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The pressure continues to mount on Thomas Frank after Tottenham salvaged a late point against Burnley in the Premier League on Saturday. Spurs relied on a 90th-minute equaliser from captain Cristian Romero to spare their blushes after squandering their lead at Turf Moor, eventually settling for a 2-2 draw against the relegation candidates.

Centre-back Micky van de Ven scored the opener after 38 minutes, his fifth goal of the campaign, before Axel Tuanzebe replied in first-half stoppage time. Lyle Foster then put Scott Parker's men on course for an unlikely victory before Romero struck at the death to salvage a draw. But the visiting fans were far from happy, taunting their own manager with 'sacked in the morning' chants, which will do little to show the board they have faith he can turn things around. Spurs have now won just two of their last 14 games in the league, losing seven of those.

Speaking in his post-match press conference, the 52-year-old put up a staunch defence of his team: "I don't think it was a bad performance. It was maybe not the result we hoped for," the Dane said. "I think the performance, if you look at it throughout the game, especially the first half, was good.

"The way we ended the game, good. Average second half, which you've seen many times. Then unfortunately it lacked with two moments where we didn't defend it well enough. That's what we are working very, very hard on, to try to get on top of. While we are fighting everything we can to perform in the Champions League and Premier League. That's the way it is."

This is a game Spurs should have won easily on paper, with €265m in transfer expenditure in the summer and a huge €878.5m in squad value - over €625m more than Burnley. Yet it told the familiar tale of Spurs' season, failing to generate enough clear-cut chances on goal and surrendering leading positions.

Club Comparison

Burnley FC

Tottenham Hotspur

Premier League

Premier League

€249.65m

Market Value

€878.50m

First Tier

League Level

First Tier

€128.65m

Expenditures 25/26

€265.60m

Scott Parker

Managers

Thomas Frank

Full Club Comparison

Frank was brought in off the back of his incredible work at Brentford in his six years at the club, but those memories are fading badly with this current dismal run of form. Frank has overseen a run of just two wins from their last 13 games, and their home form has been nothing short of horrific.

Quite simply, the only positive about his reign so far has been their Champions League run. Spurs find themselves inside the top eight after beating Borussia Dortmund 2-0 at the Tottenham Hotspur Stadium on Wednesday and are in a great position to qualify for the Round of 16. But their league form simply has to improve if he is to avoid the sack after just seven months in the job.

©IMAGO

The pressure continues to mount on Thomas Frank after Tottenham salvaged a late point against Burnley in the Premier League on Saturday. Spurs relied on a 90th-minute equaliser from captain Cristian Romero to spare their blushes after squandering their lead at Turf Moor, eventually settling for a 2-2 draw against the relegation candidates.

Centre-back Micky van de Ven scored the opener after 38 minutes, his fifth goal of the campaign, before Axel Tuanzebe replied in first-half stoppage time. Lyle Foster then put Scott Parker's men on course for an unlikely victory before Romero struck at the death to salvage a draw. But the visiting fans were far from happy, taunting their own manager with 'sacked in the morning' chants, which will do little to show the board they have faith he can turn things around. Spurs have now won just two of their last 14 games in the league, losing seven of those.

Speaking in his post-match press conference, the 52-year-old put up a staunch defence of his team: "I don't think it was a bad performance. It was maybe not the result we hoped for," the Dane said. "I think the performance, if you look at it throughout the game, especially the first half, was good.

"The way we ended the game, good. Average second half, which you've seen many times. Then unfortunately it lacked with two moments where we didn't defend it well enough. That's what we are working very, very hard on, to try to get on top of. While we are fighting everything we can to perform in the Champions League and Premier League. That's the way it is."

This is a game Spurs should have won easily on paper, with €265m in transfer expenditure in the summer and a huge €878.5m in squad value - over €625m more than Burnley. Yet it told the familiar tale of Spurs' season, failing to generate enough clear-cut chances on goal and surrendering leading positions.

Club Comparison

Burnley FC

Tottenham Hotspur

Premier League

Premier League

€249.65m

Market Value

€878.50m

First Tier

League Level

First Tier

€128.65m

Expenditures 25/26

€265.60m

Scott Parker

Managers

Thomas Frank

Full Club Comparison

Frank was brought in off the back of his incredible work at Brentford in his six years at the club, but those memories are fading badly with this current dismal run of form. Frank has overseen a run of just two wins from their last 13 games, and their home form has been nothing short of horrific.

