The Premier League is back in business this weekend and that means a bumper Sunday of matches as Tottenham welcome Aston Villa to North London.
Football tipster Andy Robson has put together four selections for Sunday’s 2pm clash that combine to make a great value Bet Builder.
He’s also two player picks here, which means they fall under Paddy’s Sup Sub offer. If your selection is subbed off, your bet will carry onto his replacement. Let’s get his Spurs v Aston Villa betting tips.
Spurs v Aston Villa Bet Builder tips
Over 1.5 goals
Over 9.5 Match Corners
Lamare Bogarde 1+ fouls committed
Tottenham GK 2+ saves
A Bet Builder with these selections pay approximately 3/1 with Paddy Power. CLICK HERE TO ADD IT TO YOUR BETSLIP.
*All prices are bang up to date with our snazzy widgets, while odds in copy are accurate at time of publishing but subject to change.
Andy’s Bet Club is packed with football predictions for this weekend, across the Premier League, EFL, and European leagues. As well as data-backed Football Tips, you can also use my popular Football Match Centres, which provide in-depth statistical breakdowns on all of the weekend matches.
Spurs v Aston Villa
WHEN: Sunday, October 19th, 2pm
WHERE: The Tottenham Hotspur Stadium, London
TV: Sky Sports Main Event/Premier League
Over 1.5 goals
Tottenham started the season really well defensively, but that’s unravelled a little in the last few weeks, which is a pattern that has seen their games produce more goals. Spurs have seen 2+ goals in each of their last five matches, only keeping one clean sheet in this period, against Doncaster in the Carabao Cup.
Villa’s resurgence has also been accompanied by goals. They’ve seen 2+ goals in four of their last five matches, with the exception being their 1-0 win over Bologna, which was a game that saw a combined xG of 2.69 from 29 total match shots.
These sides faced off three times last season, twice in the Premier League and once in the FA Cup. 2+ goals landed in all three meetings, with Villa winning twice, though Tottenham did win 4-1 in this fixture last term.
Over 9.5 Match Corners
Both of sides rank in the top 10 in the Premier League when it comes to corners won:
Tottenham – 42 (4th) – 6.0 per game
Aston Villa – 38 (7th) – 5.42 per game
Spurs are interesting when it comes to corners, they took plenty under Ange Postecoglou last term, but rarely utilised them effectively, and were also vulnerable to conceding set pieces. That has changed under Thomas Frank, but the volume of corners Spurs are able to rack up has remained the same.
Tottenham are averaging 5.33 corners per game at home in the Premier League this season, with their home matches seeing 12.67 match corners per 90 minutes. Villa’s away corner average sits at 5.67, a marginal increase on their overall numbers, with their away games seeing 11.67 corners per game overall.
The meeting between these sides at the Tottenham Hotspur Stadium last season produced exactly 10, six for Tottenham and four for Villa.
Lamare Bogarde 1+ fouls committed
Lamare Bogarde has put in some impressive performances in midfield for Villa this season, with his best coming just before the international break in a 3-1 home win over Burnley.
Bogarde was hauled down three times in that game and committed one foul himself, taking his tally for the season to six fouls committed across just 284 minutes of Premier League football (1.90 per 90).
His other most recent near 90 saw him commit two fouls in Villa’s win over Fulham, which further highlights his ability to commit fouls. He’s quite a versatile player and can occupy a number of positions, he’s comfortable on the ball, but will have a defensive role here as well.
Frank played Xavi Simons through the middle for the first time against Leeds before the international break. Up until then, Simons had been shifted out to the wing, but him operating in a central role really aids our selection.
Simons has won four fouls so far this season (1.43 per 90) and averaged 2.34 fouls won per 90 in the Bundesliga last term.
Tottenham GK 2+ saves
Guglielmo Vicario was forced into three saves in Tottenham’s 2-1 win over Leeds, extending his strong shot stopping record at the start of this campaign.
That tally maintains a strong save rate for Vicario, who has had to bail Tottenham out at times and is been a big component in their improved defensive structure under Frank.
He’s made 24 saves across his seven matches this season (3.43 per 90) with an excellent save percentage of 82.8% across these matches.
Villa have recovered from a slow start to win their last four across all competitions, but just one of these came away from home. They drew five saves from Martin Dubravka last time out and can test Vicario multiple times here.
Spurs v Aston Villa Bet Builder tips
Over 1.5 goals
Over 9.5 Match Corners
Lamare Bogarde 1+ fouls committed
Tottenham GK 2+ saves
A Bet Builder with these selections pay approximately 3/1 with Paddy Power. CLICK HERE TO ADD IT TO YOUR BETSLIP.
*All prices are bang up to date with our snazzy widgets, while odds in copy are accurate at time of publishing but subject to change.
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