Yorkshire Evening Post

Leeds United have put themselves on to 39 points with five games still left - and data experts Opta have now cast a fresh Whites verdict in their predicted final Premier League table and points.

Leeds began the weekend sitting on 36 points, six clear of third-bottom Tottenham Hotspur after Monday night’s brilliant 2-1 win at Manchester United and Saturday’s hosting of Wolves presented the chance to boot even further clear.

Leeds took the opportunity with both hands, two first-half goals inside three minutes from James Justin and Noah Okafor laying the foundations for a 3-0 victory in which Dominic Calvert-Lewin also netted a 95th-minute penalty.

The win took Leeds nine points clear of Tottenham who then hosted Brighton in a 5.30pm kick-off and Spurs finally looked set to record a first league win of 2026 as they led 2-1 heading into the closing stages. But amazingly ex-Whites star Georginio Rutter came off the bench to bag a late equaliser which sealed a 2-2 draw and broke Tottenham’s hearts.

It’s all left 15th-placed Leeds eight points clear of third-bottom Tottenham with just five games left, the Whites also seven points ahead of fourth-bottom West Ham and six ahead of fifth-bottom Nottingham Forest although West Ham and Forest both have a game in hand.

Forest host Burnley on Sunday in a 2pm kick-off whilst West Ham go to Crystal Palace on Monday night.

Looking up the table, Leeds are now just three points behind a sliding Newcastle United said who suffered another defeat through a 2-1 loss at home to Bournemouth, the Whites also three points behind Palace but with Palace having a game in hand.

Amid debate about how many points will be needed to survive, data experts Opta have now produced their new predicted final table and points featuring a strong fresh Leeds verdict and big Chelsea drop shocker.

Here is the new rundown in reverse order.

Leeds United now sit eight points clear of the dropzone following Saturday’s 3-0 victory against Wolves, leading to a huge change in the club’s relegation odds in the bookies’ new predicted final Premier League table.

Daniel Farke’s Whites began the weekend six points clear of third-bottom Tottenham Hotspur after Monday night’s brilliant 2-1 win at Manchester United and Saturday’s hosting of Wolves presented the chance to boot even further clear.

Leeds took the opportunity with both hands, two first-half goals inside three minutes from James Justin and Noah Okafor laying the foundations for a 3-0 victory in which Dominic Calvert-Lewin also netted a 95th-minute penalty.

The win took Leeds nine points clear of Tottenham who then hosted Brighton in a 5.30pm kick-off and Spurs finally looked set to record a first league win of 2026 as they led 2-1 heading into the closing stages.

But amazingly ex-Whites star Georginio Rutter came off the bench to bag a late equaliser which sealed a 2-2 draw and broke Tottenham’s hearts.

It’s all left 15th-placed Leeds eight points clear of third-bottom Tottenham with just five games left, the Whites also seven points ahead of fourth-bottom West Ham and six ahead of fifth-bottom Nottingham Forest although West Ham and Forest both have a game in hand.

Forest host Burnley on Sunday in a 2pm kick-off whilst West Ham go to Crystal Palace on Monday night.

Looking up the table, Leeds are now just three points behind a sliding Newcastle United said who suffered another defeat through a 2-1 loss at home to Bournemouth, the Whites also three points behind Palace but with Palace having a game in hand.

It all means United’s survival prospects have been massively boosted and it’s led to an enormous change in the club’s relegation odds in the bookies’ new predicted final table.

Here, in reverse order, is the full new rundown.

A look at how and when Leeds United could secure their Premier League status following Saturday's win over Wolves.

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Leeds United edged closer to retaining their Premier League status for another year thanks to Saturday’s 3-0 win at home to Wolves. A quickfire first-half double from James Justin and Noah Okafor put the Whites in control with Dominic Calvert-Lewin netting a third from the penalty spot in second-half added-time.

Victory pulled Leeds onto 39 points, nine clear of 18th-placed Tottenham Hotspur initially, who then drew 2-2 with Brighton to close it to eight. Daniel Farke’s side are also currently seven points ahead of West Ham and six clear of Nottingham Forest, who have games in hand to come this weekend against Crystal Palace and Burnley respectively.

“A lot is achieved but nothing is done yet,” Farke insisted after full-time on Saturday. “It's a fantastic position to be in but the feeling is we probably need to win one or a few more points, we'll stay focused and want to win one or a few more points as soon as possible to have it mathematically done.”