Quite simply, the only positive about his reign so far has been their Champions League run. Spurs find themselves inside the top eight after beating Borussia Dortmund 2-0 at the Tottenham Hotspur Stadium on Wednesday and are in a great position to qualify for the Round of 16. But their league form simply has to improve if he is to avoid the sack after just seven months in the job.

©IMAGO

Tottenham Hotspur manager Thomas Frank is unquestionably on borrowed time at the North London club, following Saturday’s 2-1 defeat to struggling West Ham in the Premier League. The result now means that Tottenham languish in 14th spot in the English top-flight, with just two wins from their last 13 league games. In all competitions, Frank’s record at the club stands at just 1.28 points per game - which is a notable drop from predecessor Ange Postecoglou’s 1.52 average and in fact the worst return for any full-time manager at Tottenham in the last 20 years. According to Fabrizio Romano, the Danish tactician will be in charge for the club’s Champions League clash with Borussia Dortmund on Tuesday but it remains to be seen whether he’ll last the month.

Whether Frank deserves to be sacked less than a year into the job is certainly up for debate. Few Spurs fans are enamored by the former Brentford manager’s tactics or player selections, but many are willing to admit that Frank is working with one of the weakest Tottenham squads in recent years. Whether it be Christian Eriksen, Harry Kane or Heung-Min Son, a number of star players have departed the North London club in recent years and the club have undoubtedly struggled to replace them. So how far have Tottenham fallen behind their domestic rivals in terms of quality off the pitch and how much of that should factor into Frank’s inability to get them up the league table? Let’s take a look.

Tottenham have struggled to keep up with the “Big Six”

As most Spurs fans will begrudgingly admit, the club’s fortunes in the Premier League begun to take a nose dive when Mauricio Pochettino departed the club in late 2019 and when we compare Tottenham’s overall squad market value to the rest of the so-called “Big Six” in the English top-flight we can see how much the North London club have struggled to keep up. In January 2020 (just a few months after Pochettino’s departure), Tottenham had a squad market value of €966 million. That figure then took a steep decline to a low of €643m in January 2022 and has steadily increased in value to €873m. However, that still works out at a 10% drop in market value since January 2020. And in that time the club’s rivals have seen their market value rise far higher.

When we compare that to the average squad market value of the other “Big Six” clubs in the Premier League, it shows how far off the pace Tottenham have been in the last six years. In total, the average squad value of the club’s rivals has increased from €937m in January 2020 to €1.09 billion. Not only does that €162m increase work out a 16% increase compared to when Pochettino was calling the shots at Tottenham, but eagle-eyed fans of the club will note that back that Spurs’ squad market value was actually €28m higher than the "Big Six" average in January 2020, but is now €227m less than it at this moment in time.

Club Comparison

Tottenham Hotspur

Arsenal FC

Premier League

Premier League

€873.50m

Market Value

€1.31bn

First Tier

League Level

First Tier

€250.60m

Expenditures 25/26

€294.60m

Thomas Frank

Managers

Mikel Arteta

Full Club Comparison

As if to rub salt in the wounds, it’s also worth noting that in this period of time no other “Big Six” club has excelled more than Tottenham’s rivals Arsenal. While Spurs’ squad has lost €92m in market value since January 2020, Arsenal’s has gained a whopping €630m in market value. And what’s truly damning about that remarkable contrast in fortunes is that Arsenal’s net spend on transfer fees is just €140m more than their North London rivals in that period of time. In fact, Tottenham have the fourth highest net spend among all English clubs since the start of the 2019/20 season but certainly don’t have a top-four squad to show for it.

Mid-table challengers causing chaos for Spurs

But the reason why Tottenham’s squad is in such a mess right now is largely due to the fact that they’re not only struggling to keep up with the best teams in the league, but are also struggling to keep the clubs below them at bay. Since the start of the 2019/20 season, Tottenham sit sixth among all Premier League clubs for points won. Just below them are Aston Villa, Newcastle and Brighton. And over the course of the last six years the three “mid-table” clubs have made huge gains on Tottenham on and off the pitch.

