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Supercomputer predicts Tottenham relegation odds compared to rivals, including a 0.06% contender

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Tottenham Hotspur head into a crucial stage of the season with the relegation picture beginning to take shape, and the latest projections offer a revealing glimpse into how the battle could unfold.

The focus now for Roberto De Zerbi, while in the Tottenham Hotspur dugout, is to avoid relegation from the Premier League this season.

Spurs have been the worst side in the English top flight since the turn of the year but have somehow managed to stay above the relegation places, with one point the difference between themselves and 18th-placed West Ham United.

However, with the Premier League run-in approaching, the pressure is on for Spurs to improve their form, as failure to do so could well see them relegated from the top flight.

Tottenham relegation odds revealed as Crystal Palace and rivals assessed

Next up for Tottenham is Roberto De Zerbi’s first game in charge at the Stadium of Light, where his side is set to take on Sunderland.

But before the gameweek kicks off, we have taken the time to look at the relegation odds of all of Spurs’ rivals, from Crystal Palace to West Ham United.

According to Opta’s AI, the team least likely to be relegated, despite it still being mathematically possible, is Crystal Palace.

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The Eagles are currently on 39 points and are ten points clear of the relegation zone with seven games to spare. As such, Oliver Glasner’s side has been handed a 0.06% chance of relegation.

Spurs and rivals face tense run-in as relegation battle tightens

Right below them sit Leeds United, who are far from safe with just four points separating them from West Ham in 18th.

Defeat at the hands of Manchester United and a win for the Hammers could see that gap cut to one point this gameweek, while, should Tottenham win, they could move above Daniel Farke’s men.

Despite that, the supercomputer has handed the newly promoted side a 6.52% chance of going down.

Nottingham Forest, in 16th place and just three points clear of the relegation places, have been given an 8.71% chance of relegation this season.

Spurs could also leapfrog Forest with a victory this gameweek, when Vitor Pereira’s men face Aston Villa, that is, if the Tricky Trees fall to a defeat.

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Tottenham discover James Trafford price tag: Aston Villa also want Man City keeper

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Tottenham Hotspur will have to pay a considerable fee to land their top goalkeeping target James Trafford this summer.

Guglielmo Vicario is expected to return to Serie A this summer, and it has been widely reported over recent weeks that Tottenham have identified Trafford as the man to replace the Italian goalkeeper.

The 23-year-old made a £27m switch from Burnley to Manchester City last summer but has been struggling for starts at the Etihad this term, having served as Gianluigi Donnarumma’s understudy.

The Lilywhites have now discovered that they need to pay considerably more than what City paid for him last summer to land the England international.

James Trafford’s asking price revealed as Tottenham show interest

The Daily Mail have now become the latest outlet to confirm that Trafford is Spurs’ preferred choice to take over the gloves from Vicario this summer

The outlet backs up what we have heard from other sources by stating that Spurs face competition from Aston Villa for the City man, with the Villans said to hold ‘long-standing interest’ in the goalkeeper.

The report reveals Trafford is also attracting interest from abroad, but Pep Guardiola’s men have no intention of letting their number two leave on the cheap.

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It is suggested that an offer of around £35m-£40m is needed to prise Trafford away from the Manchester club this summer.

What is Trafford’s stance on his future?

It has been widely reported over recent weeks that Newcastle United may are also challenge Spurs for the 23-year-old this summer.

It was claimed a couple of days ago by TEAMtalk that Trafford is willing to swap City for Tottenham if Spurs offer guarantees of being their number one.

In fact, the outlet claimed that the goalkeeper may be willing to sign for the Lilywhites even if they get relegated, but that appears unlikely at the moment, given that other Premier League clubs are also showing interest in the former Burnley star.

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Supercomputer predicts whether Tottenham, West Ham, and Forest will win this weekend in Premier League relegation race

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A supercomputer has now predicted the likelihood of Tottenham Hotspur’s relegation rivals securing victories this gameweek in the Premier League.

Tottenham Hotspur will now continue their fight to avoid relegation this weekend, with Premier League football returning after a three-week break.

A lot has happened since Spurs last took to the field in the league, where they suffered a disappointing 3-0 loss to Nottingham Forest in their relegation six-pointer.

Then-manager Igor Tudor has since departed from the Tottenham dugout, with Roberto De Zerbi now first-team coach after replacing the Croat and signing a five-year deal.

De Zerbi is now focused on helping Tottenham beat the drop to the Championship, with seven games to play this season.

