Tottenham Hotspur are outperforming all their Premier League rivals in a key attacking metric, but that may not exactly be good news for Spurs.
The biggest worry among Tottenham Hotspur fans this season has been the team’s inability to create chances consistently.
Spurs have posted several of the worst xG scores of any Premier League side this season, including their lowest ever record of just 0.05 in their 1-0 loss at home to Chelsea last month.
Tottenham are not performing well in the expected points table, which suggests that the club’s current league position of 11th actually flatters them.
Tottenham are the biggest xG overperformers in the Premier League
Despite struggling to create chances on a regular basis, Spurs have had no problem scoring goals, having found the back of the net 23 times in their 14 matches this season.
Only Arsenal, Man City, Chelsea and Brighton have scored more goals than the Lilywhites this season.
WhoScored have now revealed that Tottenham have outperformed their xG by +6.46 this season, which is the largest margin of any club across the Premier League.
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Should Spurs be concerned about their low xG?
Some people would see Tottenham’s outperformance of xG as a concern, as they would expect it to revert to the mean and for the goals to dry up.
However, outperforming xG may actually be a feature, not a bug, of Thomas Frank’s system. Sky Sports’ Lyall Thomas has pointed out that Brentford also outperformed their xG under the Danish coach.