As we can see in the table above, in the period in which Tottenham’s squad market value fell by €93m, Aston Villa’s squad gained €270m, Newcastle’s gained €306m and Brighton’s increased by a remarkable €443m in squad market value. In January 2020, the average squad market value of the three mid-table clubs was roughly €720m less than Tottenham’s. Now it is only €288m less than the squad Frank has to work with. And that has had huge ramifications on Tottenham’s standing in the league table.

Since the start of the 19/20 season, Tottenham have won seven and lost six league games against Aston Villa, won six, drawn one and lost six games against Brighton and won just four, drawn three and lost six games against Newcastle. That means, on average, Spurs have picked up just 1.41 points per game against the three clubs breathing down their neck and on the hunt for a top-six finish each season. Or, in other words, the North London club typically picks up just 33% of the available points against all three clubs each season.

Of course, none of this will come as startling news to Tottenham fans, who’ve watched their side struggle against the aforementioned trio in recent years, all while bemoaning the manner in which Arsenal, Manchester City & Co. have pulled away from them on the pitch. In no uncertain terms, this Tottenham squad is hardly fit to call itself a team that should be comfortably finishing in the top six. But it remains to be seen whether those considerations will be taken into account when Frank’s future at the club is finally decided.

©IMAGO

Tottenham Hotspur manager Thomas Frank is unquestionably on borrowed time at the North London club, following Saturday’s 2-1 defeat to struggling West Ham in the Premier League. The result now means that Tottenham languish in 14th spot in the English top-flight, with just two wins from their last 13 league games. In all competitions, Frank’s record at the club stands at just 1.28 points per game - which is a notable drop from predecessor Ange Postecoglou’s 1.52 average and in fact the worst return for any full-time manager at Tottenham in the last 20 years. According to Fabrizio Romano, the Danish tactician will be in charge for the club’s Champions League clash with Borussia Dortmund on Tuesday but it remains to be seen whether he’ll last the month.

Whether Frank deserves to be sacked less than a year into the job is certainly up for debate. Few Spurs fans are enamored by the former Brentford manager’s tactics or player selections, but many are willing to admit that Frank is working with one of the weakest Tottenham squads in recent years. Whether it be Christian Eriksen, Harry Kane or Heung-Min Son, a number of star players have departed the North London club in recent years and the club have undoubtedly struggled to replace them. So how far have Tottenham fallen behind their domestic rivals in terms of quality off the pitch and how much of that should factor into Frank’s inability to get them up the league table? Let’s take a look.

Tottenham have struggled to keep up with the “Big Six”

As most Spurs fans will begrudgingly admit, the club’s fortunes in the Premier League begun to take a nose dive when Mauricio Pochettino departed the club in late 2019 and when we compare Tottenham’s overall squad market value to the rest of the so-called “Big Six” in the English top-flight we can see how much the North London club have struggled to keep up. In January 2020 (just a few months after Pochettino’s departure), Tottenham had a squad market value of €966 million. That figure then took a steep decline to a low of €643m in January 2022 and has steadily increased in value to €873m. However, that still works out at a 10% drop in market value since January 2020. And in that time the club’s rivals have seen their market value rise far higher.

When we compare that to the average squad market value of the other “Big Six” clubs in the Premier League, it shows how far off the pace Tottenham have been in the last six years. In total, the average squad value of the club’s rivals has increased from €937m in January 2020 to €1.09 billion. Not only does that €162m increase work out a 16% increase compared to when Pochettino was calling the shots at Tottenham, but eagle-eyed fans of the club will note that back that Spurs’ squad market value was actually €28m higher than the "Big Six" average in January 2020, but is now €227m less than it at this moment in time.

Club Comparison

Tottenham Hotspur

Arsenal FC

Premier League

Premier League

€873.50m

Market Value

€1.31bn

First Tier

League Level

First Tier

€250.60m

Expenditures 25/26

€294.60m

Thomas Frank

Managers

Mikel Arteta

Full Club Comparison

As if to rub salt in the wounds, it’s also worth noting that in this period of time no other “Big Six” club has excelled more than Tottenham’s rivals Arsenal. While Spurs’ squad has lost €92m in market value since January 2020, Arsenal’s has gained a whopping €630m in market value. And what’s truly damning about that remarkable contrast in fortunes is that Arsenal’s net spend on transfer fees is just €140m more than their North London rivals in that period of time. In fact, Tottenham have the fourth highest net spend among all English clubs since the start of the 2019/20 season but certainly don’t have a top-four squad to show for it.