Tottenham relegation rivals win probabilities revealed ahead of Sunderland clash

Matchweek 32 presents Spurs with a golden opportunity in their fight to stay in the Premier League this season. Should the Lilywhites defeat Sunderland and results elsewhere go their way, Tottenham could well finish the gameweek in 15th place.

However, should Spurs lose their own match and West Ham United beat Wolverhampton Wanderers, Tottenham will finish the week in the relegation zone for the first time this campaign.

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Opta’s AI has now predicted how likely it is for Tottenham’s relegation rivals to secure wins this week.

West Ham, who face Wolves, have been handed a 50.4% chance of walking away with all three points at the London Stadium on Friday night.

Should that happen, Spurs will find themselves in 18th place before kicking a ball this weekend.

Spurs must capitalise as Forest and Leeds face tough fixtures

As for Tottenham’s other relegation rivals, Nottingham Forest and Leeds United, they are up against much fiercer opposition. Forest face fourth-placed Aston Villa, while Leeds are set to take on third-placed Manchester United.

The supercomputer has also crunched the numbers for those encounters, handing Forest a 31.7% chance of victory on Sunday, while Leeds have been given an 18.8% chance of beating Manchester United.

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Sunderland vs Tottenham Premier League preview, team news and predicted lineups

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Relegation-threatened Tottenham Hotspur travel to Sunderland on Sunday as Roberto De Zerbi takes charge of his first game as Spurs boss.

We enter April, the fourth month of the calendar year, and Tottenham Hotspur are still winless in the Premier League since the turn of the year. That run, of course, includes the recently concluded two-week international break and for Spurs, it has brought yet another managerial change.

After managing just 1 draw in 5 matches and losing the other four, the club decided to mutually part ways with interim boss Igor Tudor barely a month into his tenure.

There were not many low-risk options available who could realistically steer Spurs clear of relegation, which makes the appointment of Roberto De Zerbi a bold but understandable call. Given the circumstances, sitting 17th and just one point above the drop, Tottenham could not afford to gamble blindly, and De Zerbi at least brings a clear identity.

Their last outing only deepened the concern, fumbling a relegation six-pointer in a 0-3 defeat to Nottingham Forest despite a cracking atmosphere at the Tottenham Hotspur Stadium.

Sunderland, meanwhile, have cooled off after a bright start to life back in the Premier League. Once flirting with European ambitions, they now find themselves down in 11th. Form has dipped, with just 2 wins in their last 7 league games, although one of those was a late 2-1 derby win over Newcastle in their most recent match.

What time does Sunderland vs Tottenham kick off?

Location: Sunderland, England

Stadium: Stadium of Light

Date: Sunday, 12th April 2026

Kick off Time: 2 pm BST

Referee: Rob Jones

VAR: James Bell

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Sunderland vs Tottenham: head to head record

The reverse fixture ended in a frustrating 1-1 draw for Spurs. Ben Davies had given Tottenham the lead in the first half, and they looked the better side for large parts, only to be denied late on by a Brian Brobbey equaliser.

That said, Tottenham remain unbeaten against Sunderland since 2010. While that run includes Sunderland’s years outside the Premier League, it still stretches across 15 top-flight meetings; a record Spurs will be keen to maintain. (BBC)

Tottenham team news

This international break was supposed to bring a wave of positive injury updates for Tottenham, with Mohammed Kudus, Dejan Kulusevski and Rodrigo Bentancur all nearing returns. However, things have not quite gone to plan.

Kudus, arguably Spurs’ most important player earlier in the season, has suffered a setback in his recovery from a quad injury. Despite returning to training, the club have confirmed he is now expected to be out for a few more months.

Kulusevski and Wilson Odobert are not expected to feature again this season, while James Maddison could yet play a role in the final few games. Guglielmo Vicario is also sidelined after undergoing hernia surgery following the defeat to Nottingham Forest.

Bentancur and Yves Bissouma remain doubts, with De Zerbi expected to provide clarity closer to kick off.

Sunderland team news

Sunderland will be without first choice goalkeeper Robin Roefs, along with Nilson Angulo, Jocelin Ta Bi, Bertrand Traore and Romaine Mundle. Daniel Ballard is also a doubt heading into this one.

Predicted lineups

Tottenham: Kinsky, Porro, Romero, Van de Ven, Udogie, Gray, Sarr, Simons, Tel, Richarlison, Solanke

Sunderland: Ellborg, Geertruida, O’nien, Alderete, Hume, Xhaka, Sadiki, Diarra, Rigg, Talbi, Brobbey

Our prediction

For a Tottenham side completely drained of confidence, the arrival of Roberto De Zerbi might just be the reset button they needed.

