MrFixitsTips

Two clubs separated only by four points in the Premier League table meet at Selhurst Park on Sunday afternoon as eighth-placed Crystal Palace entertains 14th-placed Tottenham.

Crystal Palace head into this clash off the back of successive heavy defeats, as they lost 0-3 at home to in-form Manchester City before losing 4-1 away at newly-promoted Leeds United.

Despite that heavy loss at Elland Road, Oliver Glasner’s men have a better record on their travels this season, as they have won just twice at home in the Premier League this term, with their 2-0 victory over poor-travelling Brentford being their solitary win in their last five at Selhurst Park (W1-D2-L2).

The pressure continues to mount on Spurs boss Thomas Frank, as his side lost 1-2 at home to Liverpool last weekend, on an evening where all three of my selections landed.

Tottenham have now won just one of their previous eight Premier League outings (W1-D2-L5), leaving them languishing in 14th position, four points behind their hosts in eighth.

How the bookies view it: Palace favourites

Despite winning just one of their last five Premier League matches at home, Crystal Palace have been installed as favourites for this clash, with bet365 pricing a home success at 6/5.

Bet365 have Spurs at 23/10 to claim just their second win from their last nine Premier League encounters, whilst the draw is 9/4.

Head to head: Three on the spin for the Eagles?

Crystal Palace did their double over Spurs last season, winning 1-0 at Selhurst Park, before securing a 0-2 victory at the Tottenham Hotspur Stadium back in May.

Players to watch: More goals for Mateta?

Despite failing to score in each of his previous four Premier League appearances, Jean-Phillipe Mateta remains Crystal Palace’s top goal scorer once again this season, finding the back of the net on seven occasions.

The French forward scored the only goal in this corresponding fixture last season, and is an appealing 5/4 at bet365 to get on the scoresheet on Sunday.

Backed a player to find the net? Check our Goalscorer Betting guide to see how the markets work and where to find value.

Predicted line-ups:

Crystal Palace will be without the injured Daniel Munoz, Cheick Doucoure, Chadi Riad, Caleb Kporha and Daichi Kamala, as well as Ismaila Sarr, who is away to the Africa Cup of Nations, whilst Chris Richards and Eddie Nketiah are doubts.

Spurs will once again be without Dejan Kulusevski, James Maddison, Dominic Solanke, Destiny Udogie, Radu Dragusin and Koto Takai through injury, whilst Yves Bissouma and Pape Sarr are away at AFCON. Cristian Romero and Xavi Simons are suspended following their red cards against Liverpool last time out.

Crystal Palace: Henderson, Canvot, Lacroix, Guehi, Clyne, Wharton, Lerma, Mitchell, Devenny, Pino, Mateta

Tottenham Hotspur: Vicario, Porro, Danso, Van de Ven, Spence, Gray, Bentancur, Kudus, Bergvall, Odobert, Kolo Muani

Anything else catch the eye?

Neither of these two clubs enters this clash in particularly good form, meaning I’m keen to swerve the WDW markets and focus on goals.

Spurs’ last 14 Premier League encounters have averaged 3.07 goals per game, with Over 2.5 Goals banking in 11 (79%) of them, including in each of their previous seven away from home (3-0, 2-2, 2-1, 3-0, 1-4, 2-2 & 0-3).

Over 2.5 Goals has also been a winning selection in four of Crystal Palace’s last five Premier League encounters, and a repeat pays an appealing 1/1 at bet365.

Crystal Palace vs Tottenham Hotspur Betting Tips & Predictions

Further Reading

In football betting, a “shot on target” typically refers to any shot directed towards the goal that would have gone in had it not been saved by the goalkeeper or blocked by the last defender.

This betting market involves predicting the total number of shots on target during a match by a team or individual player, often including shots that were saved or blocked but were otherwise on target.

Last weekend we landed two of our three selections with winners at 6/4 and 7/2. We have a 14/1 bet for today which looks attractive given the game and missing players.

Our shots on target betting picks

Tottenham Hotspur vs Liverpool

Tottenham Hotspur welcome Liverpool to Tottenham Hotspur Stadium on Saturday evening.

The game environment supports long range shooting. Liverpool lead the league for shots outside the box with 97 attempts. That reflects sustained pressure, recycled possession, and frequent shooting lanes opening at the edge of the area. Tottenham contribute to that profile. They concede 67 shots outside the box and 178 shots overall, allowing opponents time and space when defensive shape stretches.

Dominik Szoboszlai fits this setup. He has taken 23 shots outside the box this season, the highest figure in the league. Those 23 account for almost three quarters of his total 31 shots. His role places him consistently in central and right half spaces where second balls drop and cut backs roll to the edge of the area. When Liverpool pin teams deep, Szoboszlai is the first receiver outside the box.