Mid-table challengers causing chaos for Spurs

But the reason why Tottenham’s squad is in such a mess right now is largely due to the fact that they’re not only struggling to keep up with the best teams in the league, but are also struggling to keep the clubs below them at bay. Since the start of the 2019/20 season, Tottenham sit sixth among all Premier League clubs for points won. Just below them are Aston Villa, Newcastle and Brighton. And over the course of the last six years the three “mid-table” clubs have made huge gains on Tottenham on and off the pitch.

As we can see in the table above, in the period in which Tottenham’s squad market value fell by €93m, Aston Villa’s squad gained €270m, Newcastle’s gained €306m and Brighton’s increased by a remarkable €443m in squad market value. In January 2020, the average squad market value of the three mid-table clubs was roughly €720m less than Tottenham’s. Now it is only €288m less than the squad Frank has to work with. And that has had huge ramifications on Tottenham’s standing in the league table.

Since the start of the 19/20 season, Tottenham have won seven and lost six league games against Aston Villa, won six, drawn one and lost six games against Brighton and won just four, drawn three and lost six games against Newcastle. That means, on average, Spurs have picked up just 1.41 points per game against the three clubs breathing down their neck and on the hunt for a top-six finish each season. Or, in other words, the North London club typically picks up just 33% of the available points against all three clubs each season.

Of course, none of this will come as startling news to Tottenham fans, who’ve watched their side struggle against the aforementioned trio in recent years, all while bemoaning the manner in which Arsenal, Manchester City & Co. have pulled away from them on the pitch. In no uncertain terms, this Tottenham squad is hardly fit to call itself a team that should be comfortably finishing in the top six. But it remains to be seen whether those considerations will be taken into account when Frank’s future at the club is finally decided.

Tottenham Hotspur - Borussia Dortmund prediction & tips 20.01.2026

Tottenham Hotspur welcome Borussia Dortmund to North London on Tuesday, 20th January 2026, at 21:00 for a crucial Champions League encounter on matchday 7. Both sides currently occupy identical positions with 11 points each, though Dortmund sit marginally higher in 10th place compared to Spurs' 11th position in the league phase table. The match takes place at the Tottenham Hotspur Stadium, where the hosts have maintained a perfect home record in this season's European campaign.

Our Betting Prediction for Tottenham Hotspur vs Borussia Dortmund

Our betting tip for this encounter centres on a draw at odds of 3.58 available at 1win. Both teams arrive at this fixture with identical records of three victories, two draws, and one defeat in the Champions League, suggesting a closely contested affair awaits. The value proposition becomes particularly appealing when considering Tottenham's recent domestic struggles contrasted against Dortmund's improved away form in European competition.

Our second betting prediction focuses on both teams to score, available at 1.62 with Paripesa. Tottenham have netted 13 goals while conceding seven in their Champions League campaign, whilst Dortmund have been even more prolific with 19 goals scored, albeit conceding 13. The attacking capabilities of both sides, combined with defensive vulnerabilities, particularly evident in Dortmund's recent 2-2 draw with FK Bodoe/Glimt, support this market selection.

Tottenham Hotspur Form Analysis

Tottenham arrive at this fixture following a disappointing 1-2 home defeat to Aston Villa, highlighting their inconsistent domestic form which has seen them secure just one victory in their last five matches across all competitions. However, their European campaign tells a markedly different story, with Thomas Frank's side maintaining an unblemished home record in the Champions League this season, securing three victories from three matches at their North London fortress.

The Lilywhites demonstrated their European credentials with a commanding 3-0 victory over Slavia Praha in their most recent Champions League outing, showcasing the attacking prowess that has yielded 13 goals in six European fixtures. Their defensive solidity at home has been particularly impressive, conceding no goals in their three Champions League home matches, a stark contrast to their domestic vulnerabilities.

Frank's tactical approach has proven effective in European competition, with his side accumulating 11 points from six matches, placing them in contention for qualification to the knockout stages. The Danish manager's emphasis on high-intensity pressing and quick transitions has served Tottenham well in the Champions League, though translating this consistency to domestic competition remains challenging. Their recent European form across seasons shows two victories, two draws, and one defeat in their last five Champions League encounters, indicating a gradual improvement in continental competition.