He has had around a week on the training ground, not a lot, but enough to begin planting his ideas. Early reports suggest the players have responded well, and that alone could lift the mood heading into this one.

From a stylistic point of view, De Zerbi ball will feel familiar to Spurs fans, aggressive in possession, brave in build up and with a defensive line that sits extremely high. You could call it a version 2.0 of what fans saw under Ange Postecoglou and it is the kind of football this fanbase naturally gravitates towards.

But right now, style takes a back seat. Results are everything.

A key focus will be the Romero-Van de Ven partnership. Neither has hit the levels expected this season, but De Zerbi’s system could suit them. It demands proactive defending and confidence on the ball, both traits they showed at their peak. Against a Sunderland side that has struggled for goals in recent weeks, this could be the perfect opportunity to reset.

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Huge Andy Robertson statement could pave the way for free Tottenham transfer

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Huge Andy Robertson statement could pave the way for free Tottenham transfer - Spurs Web
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Tottenham Hotspur could revisit a familiar transfer opportunity this summer, as Andy Robertson makes a big decision on the next step of his career.

It is no secret that Tottenham Hotspur were in the race to sign Andy Robertson during the winter transfer window.

At the time, the Liverpool full-back was set to be available at a bargain fee, and Spurs were keen to land him as they looked to bolster their full-back depth following injuries to Ben Davies and Destiny Udogie.

However, Liverpool prevented Robertson’s move as they too were short at the back. The Reds failed to recall Kostas Tsimikas, and as such, Robertson was forced to remain on Merseyside.

Tottenham on alert as Andy Robertson confirms Liverpool exit on free transfer

While Liverpool could have earned a modest fee from a sale for the full-back in January, following his bargain £8.5 million move from Hull City in 2017, they are now set to let him go for free.

Robertson’s contract will expire this summer, and the Liverpool full-back has now confirmed that he will not be extending his stay any further, bringing an end to a near-decade stay at Anfield.

With his departure now confirmed, Spurs will no doubt be on alert heading into the summer transfer window, having previously shown interest in the full-back in January.

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In a statement addressing his exit, Robertson reflected on his time at the club and his decision to move on.

He said: “It is never easy leaving a club like Liverpool. It has been a huge part of mine and my family’s life for the last nine years, but I know football moves on. I know teams move on and now is the time for me to move on.

“I will always look back on amazing memories at this football club. I have put my heart and soul into the club and, when I got my chance, I just wanted to make the people within this club and the supporters proud of the left-back they are seeing performing week in, week out.

“I know my journey is coming to an end. It has been an incredible journey, but I will not let up. This club means everything to me, the fans mean everything to me, the people connected with the club mean everything to me and I think I owe it to them that, until my very last day, I will give everything to the football club, which I have done for the last nine years and I am very proud of that.

“The nine years I will look back on with a big smile on my face and, yes, it has been a hell of a journey.”

It remains to be seen whether Tottenham and Roberto De Zerbi make a move for Robertson this summer, but they will have competition if they do enter the race.

Spurs face competition for Andy Robertson despite free transfer opportunity

Robertson has managed 15 starts for Liverpool this season and aims to play as much football as he can before bringing his career to an end.

To that effect, he will have to consider his options carefully before deciding on his next move, as several clubs across Europe showed interest back in January.

Alongside Tottenham are Atletico Madrid, Napoli and Juventus, who will be alerted by his availability on a free transfer.

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Tottenham reveal what really happened to Mohammed Kudus in official injury statement

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Tottenham reveal what really happened to Mohammed Kudus in official injury statement - Spurs Web
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Tottenham Hotspur have been dealt another frustrating injury blow just as optimism was beginning to build ahead of Mohammed Kudus’ return.

Tottenham Hotspur will have been hoping to see their injury list ease ahead of this weekend’s clash with Sunderland, with as many as nine players currently doubts.

There had been hope that Mohammed Kudus would be the next to return after Igor Tudor confirmed a few weeks ago that the Ghana international was targeting a comeback following the international break.

Kudus had recently returned and was spotted in training earlier this week, before reports from outside the club claimed he had endured a setback ahead of the Sunderland clash that could even require surgery.

Tottenham confirm Mohammed Kudus injury setback ahead of Sunderland clash

The official Tottenham channels have now confirmed Kudus’ latest setback ahead of this weekend’s clash. In a post on X, the club issued an update on his condition, confirming the nature of the injury and the next steps.

