MrFixitsTips

Igor Tudor is in at the deep end as Tottenham Hotspur boss today as he leads them into a North London derby with Premier League leaders Arsenal.

The Croatian has issued a personal guarantee that Spurs will avoid the drop but another defeat would leave them hovering dangerously close to the bottom three.

Tottenham have home advantage but are up against a Gunners side desperate for the points as they chase a first title since the Invincibles season in 2003-04.

Tottenham Hotspur vs Arsenal top betting tips

Spurs fans haven't had much to cheer in this fixture, with Arsenal unbeaten in the last seven derbies. Six of those games have ended in wins so it's easy to see why the leaders are 4/7 favourites with most firms.

But Mikel Arteta's side aren't in great form themselves and we saw Manchester United raise their game to beat City in a derby when Michael Carrick took charge for the first time.

So I'm steering clear of win markets and going for player bets instead. The midfield battle will be key to deciding who comes out on top and combining fouls for Declan Rice, Martin Zubimendi and Conor Gallagher pays 174/100 at Coral.

Putting together a multi-leg tip? Head into our Masterclass on Acca bets and find out how to build smarter doubles and trebles.

Xavi Simons is the main creative spark for Tudor in midfield and I like the 33/20 on offer at BetMGM for the Dutchman to have an effort on target.

Nottingham Forest vs Liverpool

Vitor Pereira got off to a flying start as Nottingham Forest boss in midweek but now faces a daunting challenge for his first Premier League game as Liverpool come calling.

The former Wolves boss steered his side to an impressive 3-0 win over Fenerbahce in the Europa League on Thursday night.

A trip to Istanbul isn't the best way to prepare for a game with the Premier League champions, however, and Forest are 13/4 outsiders today.

It's always hard for teams playing on a Sunday after Thursday night games in Europe so I fancy Liverpool to win at 7/8 with Betway. You can boost their odds to 21/20 at Bet365 by adding on over 1.5 goals.

Mo Salah was back to his best in Liverpool's FA Cup win over Brighton last week, chipping in with a goal and an assist. The Egyptian is 21/20 with BetMGM to score or set one up today and that looks decent.

Celtic vs Hibernian

Celtic are heading into a run of games that will decide their season and need to get three more precious Premiership points on the board when Hibernian come to Parkhead today.

The Hoops are reeling from Thursday's dismal 4-1 loss to Stuttgart in the Europa League and have a huge double-header with rivals Rangers looming in the league and Scottish Cup.

Martin O'Neill's side have kept just one clean sheet in their last eight games and keeper Kasper Schmeichel is coming under fire after a string of mistakes.

That will give Hibs hope and combining BTTS with over 2.5 goals pays 21/20 at Coral. Jamie McGrath is usually a goal threat for David Gray's side and he's 33/20 at BetMGM for a shot on target.

O'Neill should freshen things up after the Stuttgart debacle and Alex Oxlade-Chamberlain could get his first start. The former Liverpool and Arsenal midfielder is 20/21 at Bet365 for a goal or assist.

Super singles

Liverpool win and over 1.5 goals 21/20 Bet365

Jamie McGrath over 0.5 shots on target 33/20 BetMGM

Bet builder

Declan Rice, Martin Zubimendi and Conor Gallagher over 0.5 fouls 174/100 Coral

Upcoming match previews and betting tips

Sun 14:00 Crystal Palace vs Wolverhampton Wanderers

Sun 14:00 Nottingham Forest vs Liverpool

Sun 14:00 Sunderland vs Fulham

Sun 16:30 Tottenham Hotspur vs Arsenal

Sunday’s Premier League Tips: Spurs vs. Arsenal, Nottingham Forest vs. Liverpool and more expert betting predictions

Sunday’s Bundesliga betting tips: Expert predictions from Germany’s top flight

Racing tips

The weekend racing comes to a climax today and Rizzel is here to pick out some tasty winners.

Sunday’s Lucky 15 Tips – Selections from Fontwell & Hereford

Sunday’s Racing Tips – Captain Guinness can roll back the years to win a Grade 3

As always, leave your own tips and comments below.

Mr Fixit launched this website as a small project in 2010 to give him a platform to provide daily football tips to punters on the internet. The site has grown massively since, and while he is no longer with us, our aim is to continue his good work and provide our readers with solid tips every day to consider placing their bets on.

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Manchester City will look to keep the pressure on league leaders Arsenal on Super Sunday as they travel to North London to take on inconsistent Tottenham at the Tottenham Hotspur Stadium.

Manchester City put a halt to their four-game winless run in the Premier League last weekend, defeating rock-botttom Wolves 2-0 at the Etihad, on an afternoon I landed a 7/5 winner.

That result moves the Cityzens back within four points of Premier League leaders Arsenal following the Gunners’ 2-3 loss at home to Manchester City’s rivals, Manchester United.

Pep Guardiola’s men also squeezed into the top eight in the league phase and advanced to the last-16 of the Champions League in midweek, as they recorded a 2-0 victory over reigning Turkish champions Galatasaray.

Another side that finished inside the top eight of the league phase table and advanced to the last-16 of the Champions League are Tottenham, as they also won by a 0-2 scoreline in midweek, defeating managerless Eintracht Frankfurt in their own backyard.