Borussia Dortmund's European Campaign

Borussia Dortmund approach this encounter in notably better form than their hosts, remaining unbeaten in their last five matches across all competitions with two victories and three draws. Their most recent outing saw them secure a convincing 3-0 home victory over Werder Bremen, demonstrating the attacking fluidity that has characterised their season under Niko Kovač's guidance.

The German giants have accumulated 11 points in the Champions League, matching Tottenham's tally whilst occupying 10th position due to superior goal difference. Their 19 goals scored represent one of the more impressive attacking returns in the competition, though defensive concerns persist having conceded 13 goals. This vulnerability was evident in their most recent European fixture, a 2-2 home draw with FK Bodoe/Glimt, where they surrendered a commanding position.

Kovač has implemented an attacking philosophy that prioritises offensive output, often at the expense of defensive stability. Their away record in the Champions League shows one victory, one draw, and one defeat, suggesting they possess the capability to secure positive results on their travels. The Croatian manager's tactical flexibility has been evident throughout their European campaign, with Dortmund demonstrating resilience in challenging away fixtures. Their recent Champions League form across seasons indicates three victories, one draw, and one defeat in their last five encounters, highlighting their pedigree in European competition.

Last Direct Encounters

The recent head-to-head record heavily favours Tottenham, who have secured four victories compared to Dortmund's solitary success in their last five meetings across all competitions. Their most recent encounter resulted in a 1-0 away victory for Tottenham, continuing their dominance in this fixture. This psychological advantage could prove significant, particularly given Tottenham's impressive home form in European competition this season.

However, historical precedent must be weighed against current form trajectories, with Dortmund arriving in considerably better shape than their hosts. The German side's unbeaten run in recent fixtures contrasts sharply with Tottenham's inconsistent displays, suggesting the head-to-head advantage may be less influential than current momentum.

Recent Form Comparison

The contrasting recent form of both sides represents a crucial factor in this encounter. Tottenham's domestic struggles, evidenced by just one victory in their last five matches, stand in stark opposition to their European excellence. Conversely, Dortmund's unbeaten streak across all competitions demonstrates their current confidence and tactical cohesion under Kovač's stewardship.

Tottenham's latest result, a 1-2 home defeat to Aston Villa, highlighted defensive frailties that could be exploited by Dortmund's potent attacking arsenal. Meanwhile, Dortmund's 3-0 victory over Werder Bremen showcased their clinical finishing and tactical discipline, attributes that will prove valuable in this challenging away fixture.

Betting Markets and Odds Analysis

Our extensive experience working with leading bookmakers and analysing betting markets across the industry indicates significant value in the draw market at 3.58. The closely matched statistics between both sides, combined with Tottenham's home advantage against Dortmund's superior current form, suggests a stalemate represents the most likely outcome.

Many betting sites with welcome bonus offers provide enhanced odds for new customers, making this an opportune moment for newcomers to capitalise on welcome bonus sites. The both teams to score market at 1.62 offers compelling value given the attacking capabilities of both sides and their defensive vulnerabilities demonstrated throughout the Champions League campaign.

Conclusion

This encounter presents a fascinating contrast between Tottenham's European home fortress and Dortmund's superior current form. The identical points tally and similar Champions League records suggest a closely contested affair, supporting our prediction of a draw. Tottenham's perfect home European record provides confidence, whilst Dortmund's unbeaten run across all competitions indicates their capability to secure a positive result. The attacking prowess of both sides, evidenced by their goal-scoring records in the Champions League, strongly supports the both teams to score market, making this our recommended secondary betting option for this intriguing encounter.

©IMAGO

The January transfer window is now open and the rumours continue to circulate as clubs plan out moves. Teams are working tirelessly behind the scenes on identifying targets and figuring out their budgets.

Managers will be constantly assessing their squads with sporting directors and recruitment staff scanning the market for potential deals. The rumour mill is still gathering pace and we've collated some of the biggest current transfer stories - you can access the full rumour below.

Today's biggest transfer stories

Rumour K. Adeyemi Right Winger

Dortmund 57 % Tottenham Bundesliga Premier League

Tottenham's determination to turn their season around with some fresh faces in January could lead them back to the Bundesliga. According to TeamTalk, the North London club are weighing up a move for Borussia Dortmund forward Karim Adeyemi. However, Spurs could face competition from other Premier League clubs.