Liverpool’s attacking structure also matters. They generate 236 total shots with 139 coming inside the box. That inside threat forces low blocks and compact defending, which pushes clearance zones outward rather than relieving pressure. That pattern feeds edge of the box attempts rather than transitions.

Tottenham games carry pace and shot volume. Liverpool already profile as the strongest outside the box shooting side on the slate. Szoboszlai’s individual volume, combined with team level intent and opponent concessions, supports a shot on target outside the box angle.

Best Bet: Dominik Szoboszlai over shots on target from outside the box at 11/10 with Betfair

Aston Villa vs Man Utd

The game profile supports attempts from range. Manchester United have recorded the second highest number of shots outside the box this season with 91. That reflects sustained pressure, recycled possession, and frequent second phase attacks rather than direct transition play. Villa contribute to the setup. They have conceded 171 shots overall, with regular concessions from the edge of the area once defensive lines drop.

Matheus Cunha fits this angle well. He has taken 18 shots outside the box in 13 appearances, placing him among the league leaders despite fewer minutes than many peers. His shot map shows a clear preference for receiving between the lines and shooting early when space opens outside the penalty area. He does not rely on penalty box touches to generate attempts.

Team context strengthens the case. With Bryan Mbeumo now away at AFCON, more of the attacking threat flows through Cunha. That shift increases his responsibility in possession and his freedom to shoot rather than defer. United already lean heavily on central ball carriers to progress play, and Cunha becomes the primary release point when attacks slow around the box.

Villa Park fixtures often stretch as pressure builds. United volume, Villa resistance, and repeated clearances create edge of box opportunities. Cunha’s individual outside box volume, combined

Best Bet: Matheus Cunha over 0.5 shots on target from outside the box at 6/4 with Betfair

Brighton vs Sunderland

Dan Ballard profiles strongly for a headed goal against Brighton.

Ballard has recorded 11 headed shots across 14 appearances. That volume places him among the top aerial threats from centre back. His role is fixed. He attacks the near post and stays high on second phases. Sunderland’s attacking set piece profile supports this. Over 16 games they generate 57 set piece shots and 5.01 xG. Set pieces account for 37.60% of their total xG. Delivery is frequent and repeatable.

The matchup improves the outlook. Brighton face consistent aerial pressure from set plays. They have conceded 58 set piece shots and 4.86 xG. More importantly, Brighton are without their organiser. Captain Lewis Dunk is suspended. His absence weakens first contact, line control, and recovery positioning. Brighton lose their strongest aerial defender and primary marker on attacking centre backs.

Sunderland rely on Ballard in these moments. He attacks with intent rather than blocking space. Eleven of his 14 shots have come via headers. That ratio matters. He is not sharing volume with multiple centre backs. He is the clear primary target.

Game state also supports pressure. Brighton allow territory and defend deep phases when pressed. That increases corner volume and recycled deliveries. Ballard stays involved across those sequences.

With Sunderland’s set piece dependence, Brighton’s defensive profile, and Dunk absent, Ballard’s path to a headed goal is direct. The price reflects a defender. The opportunity reflects a striker in these situations.

Best Bet: Dan Ballard over 0.5 shots on target at 16/5 with Coral

Best Bet: Dan Ballard to score a header at 14/1 with Betfred

The Betting Desk is run by Neil Potter. Neil built and refined all of the site’s data models, helping it grow into a trusted source of analysis across the Premier League, EFL and major tournaments. His models track key metrics, long term trends and areas where market prices move away from underlying performance.

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Spurs will look to move closer to the European places as they travel to the City Ground to take on relegation-threatened Nottingham Forest on Sunday afternoon.

Tottenham made a decent start to their Premier League campaign, as they won four of their opening seven matches (W4-D2-L1), but a run of four losses from their next six put Thomas Frank under pressure.

However, Spurs earned a late point away at Newcastle, and have gone on to beat Brentford 2-0 and Slavia Prague 3-0 in the Premier League and Champions League respectively.

That win over the Bees last week has moved Spurs up to 11th in the Premier League table, just three points behind Chelsea in fifth.

Nottingham Forest were another side who endured a miserable start to the season, but the Tricky Trees took 10 points from a possible 15 in November through to the beginning of December (W3-D1-L1).

However, Sean Dyche saw his new side suffer a 3-0 defeat away to his former employers Everton last weekend meaning they remain in 17th position in the Premier League table, just two points above the relegation zone.

Like Spurs, Forest won in Europe in midweek, as they defeated Utrecht 1-2 away from home in the Europa League, leaving them in 11th position in the league phase table, just two points outside the top eight.