However, Spurs come into this fixture having won just two of their previous 14 Premier League encounters (W2-D5-L7), and they required a stoppage-time equaliser at Turf Moor last weekend to draw 2-2 at relegation-threatened Burnley.

That result leaves Thomas Frank’s men in a lowly 14th position in the Premier League table, eight points clear of the relegation zone.

How the bookies view it: City favourites

Manchester City are favourites to make it three wins in the space of eight days, with bet365 pricing an away success at 8/11.

Spurs are 10/3 to claim just their third win across their past 15 Premier League outings, whilst the draw is 3/1.

Head to head: Spurs City’s bogey team

Tottenham have become a bit of a bogey team for Pep Guardiola, with the North London club winning three of the last four (W3-D1-L0) and six of the past 11 (W6-D1-L4) meetings between the two sides, including a 0-2 victory in the reverse fixture at the Etihad back in August.

Players to watch: Semenyo to star again against Spurs?

Antoine Semenyo has made an immediate impact since joining Manchester City in this window, with the ex-Bournemouth man scoring three goals and providing one assist across his opening four appearances for the Cityzens, including the second against Wolves last weekend.

The Ghanaian attacker also scored a dramatic late winner against Spurs on his final appearance for Bournemouth just over three weeks ago, and the 10/11 on offer at bet365 for him to Score or Assist appeals to me here.

Backed a player to find the net? Check our Goalscorer Betting guide to see how the markets work and where to find value.

Predicted line-ups:

Spurs will be without Dejan Kulusevski, James Maddison, Ben Davies, Pedro Porro, Lucas Bergvall Rodrigo Bentancur, Richarlison and Mohammed Kudus through injury, but Radu Dragusin, Yves Bissouma, Mathys Tel and new signing Connor Gallagher are available after missing midweek.

Manchester City will be without the injured Ruben Dias, Josko Gvardiol, John Stones, Mateo Kovacic, Jeremy Doku and Savinho, but Marc Guehi, Antoine Semenyo and Rodri return after being unavailable in the Champions League in midweek.

Tottenham Hotspur: Kinsky, Porro, Romero, Van de Ven, Spence, Gray, Palhinha, Tel, Simons, Odobert, Richarlison

Manchester City: Donnarumma, Nunes, Khusanov, Guehi, O’Reilly, Rodri, Silva, Reijnders, Foden, Semenyo, Haaland

Anything else catch the eye?

As mentioned above, Spurs have been a bit of a bogey side for Pep Guardiola – and despite their impressive form in the Champions League – it’s hard to envisage them completing the double over their visitors.

Thomas Frank’s men have a shocking record at home in the Premier League, with the Lilywhites winning just one and losing six of their past 10 league fixtures at the Tottenham Hotspur Stadium (W1-D3-L6).

Manchester City haven’t exactly been at their fluent best over the past few weeks, but I’m backing them at 8/11 at bet365 to get three points and keep the pressure on Arsenal at the top.

Tottenham Hotspur vs Manchester City Betting Tips & Predictions

Further Reading

Tottenham Hotspur's Champions League form stands in stark contrast to their Premier League struggles and they can book a place in the last 16 with a win away to Eintracht Frankfurt.

Thomas Frank looked like a dead man walking heading into their last European outing and I fancied Dortmund to put him out of his misery.

But Spurs claimed a morale-boosting 2-0 win, albeit helped by a harsh Dortmund red card in the first half, and that secured a place in the knockout stages.

Another victory away to Eintracht will keep them in the top eight and earn direct passage to the last 16, with the German side having nothing to play for after banking just four points so far.

But the heat is back on Frank again after Tottenham scrambled a 2-2 draw at struggling Burnley on Saturday.

They are now just eight points above the Premier League drop zone, with a tough run of fixtures coming up, so even if they manage to see off Frankfurt, a new manager may be in charge when Spurs resume their European campaign.

The good news for Frank is that Eintracht are in even worse form than Tottenham, having won just once in their last 11 outings in all competitions.

How the bookies view it: Eintracht too big at 3/1

With Frankfurt having nothing to play for, they're as big as 3/1 with BetMGM, which looks a bit generous based on Tottenham's recent displays. Spurs are odds-on favourites at 9/10 with most firms while the draw pays 14/5 at Bet365.

Head to head: Happy memories for Spurs

These sides have faced off four times in the last four years and Spurs have held the upper hand, with two wins and two draws. Tottenham will be hoping for a repeat of their last visit to Frankfurt, when a 1-0 win sent them into the semi-finals on their march to Europa League glory last term.

Players to watch: Simons worth a shot

Xavi Simons is the only creative spark in Tottenham's midfield right now and came close to a goal at the weekend with a shot that crashed off the bar. He's 3/1 at Betway for anytime scorer but I'm more drawn to the 21/20 on offer at Coral for the Dutchman to have an effort on target.

Japanese forward Ritsu Doan has chipped in with seven goals for Frankfurt this season and will fancy his chances against a Spurs defence that was poor against Burnley. He's 29/20 at Coral for an effort on target and that could also be worth a punt.

Backed a player to find the net? Check our Goalscorer Betting guide to see how the markets work and where to find value.