Rumour Dan Ndoye Right Winger

Nott'm Forest ? Inter Premier League Serie A

Inter Milan and Nottingham Forest continue to debate over a potential move for Serie A midfielder Davide Frattesi and according to Fabrizio Romano that could lead to Dan Ndoye moving to Italy. A new report suggests that Inter may look to include the right winger as part of a swap deal between the two players.

Rumour Alex Tóth Central Midfield

Ferencváros 64 % Bournemouth Nemzeti Bajnokság Premier League

It's been a pretty miserable first half of the season for Tottenham, but some excitement may stem out of their latest transfer activity. On Wednesday the North London club completed a €40 million deal for Atlético Madrid and England midfielder Conor Gallagher after moving ahead of Aston Villa in the race for his signature. Villa appeared to be in pole position to sign Gallagher, but Spurs won the race for the 25-year-old's signature after expressing a willingness to meet Atléico's valuation on a permanent deal this winter. Villa had preferred to sign the former Chelsea man on an initial loan deal with an option to make the move permanent in the summer.

“I wanted to be a Spurs player and thankfully the club felt the same," said Gallagher in a club statement, confirming that the player had signed a "long-term" deal. "It was very easy, it happened very quickly and I'm ready to get on the pitch. I know how great the fans are, I’m really happy to be a part of it here and want to create special moments and memories together.” Tottenham manager Thomas Frank, said: “Conor is a top midfielder, who we have worked tirelessly to add to our squad. He is still young, so has plenty of room for improvement, but also has huge experience across the Premier League, La Liga and with the England national team."

How has Gallagher performed in Spain?

Gallagher signed for Spanish giants Atlético in the summer of 2024, leaving Stamford Bridge in a €42m deal. The transfer led to some unrest from some sections of the Blues support, with it suggested a large contributing factor behind the sale was the fact he was a homegrown player, so therefore generated more profit to stay on the right side of the Premier League's financial laws. Last season, in his first campaign in Madrid, he made a decent impact, with his relentless pressing suiting the style of the team. He was nicknamed 'El Pitbull' for his tenacious hounding of opposition defenders and ability to rapidly cover ground, and appeared the perfect fit for 'El Cholo's' Atlético.

However, despite playing 32 times in LaLiga, he only started half of the 38 matches in the league, with fierce competition in midfield from Pablo Barrios, Koke, Rodrigo De Paul and Marcos Llorente. Gallagher also made nine appearances in the Champions League last term, with his best moment in an Atlético shirt probably being his goal against rivals Real Madrid in the round of 16 at the Metropolitano.

Iván Turmo is Transfermarkt's Area Manager in Spain and explains more about Gallagher's time in Madrid: "He has failed to establish himself as a regular starter for Atlético, and has faced increased competition this year after Atlético signed Johnny Cardoso, Álex Baena, Thiago Almada, and Nico González. Overall, he is a player who never really managed to secure a regular place in the starting XI. He had numerous opportunities but never put together a run of good performances to earn a starting spot."

©IMAGO

The January transfer window is now open and the rumours continue to circulate as clubs plan out moves. Teams are working tirelessly behind the scenes on identifying targets and figuring out their budgets.

Managers will be constantly assessing their squads with sporting directors and recruitment staff scanning the market for potential deals. The rumour mill is still gathering pace and we've collated some of the biggest current transfer stories - you can access the full rumour below.

Today's biggest transfer stories

Rumour K. Adeyemi Right Winger

Dortmund ? Tottenham Bundesliga Premier League

Tottenham's determination to turn their season around with some fresh faces in January could lead them back to the Bundesliga. According to TeamTalk, the North London club are weighing up a move for Borussia Dortmund forward Karim Adeyemi. However, Spurs could face competition from other Premier League clubs.

Rumour Dan Ndoye Right Winger

Nott'm Forest ? Inter Premier League Serie A

Inter Milan and Nottingham Forest continue to debate over a potential move for Serie A midfielder Davide Frattesi and according to Fabrizio Romano that could lead to Dan Ndoye moving to Italy. A new report suggests that Inter may look to include the right winger as part of a swap deal between the two players.

