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Best FPL Differentials: Target relegated-threatened clubs for Blank Gameweek  TNT Sports

The number-crunchers at Opta have delivered their latest projections for the remainder of the Premier League season.

As we head into the final straight of the 2025/26 Premier League campaign, there is still plenty to play for.

The title race is approaching its climax, while the quest to secure a UEFA Champions League spot took another dramatic turn over the weekend.

At the opposite end of the table, the battle to beat the drop intensifies with each passing week.

How will your team fare in the final weeks of the campaign?

Our friends at Opta have fired up their supercomputer to predict how the season will pan out between now and the final whistle of 2025/26 on May 24.

Premier League predictor table

Arsenal still favourites despite City reverse

Arsenal fell to a 2-1 loss to title rivals Manchester City on Sunday afternoon, as goals from Rayan Cherki and Erling Haaland either side of half-time saw Pep Guardiola's side close the gap at the top of the table to three points.

City have a game in hand on The Gunners, and victory over 19th-placed Burnley would see The Cityzens leapfrog Arsenal into top spot.

Even so, Opta give Arsenal a 73% chance of lifting their first Premier League title in over 20 years, though that has dropped since being handed a 94.4% chance of landing domestic glory last month.

Such a swing in fortunes means Manchester City have now gone from 5.6% to 27% to win the league over the last six weeks, a percentage that will rise should Guardiola oversee victory against The Clarets.

'I will cry' - Guardiola salutes Man City star for role in key win over Arsenal

Haaland winner over Arsenal helps Man City take charge in title race

City then make the trip to Wembley to take on Championship side Southampton in the Emirates FA Cup - live on TNT Sports and HBO Max - on Saturday afternoon, and that will present Arsenal with the chance to re-open a lead at the summit of England's top tier.

Arsenal welcome Newcastle United on the same day City take on Saints, as Arteta looks to end his April hoodoo and get The Gunners' title push back on track.

The north London powerhouse round off the campaign with games against Fulham, West Ham United, Burnley and Crystal Palace.

The Fulham clash is sandwiched between a UEFA Champions League semi-final doubler-header with Atletico Madrid, the first leg available to watch live on TNT Sports and HBO Max.

Manchester City, meanwhile, are still to take on Everton, Brentford, Bournemouth, Crystal Palace and Aston Villa following the midweek Burnley clash, as Guardiola aims to mastermind a seventh Premier League title.

However, the date of the Palace match is yet to be determined and the Bournemouth game could shift depending on whether City make the FA Cup final, causing potential havoc in the final weeks of the campaign.

City's cup semi-final assignment also means that the Gunners will play twice in the league - an opportunity to create some distance to their rivals - before Guardiola's side arrive at the Hill Dickinson Stadium on May 4.

Remaining fixtures

ArsenalManchester City Newcastle (h) - April 25Burnley (a) - April 22Fulham (h) - May 2Everton (a) - May 4West Ham (a) - May 10Brentford (h) - May 9Burnley (h) - May 17Bournemouth (a) - May 17*Crystal Palace (a) - May 24Aston Villa (h) - May 24Crystal Palace (h) - TBC

Battle for the Champions League

English teams' performances in Europe means that a fifth-placed finish will be enough to secure a spot in the Champions League next season.

And Manchester United are in the driving seat to finish inside the top five following their 1-0 win at Chelsea on Saturday night.

Matheus Cunha's first-half strike was enough to secure all the spoils at Stamford Bridge as Manchester United bounced back from their surprise 2-1 loss to Leeds United in fine fashion.

Michael Carrick's men now sit 10 points clear of sixth, and the Opta supercomputer has The Red Devils at 44% to secure third in the Premier League this season.

In fact, they are given just a 1.4% chance of finishing outside the top five following their victory in west London.

It would take a huge downturn in form for Manchester United to not be plying their trade in Europe's elite club competition next season.

The aim, now, will be to wrap up third spot, with Aston Villa hot on Manchester United's heels.

Tammy Abraham kept The Villans' hopes of finishing third alive with a second-half injury-time winner in a seven-goal thriller with Sunderland on Sunday.

Van Dijk grabs dramatic winner as Liverpool edge frantic Merseyside Derby

'We lost our minds' - Emery on dramatic Villa win as Gibbs-White hat-trick sinks Burnley

Fernandes crowned 'best player in the Premier League' after United beat Chelsea

Unai Emery's side have a 40.8% chance of finishing third, and are as low as 1.2% to finish sixth, with a spot in the UEFA Champions League all-but guaranteed.