Probable line-ups

Tottenham have Micky van de Ven available again after serving a suspension against Dortmund but Conor Gallagher, Yves Bissouma and Mathys Tel are ineligible while a host of key players remain injured. Frank only has two fit midfielders so a defender may have to play out of position.

Frankfurt also have a lengthy injury list with Timothy Chandler, Michy Batshuai, Jonathan Burkhart, Elias Baum and Younes Ebrnoutalib set to miss out.

Eintracht Frankfurt: Santos, Amenda, Koch, Theate, Brown, Larsson, Chaïbi, Kristensen, Doan, Uzun Kalimuendo.

Tottenham Hotspur: Vicario, Porro, Van de Ven, Danso, Romero, Udogie, Spence, Gray, Simons, Odobert, Solanke.

Anything else catch the eye?

Frankfurt have been the great entertainers this season and we've seen four goals or more in their last five matches.

We only saw a single goal when these teams last faced off but that was in the tense second leg of a quarter-final and we should see more action in this game. Combining over 2.5 goals and BTTS looks well worth a punt at evens with William Hill.

I'm surprised to see Frankfurt so big with Spurs down to the bare bones, although the Germans are admittedly in poor form and have nothing to play for. There could be some value in backing Eintracht to win either half at 5/4 with Coral.

Bournemouth host Tottenham Hotspur in the Premier League on Wednesday night at the Vitality Stadium, with both sides arriving under pressure for different reasons. The midweek schedule adds intensity, and recent numbers suggest this matchup carries more edge than the table alone implies.

Bournemouth come into the game with stronger short term momentum. Across the last four league matches they have posted 6.28 xPTS, compared to Tottenham’s 5.03. That gap reflects consistency rather than standout results, with Bournemouth remaining competitive even when results have not followed. Their attacking output over that spell stands at 1.85 xG, supported by a combined xG total of 3.53, pointing toward games shaped by volume rather than control.

Tottenham’s recent profile is less convincing. Over the same four game window they are producing just 0.90 xG, alongside an xG ratio of 0.41. Goals have dried up accordingly, with recent returns of one, zero, one, one, zero highlighting blunt attacking phases. Away from home those issues are magnified, with Spurs conceding territory and allowing opponents into high value areas more often than they create themselves.

Form lines reinforce that picture. Bournemouth’s recent home performances show resilience rather than collapse, while Spurs’ away output has dipped both in goals and expected threat. In terms of discipline and control, Tottenham have also been forced into reactive football on their travels.

With Bournemouth showing stronger xPTS momentum and Spurs searching for rhythm, this fixture sets up as a tight contest shaped by pressure, discipline, and game management rather than free flowing attack.

How the bookies view it: Hosts are favourites

Bournemouth are priced at 11/10 in the match winner market, implying a 47.6% chance of a home win. The draw sits at 14/5, equating to 26.3%, while Tottenham are priced at 5/2, implying a 28.6% chance.

The goals markets point toward a higher event game. Over 2.5 goals is priced at 4/6, implying a 60.0% chance, while both teams to score at 8/13 equates to 61.9%.

Those prices suggest the market expects goals from both sides, with both teams to score rated slightly more likely than a third goal.

Head to Head: Spurs hold the historical edge

Across the last 17 Premier League meetings, Bournemouth have won four, drawn three, and lost 10 against Tottenham, with goals standing at 15 scored and 37 conceded. That averages 3.06 total goals per game, with Bournemouth contributing 0.88 and Tottenham 2.18, pointing to Spurs historically driving the scoring without complete control of results.

Recent meetings show a clear shift toward tighter games and improved Bournemouth outcomes. Bournemouth are unbeaten in the last three league meetings, winning two and drawing one. That run includes a 1-0 away win earlier this season, a 2-2 draw in north London, and a 1-0 home victory last season. Those results contrast sharply with earlier fixtures that regularly produced heavy Tottenham wins.

At the Vitality Stadium, Bournemouth have increasingly competed well. Three of the last five home league meetings have ended in Bournemouth wins or draws, with Tottenham failing to score in two of those games. While earlier visits saw Spurs dominate with scorelines such as 5-0 and 5-1, the more recent pattern points toward lower margins and reduced attacking control from the away side.

Players to watch: Bournemouth set piece issues continue

Micky van de Ven one or more shots is supported by matchup and chance profile. Bournemouth have conceded the most goals from set pieces in the league. They have faced 72 shots from set pieces and allowed 6.62 xGA from those situations.

That volume creates repeat opportunities for opposition centre backs attacking first contacts and second balls. Van de Ven is a regular target on attacking set pieces and steps forward aggressively when Spurs sustain pressure.

He has registered at least one shot in nine of 19 starts this season, including fixtures driven by set piece volume rather than open play dominance. With Bournemouth inviting sustained defensive phases and struggling to clear initial deliveries, one shot sits within his normal involvement rather than requiring an outlier performance.

Predicted line-ups

AFC Bournemouth (4-2-3-1): Petrovic, Jimenez, Hill, Senesi, Truffert, Scott, Tavernier, Semenyo, Kluivert, Brooks, Evanilson.

Tottenham Hotspur (4-2-3-1): Vicario, Porro, Romero, Van de Ven, Davies, Bentancur, Gray, Odobert, Kolo Muani, Tel, Richarlison.

