Quite straightforwardly, Spurs can absolutely win today’s North London derby against Arsenal—it’s football, and derbies are notoriously unpredictable, especially with the stakes and emotions involved.
The match is happening today, on Sunday, February 22, 2026, at Tottenham Hotspur Stadium in the Premier League. Kick-off is at 4:30 pm GMT.
As ever, the current context is everything: Arsenal are topping the league table (or very close to it), described as “Premier League leaders” or “wobbling” recently, with their lead cut.
They’ve been in strong form overall (e.g., W17 D7 L3 in one snapshot), and betting odds heavily favour them (around -179 to win, meaning they’re strong favourites).
Tottenham are struggling badly in the mid-to-lower table (16th in some views, with a poor record like W7 D8 L11 and recent form LDDLL). They’re in a relegation scrap or at a very high risk of being in one, and this is Igor Tudor’s first game in charge after a managerial change, adding uncertainty but also potential for a new-manager bounce. It is this bounce that the clubs’ owners are praying for.
Derby dynamics often level the playing field: home advantage at Spurs’ stadium, a passionate crowd, and Arsenal’s occasional vulnerability in big away games or when momentum dips can open the door. Spurs have pulled off upsets in past derbies despite being underdogs.
The home crowd is worth dwelling on. In recent poor games, the practice of booing and jeering has become commonplace, and unless Tottenham back their boys today, there could be trouble in store. Sure, the players have a job to do, but this injury-ravaged side needs its supporters
That said, realistically, the data points to Arsenal as the more likely winners (Opta supercomputer simulations have them at around a 60% chance). But Spurs can win if they capitalise on set pieces, counter-attacks, home energy, or if Arsenal have an off day