How the bookies view it: Tough one to call

The bookies are finding this a tough one to call, with bet365 making Forest slight favourites to claim all three points at 31/20.

Spurs are 9/5 with bet365 to make it three wins in the space of eight days, whilst the draw is 23/10.

Head to head: Three on the bounce for Forest?

Nottingham Forest did the double over Spurs last season, winning 1-2 in North London and 1-0 at the City Ground.

Players to watch: Simons to strike again?

Xavi Simons has had a stop-start season since joining from RB Leipzig at the end of August, but he looks as if he is coming into form.

The Dutch international was involved in both goals against Brentford last week, as well as scoring from the spot against Slavia Prague in Europe in midweek, and the 7/4 on offer at bet365 for him to Score or Assist appeals to me.

Think you’ve found odds that look too good to be true? Explore our Value Betting guide and learn when a price is genuinely favourable

Predicted line-ups:

Nottingham Forest will be without the injured Angus Gunn, Ola Aina, Ryan Yates and Chris Wood.

Spurs will once again be without Dejan Kulusevski, James Maddison, Dominic Solanke, Yves Bissouma, Destiny Udogie, Radu Dragusin and Koto Takai through injury

Nottingham Forest: Sels, Savona, Milenkovic, Morato, Williams, Sangare, Anderson, Ndoye, Gibbs-White, Hudson-Odoi, Jesus

Tottenham Hotspur: Vicario, Porro, Romero, Van de Ven, Spence, Gray, Palhinha, Kudus, Simons, Odobert, Richarlison

Anything else catch the eye?

Tottenham’s away matches have been good for goals this season, with their previous nine in league and Europe averaging a whopping 3.78 goals per game.

Over 2.5 Goals has paid out in eight (89%) of those fixtures – including in each of their last six in the Premier League – and a repeat pays an appealing 1/1 at bet365.

What’s more, 7/10 (70%) of Forest’s Premier League and Europa League encounters have featured three or more goals, which further aids my selection.

Nottingham Forest vs Tottenham Hotspur Betting Tips & Predictions

Further Reading

Tottenham face Slavia Prague in the Champions League at the Tottenham Hotspur Stadium on Tuesday. This fixture arrives at an important point for the home side. Domestic pressure eased after a 2-0 home win at the weekend.

Progress to the knockout stage is close and victory would secure position and confidence. Spurs are unbeaten in their last twenty two home matches in UEFA club competition with eighteen wins and four draws. They have won both Champions League home games this season without conceding. Their next goal will be the 100th in the Champions League proper.

Form in Europe shows stability. Tottenham record is W2-D2-L1 from five matches played. Their games average 3.40 goals. They score two and concede 1.40. They produced five goals in each of their last two home wins. Wide play and direct running have driven threat. Those wins came with clean sheets and strong control of the shot count.

Slavia Prague arrive in a difficult position. Their European run reads three draws and two defeats. Their games average two goals. They score 0.40 and concede 1.60. They have not scored in their last four Champions League matches. Output in the final third remains low.

Possession numbers drop when they face higher ranked opponents. They sit without a win in their last sixteen matches in the Champions League proper since September 2007. Their historic record against English sides is weak with two wins from sixteen. They are also winless in seven visits to England.

Spurs have also gone seven European fixtures without defeat against Czech opposition. The match profile points to home control with motivation to secure seeding.

How the bookies view it: Hosts big favourites

Tottenham in the match winner market are 46/100 with a 63% implied chance. The draw is 19/5 at 21%. Slavia Prague are 13/2 with a 16% implied chance.

The goals markets expect action. Over 2.5 goals at 4/5 implies 56%. Both teams to score at 1/1 implies 50%.

Head to Head: First meeting

This is the first competitive game between these two sides.

Players to watch: Zima to defend with force

David Zima produced eight fouls in five Champions League matches.

He recorded two fouls away at Inter and one foul in three other fixtures. Tottenham’s shape stretches defensive lines through Randal Kolo Muani and Richarlison, with Pedro Porro and Djed Spence advancing to attack the wide channels. That increases direct duels for Zima.

He also engages in tackles when clearing second-phase pressure, shown by his consistent recoveries and interceptions. Slavia Prague expect to defend for long periods against sustained Spurs possession. Two or more fouls aligns with previous away output and the increased physical defensive demand at the Tottenham Hotspur Stadium.

Predicted line-ups

Tottenham Hotspur (4-2-3-1): Vicario, Porro, Romero, van de Ven, Spence Bentancur, Gray, Simons, Kudas, Kolo Muani, Richarlison.

