AFC Bournemouth vs Tottenham Hotspur Betting Preview
AFC Bournemouth vs Tottenham Hotspur Betting Preview & Predictions – Premier League
AFC Bournemouth and Tottenham Hotspur meet in a Premier League tie on 7 January 2026 at 19:30 GMT. Find predictions, stats and betting tips for this crucial top-flight fixture below in our expert match preview.
Fixture Details:
Home Team: AFC Bournemouth
Away Team: Tottenham Hotspur
Competition: Premier League
Matchday: 21
Date: 7 January 2026
Kick-off Time: 19:30 GMT
Venue: Vitality Stadium
Match Overview
Match Details Information Competition Premier League Matchday 21 Date 7 January 2026 Kick-off Time 19:30 GMT Venue Vitality Stadium Broadcast Sky Sports Main Event / Sky Sports Premier League
Key Predictions & Confidence Score
Market Prediction Confidence Full-Time Result Draw (13/5, Betfair) ★★★☆☆ Correct Score 1-1 (Best priced at 6/1, various bookmakers) ★★★☆☆ Both Teams to Score Yes (8/13, Bet365) ★★★★☆ Over/Under 2.5 Goals Under 2.5 (11/10, Bet365) ★★★☆☆
Top Betting Tips & Value Analysis
Tip 1. Value Bet: Draw
Odds: @ 13/5 with Betfair
Value Rating: ★★★★☆
Analysis: Both teams have drawn over a third of their matches this season (Bournemouth: 8/20, Tottenham: 6/20). Their last three meetings have produced a win apiece and a draw, with the most recent contest at Tottenham ending 2-2. Statistically, Bournemouth average 1.55 goals scored and 1.9 conceded per game, while Spurs average 1.4 scored and 1.2 conceded. Neither side boasts consistent form nor a decisive edge – Bournemouth have been plagued by missed chances (29 big chances missed), while Tottenham are more clinical but create fewer opportunities. With both teams closely matched in possession (Bournemouth 51%, Spurs 51%) and pass accuracy, and separated by just four points in the table, the stalemate offers standout value at 13/5.
Betfair
Our score: 87%
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Tip 2. Player Prop Bet: Antoine Semenyo to Score Anytime
Odds: @ 9/5 with Bresbet
Value Rating: ★★★☆☆
Analysis: Semenyo has scored 9 of Bournemouth’s 31 league goals this season (29% of team total), boasting a shot accuracy of 53.13%. He is both a goal threat and a creative force, leading the squad in big chance assists (25). Tottenham’s backline, although solid with 7 clean sheets, have conceded in each of their last 5 away games. Semenyo’s movement and ability to find space could be problematic for a Spurs side that has struggled to contain dynamic forwards on the road. With Bournemouth’s high chance creation (xG 29.11, 278 shots) and Semenyo’s form, the 2/1 anytime scorer price is fair value.
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Bresbet
Our score: 86%
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In-Depth Match Analysis
Recent Form and Performance
Bournemouth currently sit 15th with 23 points from 20 matches (W5 D8 L7, 31 goals for, 38 against). Their recent run has seen three draws, one win and two defeats, reflecting inconsistency but also resilience – only three sides have drawn more often in the Premier League. Offensively, Bournemouth average nearly 1.6 goals per game, but defensive frailty is evident, conceding 1.9 per match. Tottenham, 13th with 27 points (W7 D6 L7, 28 goals for, 24 against), are slightly more robust at the back (1.2 conceded per game) and marginally less prolific in attack (1.4 scored per game). Spurs have lost only once in their last five but have been held to draws by mid-table rivals, suggesting a struggle to kill off matches. Both teams are winless in their last two, further supporting the draw value.
Tactical Breakdown
Bournemouth typically deploy a balanced 4-2-3-1, focusing on width and high shot volume. Their average ball possession (50.98%) and passing accuracy (80.27%) highlight a side comfortable in possession but sometimes lacking a cutting edge – evidenced by 29 big chances missed this term. Tottenham under their current manager prefer a structured 4-3-3 or 4-2-3-1, reliant on efficient transitions and clinical finishing; they have scored 28 goals from only 19.58 xG, indicating they outperform chance quality thanks to sharp finishing. While Spurs create fewer opportunities (25 big chances, 197 shots), they are more efficient. Defensively, Tottenham have conceded only 24 goals and kept 7 clean sheets, but have shown vulnerability against teams with pace and movement in wide areas – something Bournemouth’s wingers and Semenyo will try to exploit.
Key Player Matchups
Antoine Semenyo (Bournemouth) vs Tottenham central defence: Semenyo’s directness and high shot accuracy (53.13%) will test a Spurs defence that has looked less assured on their travels. His ability to create and convert high-value chances makes him the focal point of Bournemouth’s attack.
Richarlison (Tottenham) vs Marcos Senesi (Bournemouth): Richarlison will look to capitalise on Bournemouth’s defensive lapses, while Senesi’s role as Bournemouth’s defensive organiser, and his ability to play out from the back, will be crucial in resisting Tottenham’s press and launching counters.
Head-to-Head Record & Statistical Analysis
Statistic Bournemouth Tottenham League Position 15th 13th Goals Scored 31 28 Goals Conceded 38 24 xG (Expected Goals) 29.11 19.58 xGA (Expected Goals Against) N/A N/A
Date Result Competition 30 Aug 2025 Tottenham 0-1 Bournemouth Premier League 9 Mar 2025 Tottenham 2-2 Bournemouth Premier League 5 Dec 2024 Bournemouth 1-0 Tottenham Premier League 31 Dec 2023 Tottenham 3-1 Bournemouth Premier League 26 Aug 2023 Bournemouth 0-2 Tottenham Premier League
Player Spotlight: Antoine Semenyo
Antoine Semenyo is Bournemouth’s leading scorer with 9 goals, accounting for 29% of their total output. His shot accuracy stands at an impressive 53.13%, meaning over half his efforts test the keeper – a rate among the best for Premier League forwards. He has also contributed a league-leading 25 big chance assists for Bournemouth, underlining his dual threat as both creator and finisher. With Tottenham’s defensive line conceding in five consecutive away matches, Semenyo’s pace and movement could be the deciding factor at the Vitality Stadium.
BestOdds
Our score: 86%
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Frequently Asked Questions (FAQ)
Who is the favourite to win the AFC Bournemouth vs Tottenham Hotspur match?
According to the latest odds, AFC Bournemouth are slight favourites at 21/20 (Bet365), but the draw at 13/5 (Betfair) is well supported given recent results and the teams’ closely matched statistics.
What are the best betting odds for this match?
The best odds for a draw are 13/5 with Betfair. Semenyo to score anytime is available at the best price of 9/5 with Bresbet. Both teams to score is 8/13 with Bet365, but we recommend seeking out value tips of evens or longer.
Where can I watch the AFC Bournemouth vs Tottenham Hotspur match?
The match will be broadcast live on Sky Sports Main Event and Sky Sports Premier League in the UK.
Conclusion & Key Takeaways
In summary, this is a tightly poised contest between two mid-table sides with contrasting strengths. Bournemouth generate more chances but struggle with conversion, while Tottenham are more efficient but create less. The most likely outcome is a draw, with both sides finding the net – a result supported by recent H2H meetings and current form. Antoine Semenyo stands out as a player to watch, and his anytime scorer odds present good value. For further football betting advice and to compare the best sports betting sites and Bookmaker bonuses, head to Compare.bet.
Disclaimer & Responsible Gambling
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