Rumour Alex Tóth Central Midfield

Ferencváros 59 % Bournemouth Nemzeti Bajnokság Premier League

Tottenham Hotspur - West Ham United prediction & tips 17.01.2026

Tottenham Hotspur welcome West Ham United to their home stadium on Saturday, 17th January 2026, at 16:00 for Matchday 22 of the Premier League season. The hosts currently occupy 14th position with 27 points from 21 matches, while the visitors find themselves in a precarious 18th place with just 14 points. Both London clubs are experiencing challenging campaigns, with Tottenham under the guidance of Thomas Frank and West Ham managed by Nuno Espírito Santo seeking crucial points in this derby encounter.

Our Betting Prediction for Tottenham Hotspur vs West Ham United

Our betting tip for this London derby favours a home victory for Tottenham Hotspur, with odds of 1.77 available at 1win representing solid value for the hosts. Despite their inconsistent form, Spurs possess superior quality and should capitalise on their home advantage against a struggling West Ham side that has managed just three victories all season.

The three-way betting market clearly indicates Tottenham as favourites, though their recent performances suggest this fixture could prove more challenging than the odds suggest. For those seeking enhanced returns, considering the draw at odds of 4.06 could provide value given both teams' unpredictable nature this campaign.

Our second betting prediction focuses on the "both teams to score" market, where we recommend backing "Yes" at odds of 1.70 with Paripesa. Both sides have demonstrated defensive vulnerabilities throughout the season, with West Ham conceding 43 goals in 21 matches and Tottenham's defence proving equally unreliable at times. The attacking quality present in both squads suggests goals at both ends remain highly probable.

Tottenham Hotspur Form Analysis

Tottenham have endured a disappointing campaign under Thomas Frank's management, collecting just 27 points from their opening 21 Premier League fixtures. Their recent form reflects the broader struggles, with Spurs managing only one victory in their last five league encounters alongside two draws and two defeats. The most recent Premier League outing resulted in a frustrating 2-3 away defeat to AFC Bournemouth, highlighting the defensive frailties that have plagued their season.

The statistics paint a concerning picture for the North London outfit, particularly their home record which shows merely two victories from ten matches at their own stadium. Five home defeats represent a significant concern for Frank, whose tactical approach has yet to yield consistent results. The goal difference of 30:27 suggests attacking potency remains intact, but defensive stability continues to elude them.

Frank's tactical philosophy emphasises attacking football, though the implementation has proven problematic throughout this campaign. The Danish manager's experience with Brentford demonstrated his ability to organise defensively compact units, yet translating this success to Tottenham has proved challenging. Their most recent fixture saw them succumb 1-2 at home to Aston Villa, extending their poor run of form across all competitions.

The squad's quality remains undeniable, but consistency has been their Achilles heel. Frank must address the defensive vulnerabilities while maintaining their attacking threat if Tottenham are to climb the table and challenge for European qualification positions.

West Ham United Struggling for Survival

West Ham United find themselves in genuine relegation danger, occupying 18th position with a mere 14 points accumulated from 21 Premier League matches. Their recent form has been particularly alarming, with the Hammers failing to secure a single victory in their last five league fixtures, managing just one draw alongside four defeats. The latest Premier League encounter saw them lose 1-2 at home to Nottingham Forest, further deepening their crisis.

Nuno Espírito Santo's appointment was intended to provide stability and tactical organisation, qualities the Portuguese manager demonstrated during his previous Premier League tenure with Wolverhampton Wanderers. However, the transition has proven more difficult than anticipated, with West Ham's defensive record of 43 goals conceded in 21 matches representing one of the division's worst statistics.

Their away form offers little encouragement, with just one victory from ten road trips complemented by four draws and five defeats. The attacking output has also been insufficient, with only 22 goals scored highlighting the lack of cutting edge in the final third. Nuno's tactical approach typically emphasises defensive solidity and counter-attacking opportunities, yet implementing this system with the current squad has yielded limited success.

The recent 2-1 victory over Queens Park Rangers in the FA Cup, achieved after extra time, provided temporary respite and demonstrated the squad's fighting spirit. However, translating cup form into league performances remains the paramount challenge facing Nuno and his players as they battle to avoid relegation.

Last Direct Encounters

The most recent meeting between these London rivals resulted in a comprehensive 3-0 away victory for Tottenham Hotspur, demonstrating their superiority in this particular fixture. Examining the head-to-head record over the last five encounters reveals a relatively balanced contest, with Tottenham claiming two victories, West Ham securing one win, and two matches ending in draws.