Slavia Prague (3-4-3): Stanek, Zima, Chaloupek, Moses, Doudera, Sadilek, Zafeiris, Mbodji, Provod, Chory, Sanyang.

Anything else catch the eye?

Tottenham to win and over 2.5 goals fits the expected match pattern. Tottenham’s Champions League games average 3.40 goals with two scored per match. Their process supports this return. Their home xG is 3.09 and xGA is 0.8, showing sustained pressure in advanced areas with limited defending in their own box.

They created eight big chances at home and conceded none, highlighting clear structural dominance. They scored four against Copenhagen and two in Paris. Even in the 1-0 win over Villarreal, they carried attacking volume.

Slavia Prague’s numbers point sharply toward Tottenham control. Slavia have scored two and conceded eight across five matches, a 2.00 match average driven by defensive concession. They average 0.40 goals and concede 1.60. They have not scored in four straight Champions League fixtures.

Their away xG is 0.9 with xGA at 6.5, showing limited attack and high concession risk. They created zero big chances away and conceded fourteen. Defensive structure comes under pressure early and often.

Tottenham are unbeaten in 22 European home matches. They did not concede in either Champions League home game this season. Their next goal delivers a milestone in the competition which supports focus in the final third.

The matchup shows a heavy statistical tilt. Tottenham produce 3.09 xG and eight big chances at home. Slavia concede 6.5 xGA and fourteen big chances away. Tottenham’s scoring level, combined with Slavia’s defensive exposure, builds a strong probability that Tottenham score multiple goals and the total rises above three. Tottenham to win and over 2.5 goals aligns with the numbers and the expected game state.

Tottenham Hotspur vs Slavia Prague Betting Tips & Predictions

Further Reading

Tottenham Hotspur host Brentford in the Premier League at the Tottenham Hotspur Stadium on Saturday. Both sides enter the match looking for stability after difficult runs.

Tottenham’s home profile shows issues in control. Their overall xG rank is 13th and on xPTS they occupy 12th place. Home shots stand at 8.86 while they allow 10.71. Only Wolverhampton and Burnley have conceded more shots in the box this season at home.

Tottenham’s NPxGA sits at 1.36 highlighting defensive vulnerability. Touches inside their own box reach 6.4 per match and opposition shots on target reach 4.00 with only seven teams conceding more.

Over the last eight matches they sit 13th conceding 1.47 NPxGA and 6.4 shots in the box. They were completely outplayed midweek against Newcastle and came away with a very fortunate point. This was the fourth game on the bounce where they have failed to register a shot on target in the opening half.

Brentford are developing under Keith Andrews. Their last four matches show an npxG ratio of 0.68 and a strong xG supremacy of 0.72. They sit third for set-piece xG creation in the last four.

Across the season they hold high rankings in SIB supremacy and SOT efficiency. They deliver 3.83 shots on target away. Brentford rank sixth in total big chances created at home and away combined. Their last eight xPTS return of 14.99, which sees them sit second. Away record W1-D0-L6 remains a concern but high goal involvement keeps them competitive. They hit 11.17 shots away while allowing 15.86 which shapes matches with volume.

Pressure surrounds both technical areas. Spurs’ overall home record W1-D2-L4 increases tension. Brentford’s away returns push urgency. Both sides arrive with inconsistent form and defensive issues but retain dangerous forwards. The table remains tight in this mid-section and each point influences positioning. Expectations focus on tempo, energy, and response in key attacking zones.

How the bookies view it: Spurs favourites

Tottenham sit at 132/100 in the match winner market with a 41% implied chance. The draw is 13/5 at 27%. Brentford are 9/4 with a 32% implied chance.

The goal markets indicate stronger confidence in scoring. Over 2.5 goals at 5/6 implies 55%. Both teams to score at 4/6 implies 60%.

Both teams have weak clean sheet rates and reliable scoring trends. Match result probabilities are tighter than the goal lines, and the pricing reflects stronger expectations for goals than picking a winner.

Head to Head: Hosts have the better record

The recent meetings between Tottenham and Brentford point to frequent goals and competitive games. Across the last nine in league and cup, Tottenham lead with five wins, Brentford have one, and three ended level. Goals per match average 3.00, with Tottenham scoring 1.89 and Brentford 1.11.

Both teams scoring has landed in seven of those nine. Over 2.5 goals has hit in five of the last six and six of nine overall. Clean sheets are rare in this fixture. Tottenham have recorded two. Brentford have kept one. Attacks tend to decide these contests.

Recent scorelines include 3-2, 3-1, 2-2, 3-1 and 3-2. Tottenham usually create enough in home matches. Brentford bring threat and target output even away when conceding control.

The matchup consistently produces scoring chances at both ends.

