Tottenham have had a disastrous weekend of results, and their misery continued on Monday as relegation rivals, Leeds United, pulled off an unlikely win away at Old Trafford.
Spurs dropped into the relegation zone for the first time this season following West Ham’s win over Wolves last Friday, and they were unable to get out of the bottom three on Sunday as they fell to a 1-0 defeat to Sunderland.
After the latest round of results, for the first time, Opta considered Tottenham the favourites to go down alongside Burnley and Wolves this season.
The data analysis platform gave the Lilywhites a 46.5 per cent chance of going down, considerably higher than West Ham’s 38.78 per cent, and they have now revised their prediction again following Monday’s result at Manchester.
Leeds further dent Tottenham’s hopes of Premier League survival
Leeds emerged with a 2-1 win from Old Trafford on Monday, courtesy of a first-half brace by Noah Okafor and a sending off in the 56th minute for Man United centre-back Lisandro Martinez.
Following that result, Opta’s Supercomputer have reduced the likelihood of Daniel Farke’s side going down and has increased the chances of Tottenham’s relegation.
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The algorithm now says that Tottenham are 49.5 per cent likely to be in the Championship next term, which means that they believe that survival and relegation are now almost equally as likely for the Lilywhites with six league games left.
What is the likelihood of relegation for Spurs’ rivals?
The website has reported no change in their likelihood of West Ham’s relegation after Monday’s result, with the Hammers continuing to be given a 38.78 chance of going down.
Nottingham Forest have been given just a 10.1 per cent chance while Leeds have been given a paltry 1.6 per cent chance of relegation after their win on Monday.
Opta’s probability rating seems to suggest that the Hammers are the only team Tottenham are likely to catch as De Zerbi’s men attempt to get out of their relegation mess.