Following up Monday’s historic win at Manchester United with another victory has hugely improved Leeds’ chances of survival. Below, the YEP takes a look at what they need to guarantee safety - and what they’ll likely require.

How many points do Leeds United need to survive?

With 39 points already to their name, Leeds are in a great position to avoid relegation. As things stand, they are currently eight points ahead of Tottenham in 18th. Spurs twice went ahead at home to Brighton later on Saturday but dropped two points thanks to a 95th-minute leveller from a certain Georginio Rutter.

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In the unlikely event Tottenham win all five of their remaining games, they will finish on 46 points which means Leeds can guarantee survival with eight more points - That could be done with two wins and two draws. That would also require both West Ham and Forest to enjoy exceptional ends to the season too, though.

Realistically, Opta predict Spurs to finish the season on 37 points, with West Ham due to end on 38. Should those predictions prove accurate, then Leeds would theoretically already be safe.

Predicted Premier League table

Following Saturday’s comfortable win, statistical experts Opta updated their Premier League predictions. It’s good reading for Leeds too, whose percentage chance of finishing in the bottom three now stands at just 0.27 per cent.

Opta expect Leeds to pick up a further seven points from their final five games, finishing the season in 15th on 46. They still have Tottenham to join Burnley and Wolves in dropping to the Championship on 37 points, with a 53.4 per cent chance of being 18th come the end of May.

Here is the full predicted bottom six, as things stand...

Leeds United are approaching a particularly big weekend in the club’s quest for Premier League survival - and the bookies have made a huge Whites in their new predicted final table.

Daniel Farke’s Whites kicked six points clear of third-bottom Tottenham Hotspur with Monday night’s magnificent 2-1 win against fierce rivals Manchester United at Old Trafford but the gap could get even bigger on Saturday afternoon.

Spurs, who are incredibly still seeking a first league win of 2026, must wait until Saturday tea-time before taking in their next fixture as new boss Roberto De Zerbi faces the visit of his former side Brighton in a 5.30pm kick-off.

Forth-bottom West Ham, who are now four points behind Leeds, don’t play until Monday night when they visit Crystal Palace whilst a fifth-bottom Nottingham Forest side who are three points behind the Whites host second-bottom Burnley on Sunday afternoon.

It all means that Saturday afternoon’s visit of the division’s bottom-placed side Wolves presents a monumental opportunity for Leeds although there will still be another five games left afterwards including away trips to both Tottenham and West Ham.

Ahead of a particularly massive weekend in the fight for Premier League survival, the odds for relegation are continually changing and the bookies have made a huge Whites call in their predicted final table based on those odds.

Here, in reverse order, is the full final prediction ahead of Saturday afternoon’s 3pm kick-off against Wolves.

Leeds United can move nine points clear of the dropzone with a victory against Saturday’s visitors Wolves - and the supercomputer has cast a strong Whites verdict in its new predicted final Premier League table and points.

Daniel Farke’s Whites kicked six points clear of third-bottom Tottenham Hotspur with Monday night’s magnificent 2-1 win against fierce rivals Manchester United at Old Trafford but the gap could get even bigger on Saturday afternoon.

Spurs, who are incredibly still seeking a first league win of 2026, must wait until Saturday tea-time before taking in their next fixture as new boss Roberto De Zerbi faces the visit of his former side Brighton in a 5.30pm kick-off.

Forth-bottom West Ham, who are now four points behind Leeds, don’t play until Monday night when they visit Crystal Palace whilst a fifth-bottom Nottingham Forest side who are three points behind the Whites host second-bottom Burnley on Sunday afternoon.

It all means that Saturday afternoon’s visit of the division’s bottom-placed side Wolves presents a monumental opportunity for Leeds although there will still be another five games left afterwards including away trips to both Tottenham and West Ham.

Ahead of a particularly massive weekend in the fight for Premier League survival, the supercomputer from the team at Opta has produced its new predicted final table and points which features a strong Whites call.

Here, in reverse order, is the full final prediction ahead of Saturday afternoon’s 3pm kick-off against Wolves.

Leeds United took a big step towards Premier League safety at Old Trafford on Monday.

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Leeds United have all but secured Premier League safety after a ‘wonderful’ win at Old Trafford that will scare Tottenham Hotspur, according to Gary Neville.

Noah Okafor’s first-half brace made history on Monday night as Leeds earned a first league win at Manchester United since 1981. The winger reacted quickly to finish a Jayden Bogle cross inside five minutes, doubling his tally on the half-hour mark when a volley deflected off Leny Yoro and beyond Senne Lammens.