Players to watch: Thiago a fouling machine on the road

Thiago has strong away foul output. Seven away matches, six starts, 455 minutes. He has recorded sixteen fouls in these fixtures, producing at least two in five of seven.

Sunderland saw four fouls. Fulham saw three. Nottingham Forest also three. Crystal Palace three. Brighton two. Only West Ham and Arsenal stayed below two, though he still committed one in both.

Brentford press high under Keith Andrews. Thiago engages centre backs and defensive midfielders. Ground duels occur in every match. His role keeps him back-to-goal receiving direct passes. Tottenham draw 11.90 fouls per home game. Brentford commit 10.80 away. Thiago should stay active enough to reach two fouls again.

Predicted line-ups

Tottenham Hotspur (4-2-3-1): Vicario, Porro, Romero, Danso, Udogie, Bentancur, Sarr, Kudus, Bergvall, Johnson, Kolo Muani.

Brentford (4-2-3-1): Kelleher, Hickey, van den Berg, Collins, Kayode, Jensen, Henderson, Schade, Damsgaard, Ouattara, Thiago.

Anything else catch the eye?

Over 2.5 goals holds a strong statistical base. Premier League matches hit over 2.5 in 56% (1.79 implied). The available 1.83 gives a favourable margin.

Tottenham give up frequent pressure in the box. In the last eight at home they average 4.9 shots in the box for and 6.4 against, a 43% ratio that highlights concession risk. Home xGA sits at 1.36 and their non-pen xGA ranks 15th. Opponents also generate 5.43 corners per match, keeping Spurs pinned in set-piece phases.

They have conceded first in four of the last eight at home. Those early setbacks lead to stretched matches with space for more chances. Their last eight league games average a combined 2.62 xG and over 2.5 goals has landed in 75% of those fixtures.

Brentford away concede frequent danger. Their non-pen xGA sits at 0.98 but the shots profile tells a stronger story. Seven big chances conceded away and only five created across the last four. They allow 11.17 shots per match and 3.00 shots on target.

They concede 5.83 corners. Across the last eight away, shots in box against hit 9.6 per match with only 6.3 for. Their away xG total reaches 2.62 with a higher share coming after turnovers. Their both teams to score away hit rate is 67% this season. Over 3.07 goals per match under Keith Andrews shows sustained volatility.

Brentford have one clean sheet in seven away matches. Tottenham have one clean sheet in seven at home. Across their combined home and away sample that is two clean sheets in fourteen fixtures, an 86% concession rate. Both defences allow goals in the majority of these matches

Over 2.5 goals fits the match profile and the market price

Tottenham Hotspur vs Brentford Betting Tips & Predictions

Further Reading

Tottenham will look to bounce back from a difficult week as they welcome London rivals Fulham to the Tottenham Hotspur Stadium on Saturday night.

Thomas Frank made a solid start as Spurs boss, with the Dane winning four and losing just one of his opening seven Premier League games in charge of the North London club (W4-D2-L1).

However, Spurs have gone on to win just one and lose three of their next five (W1-D1-L3), with the latest of those defeats coming in a 4-1 thrashing away at North London rivals Arsenal at the Emirates.

Spurs also come into this clash after suffering their first defeat in the league phase of the Champions League this season, as they lost 5-3 away at reigning champions Paris Saint-Germain, on an evening where both of my selections landed.

Fulham’s strong home form continued last time out, as they grabbed a late winner to defeat high-flying Sunderland 1-0 to move them up to 15th in the table, three points clear of the relegation zone.

Whilst that was Fulham’s fourth win from their last five at the Cottage, Marco Silva’s men have picked up a solitary point on their travels this season, losing each of their previous five.

How the bookies view it: Spurs favourites

Despite winning just one of their last five Premier League matches, Tottenham are favourites to claim all three points here, with bet365 pricing a home success at 6/5.

Fulham are 23/10 with the same firm to claim their first away win of the season, whilst the draw is 12/5.

Head to head: Four unbeaten for Fulham?

After winning just one of their last 13 meetings with Spurs, Fulham are unbeaten in each of their next three (W2-D1-L0).

However, the Cottagers have not won an away fixture against Tottenham since March 2013 at White Hart Lane.

Players to watch: Richarlison to make the net ripple again?

Richarlison is Spurs’s top scorer this season, firing in six goals in league and Europe, as well as providing a couple of assists.

The Brazilian has now scored in each of his last three appearances for Spurs, and I like the 13/10 on offer at Paddy Power for him to Score or Assist on Saturday night.