Anything else catch the eye?

Bournemouth double chance and Tottenham over 1.5 cards stands out as a logical midweek angle once the underlying trends are aligned.

Start with Bournemouth. Over the last four games they rank above Spurs on xPTS at 6.28 versus 5.03, indicating the hosts are collecting performance points at a higher rate even without dominant results.

Their attacking numbers support competitiveness rather than control, with 1.85 xG and a 3.53 total xG profile suggesting games remain live deep into the contest. That consistency underpins the case for Bournemouth avoiding defeat rather than pushing for a narrow match result.

Tottenham’s away profile strengthens the double chance logic. Their last four games show just 0.90 xG, paired with a 0.41 xG ratio. That level of output leaves little margin for error, particularly against a side capable of sustaining pressure phases. Recent goal returns of one, zero, one, one, zero underline the lack of attacking cushion when games become tense.

The discipline angle is equally strong. Spurs are averaging 2.3 cards per away game this season. They have picked up at least 1.5 cards in eight of 10 away matches, and at least one card in nine of those. Bournemouth fixtures consistently draw fouls from visiting sides, with away teams averaging 2.3 cards at the Vitality Stadium. Every visitor has collected at least one card, and five of 10 have reached two or more.

Referee Darren England reinforces that trend. He averages 3.75 cards per Premier League game this season and has shown the away side two or more cards in seven of 12 matches. In a tight midweek contest shaped by pressure and fatigue, Bournemouth double chance combined with Spurs over 1.5 cards aligns cleanly with form, xPTS momentum, and disciplinary patterns.

Bournemouth vs Tottenham Hotspur Betting Tips & Predictions

Further Reading

Two clubs separated only by four points in the Premier League table meet at Selhurst Park on Sunday afternoon as eighth-placed Crystal Palace entertains 14th-placed Tottenham.

Crystal Palace head into this clash off the back of successive heavy defeats, as they lost 0-3 at home to in-form Manchester City before losing 4-1 away at newly-promoted Leeds United.

Despite that heavy loss at Elland Road, Oliver Glasner’s men have a better record on their travels this season, as they have won just twice at home in the Premier League this term, with their 2-0 victory over poor-travelling Brentford being their solitary win in their last five at Selhurst Park (W1-D2-L2).

The pressure continues to mount on Spurs boss Thomas Frank, as his side lost 1-2 at home to Liverpool last weekend, on an evening where all three of my selections landed.

Tottenham have now won just one of their previous eight Premier League outings (W1-D2-L5), leaving them languishing in 14th position, four points behind their hosts in eighth.

How the bookies view it: Palace favourites

Despite winning just one of their last five Premier League matches at home, Crystal Palace have been installed as favourites for this clash, with bet365 pricing a home success at 6/5.

Bet365 have Spurs at 23/10 to claim just their second win from their last nine Premier League encounters, whilst the draw is 9/4.

Head to head: Three on the spin for the Eagles?

Crystal Palace did their double over Spurs last season, winning 1-0 at Selhurst Park, before securing a 0-2 victory at the Tottenham Hotspur Stadium back in May.

Players to watch: More goals for Mateta?

Despite failing to score in each of his previous four Premier League appearances, Jean-Phillipe Mateta remains Crystal Palace’s top goal scorer once again this season, finding the back of the net on seven occasions.

The French forward scored the only goal in this corresponding fixture last season, and is an appealing 5/4 at bet365 to get on the scoresheet on Sunday.

Backed a player to find the net? Check our Goalscorer Betting guide to see how the markets work and where to find value.

Predicted line-ups:

Crystal Palace will be without the injured Daniel Munoz, Cheick Doucoure, Chadi Riad, Caleb Kporha and Daichi Kamala, as well as Ismaila Sarr, who is away to the Africa Cup of Nations, whilst Chris Richards and Eddie Nketiah are doubts.

Spurs will once again be without Dejan Kulusevski, James Maddison, Dominic Solanke, Destiny Udogie, Radu Dragusin and Koto Takai through injury, whilst Yves Bissouma and Pape Sarr are away at AFCON. Cristian Romero and Xavi Simons are suspended following their red cards against Liverpool last time out.

Crystal Palace: Henderson, Canvot, Lacroix, Guehi, Clyne, Wharton, Lerma, Mitchell, Devenny, Pino, Mateta

Tottenham Hotspur: Vicario, Porro, Danso, Van de Ven, Spence, Gray, Bentancur, Kudus, Bergvall, Odobert, Kolo Muani

Anything else catch the eye?

Neither of these two clubs enters this clash in particularly good form, meaning I’m keen to swerve the WDW markets and focus on goals.

Spurs’ last 14 Premier League encounters have averaged 3.07 goals per game, with Over 2.5 Goals banking in 11 (79%) of them, including in each of their previous seven away from home (3-0, 2-2, 2-1, 3-0, 1-4, 2-2 & 0-3).

Over 2.5 Goals has also been a winning selection in four of Crystal Palace’s last five Premier League encounters, and a repeat pays an appealing 1/1 at bet365.