This recent dominance by Spurs in the fixture provides additional confidence for backing the home side, particularly given West Ham's current struggles and poor away form. The psychological advantage gained from their previous emphatic victory could prove crucial in determining the outcome of Saturday's encounter.

Current Form Comparison

Analysing the recent form across all competitions reveals both teams struggling for consistency, though Tottenham's record appears marginally superior. Spurs have managed one victory, two draws, and two defeats in their last five fixtures, while West Ham's record shows one win, one draw, and three defeats over the same period.

The contrasting nature of their most recent results provides insight into each team's current state. Tottenham's 1-2 home defeat to Aston Villa highlighted defensive vulnerabilities but demonstrated attacking intent. Conversely, West Ham's 2-1 FA Cup victory over Queens Park Rangers, achieved after extra time, showed resilience but against lower-division opposition.

Expert Betting Analysis and Recommendations

Drawing upon extensive experience working with leading bookmakers and analysing countless fixtures, this London derby presents clear value in the home win market. Tottenham's superior squad quality, combined with West Ham's alarming league position and poor away record, justifies backing Spurs at odds of 1.77.

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The "both teams to score" market at 1.70 represents excellent value given both sides' defensive struggles. Tottenham have conceded regularly despite their attacking capabilities, while West Ham's defensive record speaks for itself.

Match Prediction Summary

Tottenham Hotspur should secure victory against West Ham United despite their own inconsistent form. The hosts possess superior individual quality, benefit from home advantage, and face opponents desperately short of confidence and points. West Ham's relegation battle and poor away record suggest they will struggle to contain Spurs' attacking threats. However, both teams' defensive vulnerabilities indicate goals at both ends remain highly probable, making the "both teams to score" market equally attractive for this London derby encounter.

It's been a pretty miserable first half of the season for Tottenham, but some excitement may stem out of their latest transfer activity. Spurs are expected to complete a €40 million deal for Atlético Madrid and England midfielder Conor Gallagher after moving ahead of Aston Villa in the race for his signature. Villa appeared to be in pole position to sign Gallagher, but Spurs are now closing in on the 25-year-old after expressing a willingness to meet Atléico's valuation on a permanent deal this winter. Villa had preferred to sign the former Chelsea man on an initial loan deal with an option to make the move permanent in the summer.

Gallagher has not yet agreed personal terms with Spurs, but that is understood to be a formality. The midfielder is thought to be keen to finalise the transfer as soon as possible, and he will hope a move back to the Premier League may boost his chances of breaking back into Thomas Tuchel's England squad for this summer's World Cup. He has only played once under the German so far, featuring for 59 minutes in the 3-1 friendly defeat by Senegal. It was a bold move for Gallagher to swap his boyhood club Chelsea for Diego Simeone's Atlético, but just how did the midfielder perform in LaLiga?

How has Gallagher performed in Spain?

Gallagher signed for Spanish giants Atlético in the summer of 2024, leaving Stamford Bridge in a €42m deal. The transfer led to some unrest from some sections of the Blues support, with it suggested a large contributing factor behind the sale was the fact he was a homegrown player, so therefore generated more profit to stay on the right side of the Premier League's financial laws. Last season, in his first campaign in Madrid, he made a decent impact, with his relentless pressing suiting the style of the team. He was nicknamed 'El Pitbull' for his tenacious hounding of opposition defenders and ability to rapidly cover ground, and appeared the perfect fit for 'El Cholo's' Atlético.

However, despite playing 32 times in LaLiga, he only started half of the 38 matches in the league, with fierce competition in midfield from Pablo Barrios, Koke, Rodrigo De Paul and Marcos Llorente. Gallagher also made nine appearances in the Champions League last term, with his best moment in an Atlético shirt probably being his goal against rivals Real Madrid in the round of 16 at the Metropolitano.

Iván Turmo is Transfermarkt's Area Manager in Spain and explains more about Gallagher's time in Madrid: "He has failed to establish himself as a regular starter for Atlético, and has faced increased competition this year after Atlético signed Johnny Cardoso, Álex Baena, Thiago Almada, and Nico González. Overall, he is a player who never really managed to secure a regular place in the starting XI. He had numerous opportunities but never put together a run of good performances to earn a starting spot."