Think you’ve found odds that look too good to be true? Explore our Value Betting guide and learn when a price is genuinely favourable

Predicted line-ups:

Spurs will once again be without Dejan Kulusevski, James Maddison, Dominic Solanke, Yves Bissouma, Radu Dragusin and Koto Takai through injury, whilst Christian Romero is suspended.

Fulham will be missing Antonee Robinson and Rodrigo Muniz, but Sasa Lukic returns from suspension.

Tottenham Hotspur: Vicario, Porro, Danso, Van de Ven, Spence, Bentancur, Sarr, Kudus, Simons, Kolo-Muani, Richarlison

Fulham: Leno, Tete, Andersen, Bassey, Sessegnon, Berge, Iwobi, Wilson, King, Kevin, Jimenez

Anything else catch the eye?

With only rock-bottom Wolves collecting fewer points at home than Tottenham and fewer points away from home than Fulham, I’m more than happy to swerve the match result.

Tottenham’s last nine Premier League encounters have averaged 3.11 goals per game, with seven (78%) of them seeing Over 2.5 Goals land.

What’s more, three of Fulham’s last four Premier League clashes on the road have seen a minimum of three strikes, and a repeat pays 10/11 at bet365.

Tottenham Hotspur vs Fulham Betting Tips & Predictions

Further Reading

Arsenal have bossed the North London derby in recent years and the bookies are banking on their dominance of Tottenham Hotspur continuing today at the Emirates Stadium.

The Gunners are unbeaten in the last six showdowns with Spurs, winning five, so it's easy to see why their best price is just 4/9 at Betway for another victory.

But their amazing 10-game winning run in all competitions did end with a 2-2 draw at Sunderland before the international break and Tottenham's away form has been superb under Thomas Frank.

Arsenal vs Tottenham Hotspur top betting tips

David Raya's eight-match run of clean sheets also ended at the Stadium of Light and it will be interesting to see how Mikel Arteta copes with the loss of key defender Gabriel to injury.

But Tottenham still look a bit light up front so I fancy another Arsenal win to nil in this game, which pays 5/4 with William Hill.

Both teams have been a big threat from set-peices this season so it could pay to back a lot of corners.

We saw 14 when Spurs came to the Emirates last term and 13 in the other clash at Tottenham's stadium. That makes over 10.5 flag kicks well worth a punt today and it pays 13/12 at Unibet.

Leeds United vs Aston Villa

Daniel Farke is coming under a lot of pressure at Leeds United and desperately needs a big result when in-form Aston Villa come calling today.

A run of four defeats in their last five Premier League games has left Leeds sitting just above the drop zone and plenty of punters doubt if the German has what it takes to keep them up.

But three of those losses came on the road and United's form at Elland Road is decent, with only only one home defeat all season.

Taking on a Villa side who have won eight of their last 10 games in all competitions is a tall order though and Unai Emery's men look decent value at 6/4 with Paddy Power.

Leeds should be fired up by a passionate home crowd so I like the 6/4 on offer at Bet365 for Farke's side to collect the most cards.

Fancy backing a team with a goal advantage or underdog status? Take a look at our Masterclass on Handicap Betting to understand how the margins shift.

Aberdeen vs Heart of Midlothian

Hearts continue to lead the way in the SPFL Premiership but they now face a major test of title mettle, with away days in Aberdeen and Motherwell.

First up is a trip to Pittodrie today and it's hard to know what to expect from a Dons side who have been so inconsistent.

Jimmy Thelin was backed heavily by the board after winning the Scottish Cup and has brought in plenty of talented players.

But you get the feeling he still doesn't know his strongest team while Hearts have been a picture of stability under Derek McInnes.

The bookies make the Jambos odds-on favourites at a best 17/20 with 888Sport but I'm steering clear of backing a winner because Aberdeen are capable of rising to the occasion.

It should be a tight game and the half-time draw pays 6/5 at Bet365, while McBookie price a one-goal winning margin for either side at 7/5.

The midfield battle will be key and I like the 12/5 on offer at Bet365 for combative Hearts star Cammy Devlin to go into the book. Doubling that up with a card for Aberdeen namesake Nicky pays a tasty 10/1.

Super singles

Over 10.5 corners in Arsenal vs Tottenham 13/12 Unibet

Leeds most cards 6/4 Bet365

HT draw in Aberdeen vs Hearts 6/5 Bet365

Deadly double

Cammy Devlin and Nicky Devlin to be carded 10/1 Bet365

Upcoming match previews and betting tips

Sun 12:00 Sheffield Wednesday vs Sheffield Utd

Sun 14:00 Leeds vs Aston Villa

Sun 15:00 Aberdeen vs Hearts

Sun 16:30 Arsenal vs Tottenham Hotspur

Sun 20:00 Elche vs Real Madrid

Sun 21:45 Inter Milan vs AC Milan

SlipsTips’ Tips: Karlsson key to Pittodrie Bet Builder

Sunday’s Goals Accumulator Tips: Leipzig can help land 11/2 Acca

Racing tips

The weekend racing comes to a conclusion today and Rizzel is on hand with some top tips

Sunday’s Racing Tips – Intent Approach could be a long term plan for Cheltenham in March for Charles Byrnes

As always, leave your own tips and comments below.

