Tottenham have made a bright start to the new Premier League season, but things may not be quite what they seem in N17.
The Lilywhites appear to have turned a corner following their dismal domestic campaign last term, and have tasted defeat just once in their opening five league games in 2025/26.
A Mohammed Kudus-inspired comeback spared Tottenham their second league reverse of the campaign last weekend, when they battled back from a two-goal deficit to earn a point away at Brighton.
Thomas Frank will be delighted with the start that his side have made on the face of it, but he may now have been presented with a slight concern after a new stat has emerged.
Tottenham have over-performed more than any other Premier League team
Tottenham continue their Premier League campaign on Saturday night, when Wolves are the visitors to N17.
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The Lilywhites will know that a win could see them climb to second in the early-season table, and things certainly seem to be looking up for them on the face of it.
Spurs look like a completely different team under Frank, which is a testament to the changes that the new boss has already instilled following last season’s debacle.
However, amid all the praise that has been thrown towards his team of late, Frank has cause for concern amid the emergence of a statistic that will be somewhat alarming for him and his staff.
Tottenham are a huge eight places higher than they should be in the current Premier League table, according to figures provided by Opta.
The analysts have used xG to provide likely game outcomes, which have since been used to calculate the expected league position for every team so far this term.
Their figures show that Frank’s men are currently the division’s biggest over-performers, with an expected position of 11th, rather than their current standing of third.
Thomas Frank will be concerned by Spurs over-performance
Frank has been praised heavily for his work at Tottenham so far, and he has certainly worked wonders to restore the positive feeling around the club so quickly.
It could also be argued that the Dane should be pleased by Opta’s reveal, as it shows that he is getting the best out of his players at both ends of the pitch, since they are outperforming where they should be.
However, to take a more pessimistic stance on things, logic suggests that it is unlikely to continue like this forever for Spurs.
If their improvement is to be prolonged across the entire length of the campaign, then they will likely need to start showing a little more in games than they are at the moment.
Frank definitely shouldn’t be trying to change too much based on this statistic, but it may well set the alarm bells ringing for him that his team’s start may not be all that it seems.