Attention, therefore, turns to the fifth and final Champions League spot.

Liverpool currently sit fifth following their late 2-1 win in the first Merseyside derby at Hill Dickinson Stadium on Sunday as Virgil van Dijk's towering header confirmed victory over Everton.

The numbers favour Arne Slot's side, who are now at 49.6% to finish fifth and just 8.2% to finish outside the Champions League spots.

Liverpool's win combined with Chelsea's defeat means there is now just a 5.1% chance that The Blues are playing Champions League football next season.

Brentford (2.1%), Bournemouth (2.5%) and Brighton & Hove Albion (2.8%) are also unlikely to take a seat at the head table in Europe's top-tier competition.

Spurs tipped for Championship football

At the other end of the table, Tottenham Hotspur are now the most likely to join Burnley and Wolverhampton Wanderers in the Championship next season.

Spurs were minutes away from a first league win in 2026 on Saturday only for Georgino Rutter to break hearts with a second-half stoppage-time equaliser in Brighton's 2-2 draw in the capital over the weekend.

The result means Roberto De Zerbi's men are at 56.6% to finish 18th in what has been a wholly disappointing season for the 2025 UEFA Europa League winners.

West Ham, who take on London rivals Crystal Palace on Monday night, now have a 38.5% chance of dropping out of the Premier League.

Leeds (0.4%) and Nottingham Forest (4.5%) are also now unlikely to be dragged into the relegation scrap following their respective wins over Wolves and Burnley at the weekend.

Stream the Premier League, men’s and women’s FA Cup, UEFA Champions League, UEFA Europa League, UEFA Conference League and more live on TNT Sports and HBO Max.

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Arsenal swoop for Leicester teenager, Tottenham Hotspur want Bournemouth star - Paper Round

Bournemouth will appoint former Borussia Dortmund boss Marco Rose as Andoni Iraola's successor at the end of the season, according to various outlets.

Iraola is preparing to leave The Cherries after three seasons in charge and the club have moved swiftly to replace him.

Former Borussia Dortmund boss Rose is without a job since leaving RB Leipzig in March 2025.

"Bournemouth are set to appoint Marco Rose as their new manager after successful talks with the German," writes The Guardian.

"Rose has emerged as the favoured candidate to replace Andoni Iraola, who is stepping down when his contract expires this summer, and an agreement in principle is in place for him to take over.

"Tiago Pinto, Bournemouth’s head of football operations, has moved swiftly since learning that Iraola has decided to seek a fresh challenge."

Arsenal swoop in for Leicester teenager

Leicester City teenager Jeremy Monga has caught the eye of Arsenal.

The 16-year-old winger is also attracting the interest of other Premier League clubs, but The Gunners are favourites to sign him.

Monga has featured 25 times for The Foxes in this season’s Championship, scoring one goal and grabbing two assists.

He became the second youngest player in Premier League history when he came on as a substitute in Leicester’s 3-0 defeat by Newcastle United in April 2025.

The Telegraph writes: ”Arsenal are showing strong interest in Leicester City teenager Jeremy Monga and hope to fend off competition from rivals in the race for his signature.

”Monga, 16, has attracted widespread interest after breaking into Leicester’s senior side towards the end of last season.

”Telegraph Sport understands that Arsenal are long-term admirers of the winger, who is widely regarded as one of the most exciting young talents in the English game.

”Last year Monga agreed a professional contract with Leicester, which begins when he turns 17 this summer, but that deal does not guarantee the England youth international will remain at the club next season.”

Spurs move for Senesi

Tottenham could sign Bournemouth defender Marcos Senesi this summer, if they can avoid relegation.

Senesi’s contract with The Cherries expires at the end of the season and Spurs are said to be the leading contender for his signature.

”Tottenham are in advanced talks with Bournemouth’s Marcos Senesi over a free transfer this summer,” notes The Sun.

”The proposed switch would be subject to relegation-threatened Spurs avoiding the drop – just as it would in their pursuit for Liverpool’s Andy Robertson.

”Senesi, 28, is out of contract at the Vitality at the end of the season.

”Tottenham are a leading contender for his signature although it is understood nothing is finalised at this stage and there is interest in the Argentine from elsewhere.