Mr Fixit launched this website as a small project in 2010 to give him a platform to provide daily football tips to punters on the internet. The site has grown massively since, and while he is no longer with us, our aim is to continue his good work and provide our readers with solid tips every day to consider placing their bets on.

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Tottenham host FC Copenhagen at the Tottenham Hotspur Stadium on Tuesday night in the Champions League, with both sides looking to strengthen their position in the group.

Spurs remain unbeaten in this season’s competition (W1 D2), but their performances have been mixed, reflected in their xPTS of 2.4 and a negative xGD of -2.6. Despite strong domestic form, their European displays have lacked the same control, with 5.5 xGA across the first three matches suggesting defensive vulnerability.

Thomas Frank’s side have, however, been formidable at home in Europe. They are unbeaten in their last 21 UEFA home games (W17 D4) and have kept four clean sheets in their last six European fixtures.

Historically, Tottenham’s only previous meeting with a Danish team ended in a 3-2 win over AaB back in 2007/08, and that record sets the tone here as they are expected to take command in front of their own fans.

Copenhagen arrive fourth in the Danish Superliga, trailing leaders AGF and Midtjylland after W7-D34-L3 in 14 matches. In Europe, they have collected just one point from three games (xPTS 3.2) and scored only three goals while conceding almost five xGA.

Their long-term continental record remains poor with only two wins in their last 21 away matches in the Champions League, and they have never beaten an English club away from home (D2 L7).

The contrast in quality and experience is striking. Tottenham’s superior squad depth, home record, and control should give them the edge, especially against a Copenhagen side that has often struggled to sustain pressure against top-tier opposition.

With Spurs chasing qualification, this fixture looks tailor-made for them to secure a professional, confidence-building win in front of their home crowd.

How the bookies view it: Spurs are heavy favourites

Tottenham are heavy favourites at 19/50, which implies a 72.5% chance of victory. The draw at 17/4 carries an implied probability of 19%, while FC Copenhagen’s long odds of 8/1 suggest just a 11% chance of an upset.

The goals markets also point toward an open contest, with over 2.5 goals priced at 4/6 (implied 60%) and both teams to score trading at 19/20 (implied 51%). Those numbers align with expectations of Tottenham controlling the game but still allowing chances, given their recent European record of 5.5 xGA across three matches and Copenhagen’s occasional ability to test opponents on the counter.

Head to Head: First Meeting

First meeting between these two sides in a competitive match.

Players to watch: Lerager likely to commit fouls

Lukas Lerager looks a strong option for two or more fouls when Copenhagen visit Tottenham. He has committed 10 fouls in five Champions League matches, making at least one in four and two or more in three of them. That reflects both his aggressive defensive role and how much time Copenhagen spend without the ball in this competition.

Playing as a central midfielder or holding player, Lerager is heavily involved in breaking up play and pressing opponents in transition. Against higher-quality opposition like Dortmund and Leverkusen, he averaged nearly two fouls per game, showing that he is willing to take tactical bookings to stop counters.

This matchup looks even more demanding. Tottenham’s midfield trio of Rodrigo Bentancur, 1matar Pape Sarr and Mohammed Kudus all carry the ball well through central areas and draw plenty of contact. With Spurs expected to dominate possession and territory given they are strong favourites at home and Copenhagen average under 40% possession in Europe this should means that Lerager should again be at the heart of Copenhagen’s defensive effort.

His combination of workload, position, and track record make Lerager 2+ fouls a statistically solid selection.

Predicted line-ups

Tottenham (4-2-3-1): Vicario, Porro, Romero, Van de Ven, Spence, Palhinha, Bentancur, Kudus, Sarr, Bergvall, Kolo Muani.

FC Copenhagen (4-4-2): Kotarski, Suzuki, Hatzidiakos, Garananga, Lopez, Robert, Lerager, Claesson, Achouri, Elyounoussi, Moukoko.

Anything else catch the eye?

Backing Tottenham to win and under 4.5 goals stands out as the most logical play for Tuesday’s Champions League clash. Spurs are heavy favourites at home, but their European fixtures under Thomas Frank have tended to be tight, controlled affairs rather than high-scoring.