Lisandro Martinez was sent off for a hair pull on Dominic Calvert-Lewin in the second half and despite Casemiro pulling one back, Leeds held on to enjoy just a second away league win this season. That victory pulled them six points clear of Tottenham who are now in the relegation zone following a difficult 1-0 defeat at Sunderland on Sunday.

“That is a performance I don't think Tottenham are capable of, and that's the scary thing for Tottenham,” Neville told his Sky Sports podcast after full-time. “It’s not just the six points, by the way, that Leeds United have gone clear of them tonight, but the actual performance levels they put in.

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“Spurs are nowhere near that, you watch them yesterday against Sunderland, it’s a set of ingredients that don't go together, a concoction of misfits. And then you watch Leeds tonight and there’s balance, there’s a flow. It was a wonderful night for them and I think that does secure Premier League survival for Leeds United this season.”

Leeds United not safe yet but Man Utd win a huge step forward

While no one in West Yorkshire will be complacent, Monday’s unexpected victory was a huge step towards safety for Leeds. It is the first time all season they will now need to drop a point-per-game compared to Tottenham - who they face next month - in order to finish in the bottom three.

Opta have predicted Leeds finish 15th for several weeks but their relegation chances are now shorter than ever, at just 1.6 per cent according to the statistical experts. That will likely reduce even further if they can beat Wolves on Saturday and, for a couple of hours at least, pull nine points clear.

Tottenham have also lost captain Christian Romero for the rest of the season after he suffered a knee injury at Sunderland. The defender collided with goalkeeper Antonin Kinsky while trying to shield the ball and left the pitch in tears.

He will therefore not be available when Leeds head to the Tottenham Hotspur Stadium on May 11, joining a long list of absentees. The likes of Mohammed Kudus, James Maddison and Dejan Kulusevski have been out for large periods.

One of Leeds United's relegation rivals and run-in opponents have suffered a huge injury blow.

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Leeds United’s key relegation rivals Tottenham Hotspur will be without captain Christian Romero for the remainder of the season, according to reports.

Romero left the pitch in tears during the second half of Tottenham’s 1-0 defeat at Sunderland on Sunday. The centre-back collided with his goalkeeper teammate Antonin Kinsky after trying to shield the ball under pressure from Brian Brobbey.

"I hope for us it's not too important a problem because he's a crucial player for us,” Spurs boss Roberto De Zerbi said of Romero in the aftermath of Sunday’s defeat. "He's a good guy, good player, top player, big personality and we need him to finish this season and to achieve our goal."

De Zerbi’s wish to have Romero available this season looks to have been crushed with Sky Sports among several outlets to report the defender’s season is over. The Argentinian’s World Cup hopes are not thought to be over but his season at club-level is, with just seven games left.

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Tottenham fell into the Premier League relegation zone before kicking a ball over the weekend, with West Ham pulling two points clear following their 4-0 win at home to Wolves. Defeat at the Stadium of Light kept Spurs in 18th, three points shy of Leeds who play their game in hand at Manchester United this evening.

Leeds then play again before Tottenham next kick off, with the visit of Wolves to Elland Road coming a few hours before Spurs host Brighton. Daniel Farke’s side could be anything between three and nine points clear of their 18th-placed rivals by around 5pm on Saturday.

One of Spurs’ other big games comes on Monday, May 11, when they host Leeds at the Tottenham Hotspur Stadium. De Zerbi will be without his captain and key centre-back for that clash, which will almost certainly be a relegation six-pointer.

Romero’s season-ending injury is the second major blow manager De Zerbi has suffered in a matter of days. The Italian coach had told reporters he was expecting to rely on the returning Mohammed Kudus but the tricky winger suffered a setback in his recovery from a quad injury and is also likely to miss the rest of the season.

The pair join a long list of absent first-team players at Tottenham. They are expected to be without Dejan Kulusevski and Wilson Odobert for the remainder of the season while James Maddison hasn’t played a single minute this campaign due to a pre-season knee injury.

Leeds United’s key rivals Tottenham have suffered a big fresh blow in their quest to avoid the drop - leading to changes in the relegation odds and bookies’ new predicted final Premier League table.

Leeds began the weekend sat in 15th place and four points clear of the dropzone but third-bottom West Ham then took themselves out of the relegation zone with Friday night’s 4-0 win at home to Wolves.