The statement read: “We can confirm that Mohammed Kudus has suffered a setback in his return from injury.

“The Ghana international forward suffered a significant quad injury during our Premier League fixture against Sunderland in January.

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“He had returned to team training during the past week, however will now require further specialist review and, potentially, surgery. We will provide any relevant further updates in due course. We are all with you, Mo.”

Spurs face a setback as Kudus is set to miss the rest of the season

Tottenham remain locked in a relegation battle and would have been hoping to welcome Kudus back for the run-in.

The Ghana international has been one of the creative hubs of this Spurs side, and his absence has coincided with a noticeable dip in form.

Spurs supporters have since voiced their frustrations following Kudus’ latest setback, with many fearing his absence could prove decisive in the club’s fight for survival.

There is now a strong possibility the right winger may not feature again this season, with reports also suggesting he is a doubt for this summer’s World Cup.

In fact, Kudus could already have played his final game of the campaign, with surgery still a possibility.

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Tottenham receive good news and bad news as Mile Svilar is available for £43.5m

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Tottenham Hotspur are fans of a Serie A shot-stopper, and the North Londoners have been handed a boost in their pursuit of the goalkeeper.

It has been widely reported that Inter Milan are plotting a £16m move for Guglielmo Vicario this summer, and the Nerazzurri have already taken steps towards a deal.

It has been claimed that Vicario’s talks with Inter have been positive, and one source has even suggested that the Tottenham number one has already agreed to join the Serie A club.

Spurs could turn to Italian football to seek a replacement for the Azzuri star, and they have now received some good news regarding the pursuit of an experienced goalkeeper.

Mile Svilar could be on the shop window amidst Tottenham interest

Over recent months, it has emerged that the Spurs are plotting a move for Roma’s experienced goalkeeper Mile Svilar.

The 26-year-old, who has been solid between the sticks for the Giallarossi over the past few years, is expected to be on the move, according to SiamoLaRoma.

The report says that the Roma hierarchy is plotting a major rebuild of the squad in the summer, and if they miss out on Champions League qualification, they would have to cash in on some of their stars to fund their transfer pursuits.

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Svilar is one of the players that the Serie A club are willing to sacrifice, and it is suggested that Roma may sell the rumoured Tottenham target for €50m (£43.5m) as the fee would represent a ‘net capital gain’ for the club.

Two Premier League rivals could battle Spurs for Svilar

SiamoLaRoma also provide some bad news for the Lilywhites, revealing that the Roma star is also on the radar of other Premier League sides.

The report claims that Chelsea and Newcastle have now both expressed an interest in signing Svilar, which could complicate matters for Tottenham.

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‘I want in-form Eredivisie star to join Tottenham after 18-goal season’, says Khalid Boulahrouz

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A former Netherlands international has admitted that he wants to see one of the Eredivisie’s most in-form attackers move to Tottenham Hotspur this summer.

Tottenham have struggled to create chances for much of the season, and they have not been helped by the fact that James Maddison and Dejan Kulusevski have been out the whole campaign.

That is something that Spurs fans will be hoping Roberto De Zerbi solves, with the Italian coach making no secret of the fact that he favours a possession-based, attacking approach.

While the 46-year-old will believe he can improve some of the players in the Tottenham squad, he will also want further reinforcements to arrive in the summer, and a Dutch pundit believes that a Moroccan international may be the perfect solution for Spurs.

Tottenham told Ismael Saibari can add something extra to their attack

Former Chelsea defender Khalid Boulahrouz believes that Tottenham may be the perfect next step for PSV Eindhoven’s Ismael Saibari, who is having an unbelievable campaign.

The attacking midfielder, who can also lead the line or play out wide, has scored 18 goals across all competitions this season, including three in the Champions League, to go with his nine assists in 35 outings.

Boulahrouz believes that the Moroccan international will improve Tottenham and can be an ‘important’ player for the Lilywhites.

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When asked if Saibari is ready for his next step, the pundit told Voetbal Primeur (as relayed by Sport Witness): “A number of players might want to make a move, but perhaps nothing comes along that makes you think I’m going to trade PSV for that.

“When I look at Saibari: he has definitely played out the Eredivisie. If you look at his statistics and his style of play: that is good enough to make a transfer. He is a Moroccan international, has an Africa Cup behind him, and is going to play in a World Cup. Assuming he is a starter and plays two matches well, you are simply gone. Then you have to push through.

“I am just curious what kind of club will come along. He needs to go to an attacking team, where he can come into his own. A nice club: they are not in a good position at all, but he can add something extra to Tottenham Hotspur. I would go to a club where he can be important.”