”Left-footed Senesi joined Bournemouth from Feyenoord in 2022 for £10.5million and is set for his 100th Premier League start for the club at Newcastle this weekend.

”Spurs are in the boxseat to sign Liverpool legend Robertson, 32, for nothing this summer if they remain in the Prem.”

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Anthony Gordon seeks summer move from Newcastle United, Tottenham Hotspur face mass exodus if relegated from Premier League - Paper Round

Anthony Gordon is expected to "seek a move" away from Newcastle United this summer, claims The Telegraph, with Bayern Munich, Arsenal and Liverpool keen on the forward.

A number of key players, including Sandro Tonali and Bruno Guimaraes have been linked away from the club, with Eddie Howe's side facing the prospect of no European football next season. Newcastle are currently 14th in the Premier League table.

Gordon is said to want his "future sorted" before this summer's World Cup, with the 25-year-old expected to play a big part in England's campaign.

"Anthony Gordon is keen to explore his options to leave Newcastle United in the summer as he looks to follow Alexander Isak out of the club," reads the Telegraph article.

"Newcastle have not been told by Gordon that he wants to leave, but the feeling inside St James’ Park is that the winger will seek a move in the summer and the club are aware of potential interest from England and Europe.

"As a result, the Newcastle hierarchy is braced for bids to come early in the summer as the player is keen to get his future sorted before the World Cup.

"Bayern Munich have been widely credited with an interest in him this week, but Newcastle have scoffed at suggestions they would entertain bids of between £55-60m. That was the valuation circulated in German media reports, although the asking price for the England international is likely to exceed £80m.

"Arsenal have a long-standing admiration for Gordon and he has featured in recruitment planning meetings. It will also be interesting to see whether Liverpool rekindle their interest in a player they were close to signing in the summer of 2024.

"A long-term injury to Hugo Ekitike may force Liverpool to sign another forward in the next transfer window and Gordon’s ability to play across the front three could hold fresh appeal. He is a boyhood Liverpool supporter and would jump at the chance to return to Merseyside if the opportunity came."

Spurs face mass exodus if relegated

The Daily Mail report that Tottenham Hotspur could face a mass exodus of key players if they are relegated from the Premier League.

Spurs are currently in the relegation zone, having failed to win a league match so far this calendar year.

Cristian Romero, Micky van de Ven, Xavi Simons, as well as Guglielmo Vicario, Pedro Porro, Archie Gray and Lucas Bergvall, are all expected to leave should the club be relegated to the second tier.

The paper reports: ”Some might have clauses enabling them to leave after relegation, and others will not expect to slum it in the Championship. Romero, Micky van de Ven and Xavi Simons lead this category as established internationals players in their prime years sure to command interest from clubs in the Champions League.

”Loan options on Joao Palhinha from Bayern Munich and Randal Kolo Muani from Paris Saint-Germain will likely be declined.

”Inter Milan are interested in goalkeeper Guglielmo Vicario and confident of striking a deal for £20m. Full back Pedro Porro is another moving into the final two years of his contract and sure to attract interest.

”They would love to build a team for the future around Archie Gray and Lucas Bergvall, both 20, and Luka Vuskovic, 19.

”But Liverpool and Bayern Munich have eyes on Gray. Chelsea and Aston Villa on Bergvall. Barcelona and Bayern admire Vuskovic who is not keen to return to Spurs after a successful loan at Hamburg.”

Chelsea lead race for Scott

Chelsea are keen on a move for Bournemouth’s Alex Scott this summer, according to The Independent.

Scott scored the winning goal at Premier League leaders Arsenal last weekend as his impressive campaign continued.

The midfielder is also reportedly wanted by other clubs.

"Chelsea have accelerated interest in Bournemouth's Alex Scott, ahead of what may be an auction for the midfielder in the summer," reports The Independent.

"The 22-year-old has been one of the break-out stars of the season, even earning an England call-up in November. That has only escalated interest from the wealthiest clubs in the division, with Chelsea so far understood to have shown among the firmest interest.

"Bournemouth would want well over £50m, given how Scott signed from Bristol City for around £25m in the summer of 2023. There is the potential for that fee to be much higher depending on how many clubs move.

"Chelsea are keen on Scott, especially amid anticipated changes in their midfield in the summer."

