Tottenham face Slavia Prague in the Champions League at the Tottenham Hotspur Stadium on Tuesday. This fixture arrives at an important point for the home side. Domestic pressure eased after a 2-0 home win at the weekend.
Progress to the knockout stage is close and victory would secure position and confidence. Spurs are unbeaten in their last twenty two home matches in UEFA club competition with eighteen wins and four draws. They have won both Champions League home games this season without conceding. Their next goal will be the 100th in the Champions League proper.
Form in Europe shows stability. Tottenham record is W2-D2-L1 from five matches played. Their games average 3.40 goals. They score two and concede 1.40. They produced five goals in each of their last two home wins. Wide play and direct running have driven threat. Those wins came with clean sheets and strong control of the shot count.
Slavia Prague arrive in a difficult position. Their European run reads three draws and two defeats. Their games average two goals. They score 0.40 and concede 1.60. They have not scored in their last four Champions League matches. Output in the final third remains low.
Possession numbers drop when they face higher ranked opponents. They sit without a win in their last sixteen matches in the Champions League proper since September 2007. Their historic record against English sides is weak with two wins from sixteen. They are also winless in seven visits to England.
Spurs have also gone seven European fixtures without defeat against Czech opposition. The match profile points to home control with motivation to secure seeding.
How the bookies view it: Hosts big favourites
Tottenham in the match winner market are 46/100 with a 63% implied chance. The draw is 19/5 at 21%. Slavia Prague are 13/2 with a 16% implied chance.
The goals markets expect action. Over 2.5 goals at 4/5 implies 56%. Both teams to score at 1/1 implies 50%.
Head to Head: First meeting
This is the first competitive game between these two sides.
Players to watch: Zima to defend with force
David Zima produced eight fouls in five Champions League matches.
He recorded two fouls away at Inter and one foul in three other fixtures. Tottenham’s shape stretches defensive lines through Randal Kolo Muani and Richarlison, with Pedro Porro and Djed Spence advancing to attack the wide channels. That increases direct duels for Zima.
He also engages in tackles when clearing second-phase pressure, shown by his consistent recoveries and interceptions. Slavia Prague expect to defend for long periods against sustained Spurs possession. Two or more fouls aligns with previous away output and the increased physical defensive demand at the Tottenham Hotspur Stadium.
Predicted line-ups
Tottenham Hotspur (4-2-3-1): Vicario, Porro, Romero, van de Ven, Spence Bentancur, Gray, Simons, Kudas, Kolo Muani, Richarlison.
Slavia Prague (3-4-3): Stanek, Zima, Chaloupek, Moses, Doudera, Sadilek, Zafeiris, Mbodji, Provod, Chory, Sanyang.
Anything else catch the eye?
Tottenham to win and over 2.5 goals fits the expected match pattern. Tottenham’s Champions League games average 3.40 goals with two scored per match. Their process supports this return. Their home xG is 3.09 and xGA is 0.8, showing sustained pressure in advanced areas with limited defending in their own box.
They created eight big chances at home and conceded none, highlighting clear structural dominance. They scored four against Copenhagen and two in Paris. Even in the 1-0 win over Villarreal, they carried attacking volume.
Slavia Prague’s numbers point sharply toward Tottenham control. Slavia have scored two and conceded eight across five matches, a 2.00 match average driven by defensive concession. They average 0.40 goals and concede 1.60. They have not scored in four straight Champions League fixtures.
Their away xG is 0.9 with xGA at 6.5, showing limited attack and high concession risk. They created zero big chances away and conceded fourteen. Defensive structure comes under pressure early and often.
Tottenham are unbeaten in 22 European home matches. They did not concede in either Champions League home game this season. Their next goal delivers a milestone in the competition which supports focus in the final third.
The matchup shows a heavy statistical tilt. Tottenham produce 3.09 xG and eight big chances at home. Slavia concede 6.5 xGA and fourteen big chances away. Tottenham’s scoring level, combined with Slavia’s defensive exposure, builds a strong probability that Tottenham score multiple goals and the total rises above three. Tottenham to win and over 2.5 goals aligns with the numbers and the expected game state.
Tottenham Hotspur vs Slavia Prague Betting Tips & Predictions
Further Reading