Crystal Palace vs Tottenham Hotspur Betting Tips & Predictions

Further Reading

In football betting, a “shot on target” typically refers to any shot directed towards the goal that would have gone in had it not been saved by the goalkeeper or blocked by the last defender.

This betting market involves predicting the total number of shots on target during a match by a team or individual player, often including shots that were saved or blocked but were otherwise on target.

Last weekend we landed two of our three selections with winners at 6/4 and 7/2. We have a 14/1 bet for today which looks attractive given the game and missing players.

Our shots on target betting picks

Tottenham Hotspur vs Liverpool

Tottenham Hotspur welcome Liverpool to Tottenham Hotspur Stadium on Saturday evening.

The game environment supports long range shooting. Liverpool lead the league for shots outside the box with 97 attempts. That reflects sustained pressure, recycled possession, and frequent shooting lanes opening at the edge of the area. Tottenham contribute to that profile. They concede 67 shots outside the box and 178 shots overall, allowing opponents time and space when defensive shape stretches.

Dominik Szoboszlai fits this setup. He has taken 23 shots outside the box this season, the highest figure in the league. Those 23 account for almost three quarters of his total 31 shots. His role places him consistently in central and right half spaces where second balls drop and cut backs roll to the edge of the area. When Liverpool pin teams deep, Szoboszlai is the first receiver outside the box.

Liverpool’s attacking structure also matters. They generate 236 total shots with 139 coming inside the box. That inside threat forces low blocks and compact defending, which pushes clearance zones outward rather than relieving pressure. That pattern feeds edge of the box attempts rather than transitions.

Tottenham games carry pace and shot volume. Liverpool already profile as the strongest outside the box shooting side on the slate. Szoboszlai’s individual volume, combined with team level intent and opponent concessions, supports a shot on target outside the box angle.

Best Bet: Dominik Szoboszlai over shots on target from outside the box at 11/10 with Betfair

Aston Villa vs Man Utd

The game profile supports attempts from range. Manchester United have recorded the second highest number of shots outside the box this season with 91. That reflects sustained pressure, recycled possession, and frequent second phase attacks rather than direct transition play. Villa contribute to the setup. They have conceded 171 shots overall, with regular concessions from the edge of the area once defensive lines drop.

Matheus Cunha fits this angle well. He has taken 18 shots outside the box in 13 appearances, placing him among the league leaders despite fewer minutes than many peers. His shot map shows a clear preference for receiving between the lines and shooting early when space opens outside the penalty area. He does not rely on penalty box touches to generate attempts.

Team context strengthens the case. With Bryan Mbeumo now away at AFCON, more of the attacking threat flows through Cunha. That shift increases his responsibility in possession and his freedom to shoot rather than defer. United already lean heavily on central ball carriers to progress play, and Cunha becomes the primary release point when attacks slow around the box.

Villa Park fixtures often stretch as pressure builds. United volume, Villa resistance, and repeated clearances create edge of box opportunities. Cunha’s individual outside box volume, combined

Best Bet: Matheus Cunha over 0.5 shots on target from outside the box at 6/4 with Betfair

Brighton vs Sunderland

Dan Ballard profiles strongly for a headed goal against Brighton.

Ballard has recorded 11 headed shots across 14 appearances. That volume places him among the top aerial threats from centre back. His role is fixed. He attacks the near post and stays high on second phases. Sunderland’s attacking set piece profile supports this. Over 16 games they generate 57 set piece shots and 5.01 xG. Set pieces account for 37.60% of their total xG. Delivery is frequent and repeatable.

The matchup improves the outlook. Brighton face consistent aerial pressure from set plays. They have conceded 58 set piece shots and 4.86 xG. More importantly, Brighton are without their organiser. Captain Lewis Dunk is suspended. His absence weakens first contact, line control, and recovery positioning. Brighton lose their strongest aerial defender and primary marker on attacking centre backs.

Sunderland rely on Ballard in these moments. He attacks with intent rather than blocking space. Eleven of his 14 shots have come via headers. That ratio matters. He is not sharing volume with multiple centre backs. He is the clear primary target.

Game state also supports pressure. Brighton allow territory and defend deep phases when pressed. That increases corner volume and recycled deliveries. Ballard stays involved across those sequences.

With Sunderland’s set piece dependence, Brighton’s defensive profile, and Dunk absent, Ballard’s path to a headed goal is direct. The price reflects a defender. The opportunity reflects a striker in these situations.

Best Bet: Dan Ballard over 0.5 shots on target at 16/5 with Coral

Best Bet: Dan Ballard to score a header at 14/1 with Betfred

The Betting Desk is run by Neil Potter. Neil built and refined all of the site’s data models, helping it grow into a trusted source of analysis across the Premier League, EFL and major tournaments. His models track key metrics, long term trends and areas where market prices move away from underlying performance.

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Spurs will look to move closer to the European places as they travel to the City Ground to take on relegation-threatened Nottingham Forest on Sunday afternoon.

Tottenham made a decent start to their Premier League campaign, as they won four of their opening seven matches (W4-D2-L1), but a run of four losses from their next six put Thomas Frank under pressure.

However, Spurs earned a late point away at Newcastle, and have gone on to beat Brentford 2-0 and Slavia Prague 3-0 in the Premier League and Champions League respectively.