Caicedo set for new Chelsea contract

Chelsea are set to receive a boost with Moises Caicedo on the verge of signing a new contract.

It has been a tough month for the Blues with head coach Liam Rosenior overseeing three straight Premier League losses and an exit from the UEFA Champions League.

However, Caicedo pledging his future to the club would be a huge lift for the London side.

"Moises Caicedo is poised to hand Chelsea a significant boost by signing a new contract and reaffirming his commitment to the club," writes The Telegraph.

"Telegraph Sport understands that Caicedo has agreed the terms of a new deal, which will extend his commitment and recognise his performances with a pay rise, with Chelsea preparing an official announcement.

"Caicedo has recently changed representation to the Base agency, which also looks after Cole Palmer, and he becomes the second star Chelsea player to agree a new contract in the past month after captain Reece James."

- - -

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Manchester United involved in Andoni Iraola tug-of-war, Tottenham set for 'radical overhaul' - Paper Round

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Tottenham Hotspur central defender and captain Cristian Romero has been linked with a move to Real Madrid and he is just one of five players who could leave the north London club this summer.

Guglielmo Vicario, Destiny Udogie, Yves Bissouma and Joao Palhinha may all depart at the end of the campaign too, alongside the injured Romero.

The Sun reports: ”Cristian Romero is one of five Tottenham players who are set to be let go this summer as the club plans a radical overhaul of the squad.

”Romero is the biggest name on a five-player exodus list the club have drawn up.

”Guglielmo Vicario, Destiny Udogie and Yves Bissouma have been tipped to be sold this summer to make way for fresh faces and hopefully some renewed vigour on the pitch under Roberto De Zerbi.

”There is also no guarantee of Spurs triggering a permanent move for Joao Palhinha when his loan from Bayern Munich ends.”

Palace make Iraola offer

Manchester United could miss out on Andoni Iraola, with Crystal Palace moving quickly to make the departing Bournemouth head coach an offer.

Reports in Spain suggest that Palace have already been in contract with the 49-year-old, who could also be wanted by Athletic Club.

The Mirror explains: ”Crystal Palace have tabled an offer to Andoni Iraola just 24 hours after he announced he will leave Bournemouth once the season comes to an end.

”The Spaniard has chosen not to extend his contract, which will bring an end to his three-year stay at the Vitality Stadium. Iraola has been linked with the likes of Manchester United, but they themselves are unsure what they're doing with their managerial situation.

”As a result the Eagles have come to the negotiating table as they know Oliver Glasner will also be departing this summer. Marca claims that they put a multi-million pound offer to Iraola and promised him to invest annually in their squad. The Bournemouth boss is understood to be considering the role.”

Bournemouth in talks for Rose

Bournemouth are in talks with former RB Leipzig and Borussia Dortmund boss Marco Rose, according to the Daily Mail.

The South Coast side are already on the hunt to find a replacement for Iraola, who will leave the club in the summer.

The paper states: ”Bournemouth have stepped up their talks with Marco Rose to replace Andoni Iraola as their next head coach.

”The 49-year-old Rose has been out of work since being sacked by RB Leipzig a year ago but is eager to take up the challenge of coaching in the Premier League.

”He was considered by Tottenham prior to them appointing Igor Tudor and has previously managed in the Champions League while with Borussia Dortmund, where he coached the likes of Erling Haaland and Jude Bellingham.

”Bournemouth have considered the merits of assistant Tommy Elphick and Ipswich’s Kieran McKenna and, while the latter has a buyout clause, his immediate focus is to lead his club back into the Premier League.”

Barca look at Rashford alternatives

Marcus Rashford may miss out on his desire to remain with Barcelona beyond his season-long loan.

The Manchester Evening News reports that despite a £26 million buy clause, Barca are now looking at Benfica’s Andreas Schjelderup.

The paper writes: ”Marcus Rashford's dream to win the Champions League with Barcelona is on hold after they crashed out in the quarter-finals.

”With the disappointing exit on Tuesday, Rashford will have to put his European ambitions on hold for the time being. While he is slated to return to Manchester in the summer, there is a strong possibility he could rejoin Barcelona permanently if both clubs agree to a deal.

”Barcelona had an option to make Rashford's switch permanent for a fee of €30 million (£26m), although this clause has reportedly now expired. Barca are also looking at other options, including Benfica's Andreas Schjelderup.”

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