Do Spurs need to spend big on another attacking midfielder?

Although Xavi Simons may not have lived up to expectations in his first season in the Premier League, the Dutchman is undeniably extremely talented and could be the kind of player who thrives under Roberto De Zerbi.

Additionally, James Maddison is now stepping up his recovery from an ACL injury and looks like he will be ready to go at the start of pre-season.

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Tottenham battle Aston Villa and Newcastle for £30m Pascal Struijk, Leeds star seems open to a move

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Tottenham Hotspur are one of three clubs attempting to swoop for a veteran Premier League defender who has already signalled his transfer intentions.

With Cristian Romero and Micky van de Ven continuing to be heavily linked with a move away from Tottenham, Roberto De Zerbi may be forced to make major reinforcements to the club’s backline ahead of his first full season at N17.

Spurs fans will be hoping that Luka Vuskovic is ready to make the step up, but the jury remains out on how quickly the Croat would adapt to Premier League football.

That may be why the Lilywhites are now stepping up their pursuit of a Dutch defender, who has proven his chops in the English top-flight.

Tottenham battling two Premier League clubs for Pascal Struijk

According to reports, Leeds defender Pascal Struijk has emerged as a target for Tottenham ahead of the summer, as the Lilywhites look to add some experience to their backline.

A new report in Football Insider has now confirmed that Spurs are eyeing a move for the Leeds man, but it is revealed that two other Premier League clubs are also circling over the defender.

Tottenham have been joined in the race for the defender’s signature by Aston Villa and Newcastle United, who have also identified Struijk as a potential option to bolster their backline.

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However, the outlet adds that Leeds are prepared to do ‘everything in their power’ to keep the centre-back and are confident of doing so if they stay in the Premier League.

If Daniel Farke’s side do get relegated, they may be ‘susceptible to offers’ for the former Ajax man.

What Struijk has said about the possibility of a transfer

The defender will enter the final year of his contract this June, and some sources have suggested that Leeds would be ready to sell the Spurs target for £30m this summer.

The 26-year-old was linked with a move away from Elland Road in the winter, and he admitted at the time that he wanted out of the club.

Struijk told ESPN NL back in January: “I had some options to leave, but that didn’t happen. That had to do with multiple parties. From my side, there was something I really wanted to do.

“But the three parties: me, the club, and the other club, would all ultimately have to come to an agreement. If that doesn’t happen, then I simply have a contract and I do my job.”

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Tottenham must act fast for £9m Ian Subiabre bargain: Big six clubs circle River Plate star

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Tottenham Hotspur are pressing forward with an attempt to sign an exciting Argentine winger, but they have no time to waste in the race.

If Roberto De Zerbi does manage to keep Tottenham up this season, one would expect the Italian to prioritise strengthening the club’s attack ahead of his first full season in charge.

Spurs have lacked quality in the final third all season and have not been helped by their injury situation.

The Lilywhites have set their sights on a South American teenager, but they have now discovered that a deal for the player will not be straightforward this summer.

Tottenham have to beat four Premier League giants to land Ian Subiabre

River Plate starlet Ian Subiabre is thought to be on Tottenham’s radar, and the speculation linking the winger with a move to N17 has intensified over recent days.

It was claimed by El Intransigente earlier this week that Spurs are ready to accelerate their move for Subiabre, with the Lilywhites’ advances causing some panic at River Plate.

However, Goal.com revealed back last summer that plenty of Premier League clubs are plotting a move for the 19-year-old.

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The outlet claimed that Chelsea had ‘made the first move’ to hold a meeting with the winger’s agent regarding a move to Stamford Bridge.

Additionally, Manchester United, Liverpool and Arsenal all expressed ‘strong interest’ in the youngster last summer.

That means that Tottenham may not have much time to waste if they want to win the race for the South American starlet. It appears a fair few Big Six rivals have had a jump start on the Lilywhites after making contact almost a year ago.

How much is Subiabre expected to cost?

According to reports from Argentina, although Subiabre has a €100m (£87.2m) release clause in his deal, he could be available for around €10-€15m (£8.7m-£13.1m).

However, the summer report from Goal suggested that although the River Plate man is still waiting for his international debut, he is on Lionel Scaloni’s radar.

The youngster has already been called up to train with the senior Argentina squad by Scaloni.

Tottenham and Subiabre’s other suitors may thus be wary of the winger’s value going up if he is potentially picked for the World Cup squad and impresses in North America for the world champions this summer.

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