a total cost of £14.5m. Or, to put it another way, keeping Ten Hag cost United £200m and in effect undermined this season. Nobody wants to be caught in the Ten Hag trap.

No two cases are ever exactly alike. There is a tendency always to overcorrect on a simplistic understanding of what went before, which is why so many clubs flip-flop between idealistic dreamers and dour pragmatists – the fat pope, thin pope model of history.

Even by United’s recent standards, the decision to stick with Ten Hag was bungled: openly talking to other candidates inevitably erodes confidence in the incumbent. But, equally, every club owner or director is aware of the Ten Hag trap and the need to avoid it. For a few years yet it’s going to be harder for a manager to save their job by winning a trophy and that is of direct relevance to both Ange Postecoglou and Ruben Amorim.

The threat to Amorim is, as yet, theoretical, although as the example of Sir Ben Ainslie with Ineos’s sailing team demonstrates, Sir Jim Ratcliffe has a capacity to be ruthless. He will dismiss a high-profile figure just as readily as he will scrap a packed lunch, stewards’ bonus or pensioner concession. The case against Amorim, anyway, is largely that his football is not a fit for the squad and it would be cheaper and easier to replace the ideologue in the dugout than an entire dressing room of players.

The ecstatic end to Thursday’s Europa League quarter-final against Lyon bolsters his position. As Rory McIlroy’s victory at the Masters last Sunday showed, sport is at its best when it blends the anxious and hapless with the brilliant to produce an impossibly dramatic denouement. Those final minutes at Old Trafford, Kobbie Mainoo and Harry Maguire cast into emergency service as central forwards and both producing exceptional finishes, will be remembered for decades in the way a routine 2-0 win simply wouldn’t have been. Fans will forgive a lot of frustration for an experience like that – even if it is dependent on fallibility.

In that sense, Thursday’s win could be for Amorim what Liverpool’s 4-3 victory over Borussia Dortmund was in the Europa League quarter-final in 2016, a game that did not lead to immediate success but did act as confirmation of the Jürgen Klopp project. The only caveat is that, for United, much the same could be said about the 4-3 win over Liverpool in the FA Cup quarter-final last season, and it turned out Amad Diallo’s extra-time winner was simply a lure on the way into the Ten Hag trap.

The case of Postecoglou is more perilous. It is entirely plausible that Tottenham win the Europa League and the Australian still leaves the club, while United stick with Amorim having won nothing. But Thursday was a good night for Postecoglou, Tottenham’s most impressive away performance since the 4-0 win at Manchester City in November. It’s perhaps not ideal that their idea of defending is apparently reliant on having a player with the freakish pace of Micky van de Ven but, on the other hand, they do, at the moment, have a player with the freakish pace of Micky van de Ven.

The difficulty of winning at Deutsche Bank Park should not be underestimated – Spurs were only the fourth away side to do so this season of 21 who have tried – but equally Tottenham’s annual expenditure on wages is around three times that of Eintracht Frankfurt. That is no guarantee of success, but it does fit the theory that Postecoglou’s ultra-aggressive football works when, as in Scotland with Celtic, his side has an advantage of resource. That superiority will be even more pronounced in the semi-final against Bodø/Glimt.

That shouldn’t devalue any success Tottenham may have, but it does perhaps place it into context. It is possible to mount a defence of Postecoglou on the grounds that injuries, particularly to the back four, ripped the heart out of the season, damaging confidence, and that, by the time a measure of stability was regained, the league campaign was already meaningless. But it’s also true that once the opening 10-game spurt was over, there has been little evidence of him having an aptitude for the Premier League.

Spurs are a club defined by their yearning for success, yet the only manager to win them a trophy in the past 26 years, Juande Ramos, was sacked eight months after that 2008 League Cup win with the club bottom of the Premier League – an extreme example of the Ten Hag trap. As José Mourinho is never reluctant to remind people, Spurs sacked him six days before the League Cup final in 2021.

The lack of silverware haunts Spurs and yet the club have a complicated relationship with it. It may even be that the best thing for a manager wanting a lengthy career at Tottenham is a very specific form of failure, one that prioritises Champions League qualification and its budgetary benefits over the more tangible achievement of trophies.

Perhaps that is simply, once again, to point out the twin impulses that guide football and the friction that exists between them: routine wins and control may offer consistency and please the executives, but the visceral stirrings that animate fans come from nights such as Thursday at Old Trafford, the sort of nonsense and drama that scorns careful financial projections, or, indeed, any sort of planning at all.

Executives will always favour reliability. Nobody ever built a successful business on unlikely players doing unlikely things at unlikely times; fans may delight in the flailing limbs of three goals after the 114th minute, but they mean less to the bottom line than consistency. And that is all the more pertinent given how aware everybody is of the need to avoid the Ten Hag trap.

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