The victory left Tottenham Hotspur in the dropzone for the first time this season but Spurs were then presented with the chance to get back out of it with Sunday afternoon’s clash at Sunderland in new boss Roberto De Zerbi’s first game in charge.

Spurs began the day three points behind Leeds on the same amount of games played but De Zerbi’s first game in charge ended in a 1-0 defeat in which captain Cristian Romero was also forced off injured.

At the same time, a fourth-bottom Nottingham Forest side who began the weekend just one point behind Leeds hosted Aston Villa, also in a 2pm kick-off.

In a fresh boost for Forest, the Reds left Villa Pak with a 1-1 draw that took them level on points with the Whites but still behind them on goal difference, and having played a game more.

Ahead of Monday night’s clash against Manchester United at Old Trafford, Leeds are three points clear of the dropzone but having played a game less than third-bottom Spurs who are two points adrift of West Ham and three behind both Leeds and Forest.

It’s all led to changes in the relegation odds and this is the bookies’ new predicted final table.

Key Leeds United rivals Tottenham have been dealt a new double blow.

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Leeds United have been given a slice of relief through a fresh double blow for key rivals Tottenham who have also been hit by a key man injury setback.

Leeds began the weekend sat in 15th place and four points clear of the dropzone but third-bottom West Ham then took themselves out of the relegation zone with Friday night’s 4-0 win at home to Wolves.

The victory left Tottenham Hotspur in the dropzone for the first time this season but Spurs were then presented with the chance to get back out of it with Sunday afternoon’s clash at Sunderland in new boss Roberto De Zerbi’s first game in charge.

Spurs began the day three points behind Leeds on the same amount of games played but De Zerbi’s first game in charge ended in a 1-0 defeat in which captain Cristian Romero was also forced off injured.

At the same time, a fourth-bottom Nottingham Forest side who began the weekend just one point behind Leeds hosted Aston Villa, also in a 2pm kick-off.

In a fresh boost for Forest, the Reds left Villa Pak with a 1-1 draw that took them level on points with the Whites but still behind them on goal difference.

Up at Sunderland, Spurs looked to have been awarded a first-half penalty as Randal Kolo Muani hit the deck sandwiched in between Luke O’Nien and Omar Alderete but it looked a surprising decision and VAR intervened and advised referee Rob Jones to visit his monitor.

His decision to award the penalty was then overturned as part of a goalless first half at the Stadium of Light.

Sunderland, though, went ahead on the hour mark after a combination of brilliant play from Nordi Mukiele and bad luck on Tottenham’s part.

In a fairly safe and dull game, Mukiele cut inside from the right flank and made his way to the edge of the box before unleashing a low drive which took a huge deflection off Micky van de Ven en route to beating Antonin Kinsky in the Spurs net.

Moments later, Spurs were dealt another blow as captain Cristian Romero was forced off injured after a blow to his leg, leaving the pitch close to tears.

Sunderland then pressed for a second although Spurs were given minutes of added time to get an equaliser.

At the City Ground, Forest fell behind in the 23rd minute to an own goal from Murillo but Neco Williams drew the hosts level seven minutes before the break.

Leeds United’s key rivals West Ham have bagged a massive boost in their quest for Premier League survival and it’s led to an enormous change in the bookies’ new predicted final table.

The Hammers began the weekend sat third-bottom in the division’s relegation zone, just one point behind fourth-bottom Tottenham Hotspur, three behind fourth-bottom Nottingham Forest and four points adrift of fifth-bottom Leeds.

The Irons, though, were presented with a huge chance to make big inroads as they played first on Friday night with a home clash against bottom-of-the-table Wolves.

The game remained goalless for 41 minutes but in the end doubles from Taty Castellanos and Konstantinos Mavropanos saw the Hammers to an impressive 4-0 victory which has taken them out of the dropzone at Tottenham’s expense.

For the first time this season, Spurs sit in the relegation zone, two points behind West Ham who are now level on points with Forest and just one point behind Leeds who face a huge task on Monday night against Manchester United at Old Trafford.

Tottenham, meanwhile, visit Sunderland on Sunday afternoon in new boss Roberto De Zerbi’s first game in charge whilst Forest host Aston Villa at the same time, both in 2pm kick-offs.

West Ham’s win was massive in the battle for Premier League survival and it’s now led to an enormous change in the bookies’ new predicted final table based on the latest odds.

Here is the full new rundown in reverse order.