That win over the Bees last week has moved Spurs up to 11th in the Premier League table, just three points behind Chelsea in fifth.

Nottingham Forest were another side who endured a miserable start to the season, but the Tricky Trees took 10 points from a possible 15 in November through to the beginning of December (W3-D1-L1).

However, Sean Dyche saw his new side suffer a 3-0 defeat away to his former employers Everton last weekend meaning they remain in 17th position in the Premier League table, just two points above the relegation zone.

Like Spurs, Forest won in Europe in midweek, as they defeated Utrecht 1-2 away from home in the Europa League, leaving them in 11th position in the league phase table, just two points outside the top eight.

How the bookies view it: Tough one to call

The bookies are finding this a tough one to call, with bet365 making Forest slight favourites to claim all three points at 31/20.

Spurs are 9/5 with bet365 to make it three wins in the space of eight days, whilst the draw is 23/10.

Head to head: Three on the bounce for Forest?

Nottingham Forest did the double over Spurs last season, winning 1-2 in North London and 1-0 at the City Ground.

Players to watch: Simons to strike again?

Xavi Simons has had a stop-start season since joining from RB Leipzig at the end of August, but he looks as if he is coming into form.

The Dutch international was involved in both goals against Brentford last week, as well as scoring from the spot against Slavia Prague in Europe in midweek, and the 7/4 on offer at bet365 for him to Score or Assist appeals to me.

Think you’ve found odds that look too good to be true? Explore our Value Betting guide and learn when a price is genuinely favourable

Predicted line-ups:

Nottingham Forest will be without the injured Angus Gunn, Ola Aina, Ryan Yates and Chris Wood.

Spurs will once again be without Dejan Kulusevski, James Maddison, Dominic Solanke, Yves Bissouma, Destiny Udogie, Radu Dragusin and Koto Takai through injury

Nottingham Forest: Sels, Savona, Milenkovic, Morato, Williams, Sangare, Anderson, Ndoye, Gibbs-White, Hudson-Odoi, Jesus

Tottenham Hotspur: Vicario, Porro, Romero, Van de Ven, Spence, Gray, Palhinha, Kudus, Simons, Odobert, Richarlison

Anything else catch the eye?

Tottenham’s away matches have been good for goals this season, with their previous nine in league and Europe averaging a whopping 3.78 goals per game.

Over 2.5 Goals has paid out in eight (89%) of those fixtures – including in each of their last six in the Premier League – and a repeat pays an appealing 1/1 at bet365.

What’s more, 7/10 (70%) of Forest’s Premier League and Europa League encounters have featured three or more goals, which further aids my selection.

Nottingham Forest vs Tottenham Hotspur Betting Tips & Predictions

Further Reading

Tottenham face Slavia Prague in the Champions League at the Tottenham Hotspur Stadium on Tuesday. This fixture arrives at an important point for the home side. Domestic pressure eased after a 2-0 home win at the weekend.

Progress to the knockout stage is close and victory would secure position and confidence. Spurs are unbeaten in their last twenty two home matches in UEFA club competition with eighteen wins and four draws. They have won both Champions League home games this season without conceding. Their next goal will be the 100th in the Champions League proper.

Form in Europe shows stability. Tottenham record is W2-D2-L1 from five matches played. Their games average 3.40 goals. They score two and concede 1.40. They produced five goals in each of their last two home wins. Wide play and direct running have driven threat. Those wins came with clean sheets and strong control of the shot count.

Slavia Prague arrive in a difficult position. Their European run reads three draws and two defeats. Their games average two goals. They score 0.40 and concede 1.60. They have not scored in their last four Champions League matches. Output in the final third remains low.

Possession numbers drop when they face higher ranked opponents. They sit without a win in their last sixteen matches in the Champions League proper since September 2007. Their historic record against English sides is weak with two wins from sixteen. They are also winless in seven visits to England.

Spurs have also gone seven European fixtures without defeat against Czech opposition. The match profile points to home control with motivation to secure seeding.

How the bookies view it: Hosts big favourites

Tottenham in the match winner market are 46/100 with a 63% implied chance. The draw is 19/5 at 21%. Slavia Prague are 13/2 with a 16% implied chance.

The goals markets expect action. Over 2.5 goals at 4/5 implies 56%. Both teams to score at 1/1 implies 50%.

Head to Head: First meeting

This is the first competitive game between these two sides.

Players to watch: Zima to defend with force

David Zima produced eight fouls in five Champions League matches.

He recorded two fouls away at Inter and one foul in three other fixtures. Tottenham’s shape stretches defensive lines through Randal Kolo Muani and Richarlison, with Pedro Porro and Djed Spence advancing to attack the wide channels. That increases direct duels for Zima.

He also engages in tackles when clearing second-phase pressure, shown by his consistent recoveries and interceptions. Slavia Prague expect to defend for long periods against sustained Spurs possession. Two or more fouls aligns with previous away output and the increased physical defensive demand at the Tottenham Hotspur Stadium.

Predicted line-ups

Tottenham Hotspur (4-2-3-1): Vicario, Porro, Romero, van de Ven, Spence Bentancur, Gray, Simons, Kudas, Kolo Muani, Richarlison.