The numbers support that pattern as across their first three group matches, they have produced just 2.9 xG for and conceded 5.5, highlighting both a cautious attacking setup and periods of defensive pressure.

At home, though, Tottenham have been reliable. They are unbeaten in 21 UEFA home games (W17 D4), a record built on defensive discipline with four clean sheets in their last six European fixtures. Spurs’ expected process may be modest, but their control of possession and game state under Frank, particularly in London, has been impressive.

Copenhagen, by contrast, have struggled badly away in this competition. They have won just two of their last 21 Champions League away games. This season, their xPTS of 3.2 and xGD of -1.1 reflect a side creating little and surviving mainly through defensive resistance. They have generated only around 1.2 xG per match, and that lack of cutting edge is unlikely to improve against a Premier League defence.

Given Tottenham’s style and Copenhagen’s limitations, this sets up as a game that Spurs should control without the need for a heavy scoreline. Copenhagen’s matches in this competition rarely become high-scoring as they have gone under 4.5 goals in 12 of their last 15 group-stage outings.

A professional home win, likely by one or two goals, aligns perfectly with both teams’ data profiles. The safest and best-value angle is Tottenham to win and under 4.5 total goals which is a bet that covers the expected score lines of 1-0, 2-0, 2-1, 3-0 or 3-1.

Tottenham Hotspur vs FC Copenhagen Betting Tips & Predictions

Further Reading

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Tottenham will look to maintain their unbeaten start to this season’s Champions League as they travel to the Stade Louis II to take on Monaco on Wednesday night.

Tottenham began their Champions League campaign with a 1-0 victory at home to Villarreal, but looked in real danger in the arctic circle on MD2, as they trailed Norwegian champions Bodo/Glimt 2-0.

However, Thomas Frank’s men scored twice in the final 29 minutes to leave Norway with a point, leaving them in ninth position in the table.

However, Spurs suffered their second Premier League defeat of the season on Sunday, as they lost 1-2 at home to Aston Villa, in a match they had initially led.

Monaco endured a horror evening on MD1, as they were thrashed 4-1 in Belgium against Club Brugge.

The principality outfit was much improved on MD2 as they drew 2-2 at home to 2023/24 champions Manchester City, but a 2-2 draw at home to rivals Nice in Ligue 1 four days later cost Adi Hutter his job.

Les Monegasques replaced Hutter with Sebastien Pocognoli, but the ex-Union Saint-Gilloise head coach could only draw his opening game in charge of Monaco away at Angers on Saturday.

How the bookies view it: Spurs favourites

Despite playing away from home, Tottenham head to the Stade Louis II as favourites, with BoyleSports pricing them at 5/4.

Monaco are 15/8 to claim their first three points in the Champions League this term, whilst the draw is 5/2.

Head to head: Three on the spin for Monaco?

These two clubs last faced off in the 2016/17 edition of the Champions League, with Monaco winning home and away against Spurs by a 2-1 scoreline.

Players to watch: Fati to flourish?

Ansu Fati has made quite the impact since signing from Barca in the summer, scoring six goals in his opening six appearances for Monaco in all competitions.

The Spanish international is also on penalty duty for the Les Monegasques, which makes the 7/5 on offer for him to Score or Assist appeal to me even more.

Predicted line-ups:

Eric Dier is denied a reunion with his former club due to injury, whilst Lukas Hradecky, Christian Mawissa, Vanderson, Denis Zakaria, and Lamine Camara are also expected to be missing.

Spurs will be without Dejan Kulusevski, James Maddison, Dominic Solanke, Yves Bissouma, Ben Davies, Radu Dragusin and Koto Takai, whilst defenders Destiny Udogie and Christian Romero are doubtful.

Monaco: Kohn, Kehrer, Salisu, Henrique, Diatta, Teze, Coulibaly, Ouattara, Akliouche, Fati, Biereth

Tottenham Hotspur: Vicario, Porro, Danso, Van de Ven, Spence, Bentancur, Palhinha, Kudus, Simons, Odobert, Richarlison

Anything else catch the eye?

Tottenham’s previous five Premier League/Champions League fixtures have averaged 3.20 goals per game, with all five (100%) seeing goals at both ends, whilst four (80%) have also gone Over 2.5 Goals.

Monaco’s fixtures have been goal-laden all season, with their 10 Ligue 1/Champions League contests averaging 3.90 goals per game, with nine (90%) seeing goals at both ends.

Eight (80%) of those have also gone Over 2.5 Goals – including both Champions League fixtures (1-4 & 2-2) – and a repeat pays 5/6 at BoyleSports, which appeals to me here.

Monaco vs Tottenham Hotspur Betting Tips & Predictions

Further Reading