Slavia Prague (3-4-3): Stanek, Zima, Chaloupek, Moses, Doudera, Sadilek, Zafeiris, Mbodji, Provod, Chory, Sanyang.

Anything else catch the eye?

Tottenham to win and over 2.5 goals fits the expected match pattern. Tottenham’s Champions League games average 3.40 goals with two scored per match. Their process supports this return. Their home xG is 3.09 and xGA is 0.8, showing sustained pressure in advanced areas with limited defending in their own box.

They created eight big chances at home and conceded none, highlighting clear structural dominance. They scored four against Copenhagen and two in Paris. Even in the 1-0 win over Villarreal, they carried attacking volume.

Slavia Prague’s numbers point sharply toward Tottenham control. Slavia have scored two and conceded eight across five matches, a 2.00 match average driven by defensive concession. They average 0.40 goals and concede 1.60. They have not scored in four straight Champions League fixtures.

Their away xG is 0.9 with xGA at 6.5, showing limited attack and high concession risk. They created zero big chances away and conceded fourteen. Defensive structure comes under pressure early and often.

Tottenham are unbeaten in 22 European home matches. They did not concede in either Champions League home game this season. Their next goal delivers a milestone in the competition which supports focus in the final third.

The matchup shows a heavy statistical tilt. Tottenham produce 3.09 xG and eight big chances at home. Slavia concede 6.5 xGA and fourteen big chances away. Tottenham’s scoring level, combined with Slavia’s defensive exposure, builds a strong probability that Tottenham score multiple goals and the total rises above three. Tottenham to win and over 2.5 goals aligns with the numbers and the expected game state.

Tottenham Hotspur vs Slavia Prague Betting Tips & Predictions

Further Reading

Tottenham Hotspur host Brentford in the Premier League at the Tottenham Hotspur Stadium on Saturday. Both sides enter the match looking for stability after difficult runs.

Tottenham’s home profile shows issues in control. Their overall xG rank is 13th and on xPTS they occupy 12th place. Home shots stand at 8.86 while they allow 10.71. Only Wolverhampton and Burnley have conceded more shots in the box this season at home.

Tottenham’s NPxGA sits at 1.36 highlighting defensive vulnerability. Touches inside their own box reach 6.4 per match and opposition shots on target reach 4.00 with only seven teams conceding more.

Over the last eight matches they sit 13th conceding 1.47 NPxGA and 6.4 shots in the box. They were completely outplayed midweek against Newcastle and came away with a very fortunate point. This was the fourth game on the bounce where they have failed to register a shot on target in the opening half.

Brentford are developing under Keith Andrews. Their last four matches show an npxG ratio of 0.68 and a strong xG supremacy of 0.72. They sit third for set-piece xG creation in the last four.

Across the season they hold high rankings in SIB supremacy and SOT efficiency. They deliver 3.83 shots on target away. Brentford rank sixth in total big chances created at home and away combined. Their last eight xPTS return of 14.99, which sees them sit second. Away record W1-D0-L6 remains a concern but high goal involvement keeps them competitive. They hit 11.17 shots away while allowing 15.86 which shapes matches with volume.

Pressure surrounds both technical areas. Spurs’ overall home record W1-D2-L4 increases tension. Brentford’s away returns push urgency. Both sides arrive with inconsistent form and defensive issues but retain dangerous forwards. The table remains tight in this mid-section and each point influences positioning. Expectations focus on tempo, energy, and response in key attacking zones.

How the bookies view it: Spurs favourites

Tottenham sit at 132/100 in the match winner market with a 41% implied chance. The draw is 13/5 at 27%. Brentford are 9/4 with a 32% implied chance.

The goal markets indicate stronger confidence in scoring. Over 2.5 goals at 5/6 implies 55%. Both teams to score at 4/6 implies 60%.

Both teams have weak clean sheet rates and reliable scoring trends. Match result probabilities are tighter than the goal lines, and the pricing reflects stronger expectations for goals than picking a winner.

Head to Head: Hosts have the better record

The recent meetings between Tottenham and Brentford point to frequent goals and competitive games. Across the last nine in league and cup, Tottenham lead with five wins, Brentford have one, and three ended level. Goals per match average 3.00, with Tottenham scoring 1.89 and Brentford 1.11.

Both teams scoring has landed in seven of those nine. Over 2.5 goals has hit in five of the last six and six of nine overall. Clean sheets are rare in this fixture. Tottenham have recorded two. Brentford have kept one. Attacks tend to decide these contests.

Recent scorelines include 3-2, 3-1, 2-2, 3-1 and 3-2. Tottenham usually create enough in home matches. Brentford bring threat and target output even away when conceding control.

The matchup consistently produces scoring chances at both ends.

Players to watch: Thiago a fouling machine on the road

Thiago has strong away foul output. Seven away matches, six starts, 455 minutes. He has recorded sixteen fouls in these fixtures, producing at least two in five of seven.

Sunderland saw four fouls. Fulham saw three. Nottingham Forest also three. Crystal Palace three. Brighton two. Only West Ham and Arsenal stayed below two, though he still committed one in both.

Brentford press high under Keith Andrews. Thiago engages centre backs and defensive midfielders. Ground duels occur in every match. His role keeps him back-to-goal receiving direct passes. Tottenham draw 11.90 fouls per home game. Brentford commit 10.80 away. Thiago should stay active enough to reach two fouls again.

Predicted line-ups

Tottenham Hotspur (4-2-3-1): Vicario, Porro, Romero, Danso, Udogie, Bentancur, Sarr, Kudus, Bergvall, Johnson, Kolo Muani.

Brentford (4-2-3-1): Kelleher, Hickey, van den Berg, Collins, Kayode, Jensen, Henderson, Schade, Damsgaard, Ouattara, Thiago.

Anything else catch the eye?

Over 2.5 goals holds a strong statistical base. Premier League matches hit over 2.5 in 56% (1.79 implied). The available 1.83 gives a favourable margin.

Tottenham give up frequent pressure in the box. In the last eight at home they average 4.9 shots in the box for and 6.4 against, a 43% ratio that highlights concession risk. Home xGA sits at 1.36 and their non-pen xGA ranks 15th. Opponents also generate 5.43 corners per match, keeping Spurs pinned in set-piece phases.

They have conceded first in four of the last eight at home. Those early setbacks lead to stretched matches with space for more chances. Their last eight league games average a combined 2.62 xG and over 2.5 goals has landed in 75% of those fixtures.

Brentford away concede frequent danger. Their non-pen xGA sits at 0.98 but the shots profile tells a stronger story. Seven big chances conceded away and only five created across the last four. They allow 11.17 shots per match and 3.00 shots on target.

They concede 5.83 corners. Across the last eight away, shots in box against hit 9.6 per match with only 6.3 for. Their away xG total reaches 2.62 with a higher share coming after turnovers. Their both teams to score away hit rate is 67% this season. Over 3.07 goals per match under Keith Andrews shows sustained volatility.

Brentford have one clean sheet in seven away matches. Tottenham have one clean sheet in seven at home. Across their combined home and away sample that is two clean sheets in fourteen fixtures, an 86% concession rate. Both defences allow goals in the majority of these matches

Over 2.5 goals fits the match profile and the market price

Tottenham Hotspur vs Brentford Betting Tips & Predictions

Further Reading

Tottenham will look to bounce back from a difficult week as they welcome London rivals Fulham to the Tottenham Hotspur Stadium on Saturday night.

Thomas Frank made a solid start as Spurs boss, with the Dane winning four and losing just one of his opening seven Premier League games in charge of the North London club (W4-D2-L1).

However, Spurs have gone on to win just one and lose three of their next five (W1-D1-L3), with the latest of those defeats coming in a 4-1 thrashing away at North London rivals Arsenal at the Emirates.

Spurs also come into this clash after suffering their first defeat in the league phase of the Champions League this season, as they lost 5-3 away at reigning champions Paris Saint-Germain, on an evening where both of my selections landed.

Fulham’s strong home form continued last time out, as they grabbed a late winner to defeat high-flying Sunderland 1-0 to move them up to 15th in the table, three points clear of the relegation zone.

Whilst that was Fulham’s fourth win from their last five at the Cottage, Marco Silva’s men have picked up a solitary point on their travels this season, losing each of their previous five.

How the bookies view it: Spurs favourites

Despite winning just one of their last five Premier League matches, Tottenham are favourites to claim all three points here, with bet365 pricing a home success at 6/5.

Fulham are 23/10 with the same firm to claim their first away win of the season, whilst the draw is 12/5.

Head to head: Four unbeaten for Fulham?

After winning just one of their last 13 meetings with Spurs, Fulham are unbeaten in each of their next three (W2-D1-L0).

However, the Cottagers have not won an away fixture against Tottenham since March 2013 at White Hart Lane.

Players to watch: Richarlison to make the net ripple again?

Richarlison is Spurs’s top scorer this season, firing in six goals in league and Europe, as well as providing a couple of assists.

The Brazilian has now scored in each of his last three appearances for Spurs, and I like the 13/10 on offer at Paddy Power for him to Score or Assist on Saturday night.

Think you’ve found odds that look too good to be true? Explore our Value Betting guide and learn when a price is genuinely favourable

Predicted line-ups:

Spurs will once again be without Dejan Kulusevski, James Maddison, Dominic Solanke, Yves Bissouma, Radu Dragusin and Koto Takai through injury, whilst Christian Romero is suspended.

Fulham will be missing Antonee Robinson and Rodrigo Muniz, but Sasa Lukic returns from suspension.

Tottenham Hotspur: Vicario, Porro, Danso, Van de Ven, Spence, Bentancur, Sarr, Kudus, Simons, Kolo-Muani, Richarlison

Fulham: Leno, Tete, Andersen, Bassey, Sessegnon, Berge, Iwobi, Wilson, King, Kevin, Jimenez

Anything else catch the eye?

With only rock-bottom Wolves collecting fewer points at home than Tottenham and fewer points away from home than Fulham, I’m more than happy to swerve the match result.

Tottenham’s last nine Premier League encounters have averaged 3.11 goals per game, with seven (78%) of them seeing Over 2.5 Goals land.

What’s more, three of Fulham’s last four Premier League clashes on the road have seen a minimum of three strikes, and a repeat pays 10/11 at bet365.

Tottenham Hotspur vs Fulham Betting Tips & Predictions

Further Reading