Opta Analyst

We look ahead to Monday’s Premier League game at the Tottenham Hotspur Stadium with our Tottenham vs Nottingham Forest prediction and preview. Can Nuno Espírito Santo get their Champions League push back on track?

Tottenham vs Nottingham Forest Stats: The Key Insights

Tottenham Hotspur are slight favourites to come out on top on Monday, with the Opta supercomputer giving them a 38.9% chance of winning.

Since 23 November, only the bottom three have earned fewer points than Spurs’ 18.

Nottingham Forest have lost just two of their last 35 league games played on Easter Monday (W21 D12).

Nottingham Forest’s spot in the Premier League top five is coming under threat, and they travel to Tottenham Hotspur on Monday looking to reignite their Champions League push.

Nuno Espírito Santo’s side had started to close on second-place Arsenal last month, but after losing their last two matches, have slipped out of third place as the European race heats up.

However, only once before under Nuno have they suffered three consecutive defeats, doing so in February and March last season, and he will be determined not to lose at his former employer on Monday.

Forest have suffered on the road of late, though, having lost four of their last five Premier League away games (W1), after losing just two of their first 11 such games this season (W7 D2).

Their main aim will be to give themselves a solid base by shoring up their defence again. Forest have conceded just 38 goals so far, with only the top two (Liverpool – 31, Arsenal – 27) letting in fewer.

Perhaps the Easter period will help turn the tide. The Tricky Trees have only lost two of their last 35 league games played on Easter Monday (W21 D12).

And in the top-flight, their record is even better. They’re unbeaten in 16 (W13 D3) since a 1-0 loss at Chelsea in 1966.

It is not, however, a day that brings joy to Spurs. They have lost their last two Premier League games played on Easter Monday, with both of those defeats coming at home (2-1 v Manchester United in 2006 and 2-1 v Norwich City in 2012).

Ange Postecoglou’s side received a much-needed boost in midweek, though, sealing their place in the Europa League semi-finals after a 1-0 win over Eintracht Frankfurt in the second leg and easing some of the pressure on their manager.

A 4-2 defeat to Wolves last weekend piled more misery on Spurs in the Premier League, though, and if results don’t go their way this weekend, they could be sitting as low as 17th in the table by kick-off.

Since their 4-0 hammering of Manchester City at the Etihad Stadium in November, only Ipswich Town (13), Leicester City (8) and Southampton (6) have picked up fewer points than Spurs (18), who have lost 12 out of 20 games after beating the reigning champions (W5 D3).

Their 17 defeats this season are also the most they have suffered in a league campaign since 2003-04 (19, finishing 14th). They have also lost 16 of their last 20 Premier League matches against teams starting the day in the top half of the table (W3 D1).

Tottenham vs Nottingham Forest Head-to-Head

Tottenham have won each of their last three home league games against Forest, having won just one of the previous 11 against them prior (D2 L8).

Forest’s 1-0 win in the reverse fixture ended a six-game losing streak against Spurs in the Premier League. They last did the league double over Tottenham in the 1996-97 campaign.

Tottenham vs Nottingham Forest Prediction

There isn’t much between the sides for this one, with the Opta supercomputer just giving Spurs the edge at 38.9%.

Forest’s chances of victory sit at 36.3%, so a draw could be the most likely result, with the probability of that 24.9%.

Tottenham vs Nottingham Forest Predicted Lineups

Opta Power Rankings

The Opta Power Rankings are a global team ranking system. They assign an ability score to over 13,000 domestic football teams. This score is on a scale between zero and 100, where zero is the worst-ranked team in the world and 100 is the best team in the world.

Ahead of kick-off on Monday, here is the Opta Power Ranking for both sides.

Can Tottenham reach just the fourth European semi-final in their history? We look ahead to Thursday’s UEFA Europa League quarter-final second leg at Deutsche Bank Park with our Eintracht Frankfurt vs Tottenham prediction and preview.

Eintracht Frankfurt vs Tottenham Stats: The Key Insights

Eintracht Frankfurt have the edge according to the Opta supercomputer, which gives them a 40.6% chance of victory.

Tottenham have lost six of their previous seven away games in knockout ties against German opposition.

Spurs have only kept one clean sheet in their previous 19 matches on the road in the UEFA Europa League.

It’s safe to say Eintracht Frankfurt and Tottenham Hotspur had contrasting domestic matches after they drew 1-1 in London last week.

The German side enjoyed a 3-0 home win over Heidenheim, which kept them third in the Bundesliga table. Whereas Spurs delivered an error-strewn performance at Molineux on Sunday, losing 4-2 to a Wolves side who remain one of just five clubs below them in the Premier League.

Tottenham will need to be much better to win this tie. History is very much against them, though, and in more ways than one.

Spurs have lost six of their last seven knockout stage games away to German opponents in Europe (winning the other), failing to score in four of the last five. The most recent instance saw them suffer a 3-0 loss to RB Leipzig as part of a 4-0 aggregate defeat in the last 16 of the UEFA Champions League in 2019-20.

Tottenham have also only kept one clean sheet in their 19 most recent away matches in the UEFA Europa League. That came in a 1-0 win over Qarabag in November 2015. Ange Postecoglou can at least point to a result that suggests these nuggets may not matter, as his men won 3-2 at Hoffenheim in the league phase of this competition in January.

But Hoffenheim haven’t been at anything like the standard of Eintracht Frankfurt this season. Tottenham’s opponents this time around have a much stronger attack, which will likely maintain Spurs’ issues with recording clean sheets in the Europa League.

Eintracht have averaged over two goals per home match in this competition over the years, scoring 55 times in 27 matches. Their key man at Deutsche Bank Park in Europe this term has been Hugo Ekitiké, who leads their standings for Europa League goals and assists at home with three and two respectively.

The 22-year-old Frenchman scored and set up a goal at the weekend after opening the scoring in the 1-1 draw at the Tottenham Hotspur Stadium last Thursday. Only two strikers have been involved in more goals in a Europa League campaign for the club, so Ekitiké is unquestionably the man for Tottenham to be most worried about.

Their own talisman might set a club record here, though. If Son Heung-Min appears in this game he will overtake Harry Kane to become Tottenham’s all-time leading appearance maker in major European competition, with 68 games played.

Son is only averaging a goal every 217 minutes in the UEFA Europa League this term, however, which is his worst ratio in an edition where he’s made more than two appearances.

It’s also not guaranteed he will start this match, as he missed the defeat at Wolves as a precautionary measure following a minor foot injury. Son aside, Kevin Danso may be able to return here, with Radu Dragusin remaining Postecoglou’s only long-term absentee at present.

Frankfurt potentially have a few more injury problems than their visitors here. Aurèle Amenda will miss the game, while Junior Dina Ebimbe and Ansgar Knauff look to be touch and go in terms of their potential involvement. Some good news for manager Dino Toppmöller is that Kevin Trapp looks set to return in goal.

With the tie level and home advantage on their side, Eintracht Frankfurt will feel positive about their chances of reaching a third Europa League semi-final, having previously done so in 2018-19 and 2021-22, ultimately lifting the trophy in the latter campaign. The only team to have qualified for more than three semi-finals in the competition ahead of this season are Sevilla, who have done so five times.

Tottenham have progressed from just one of their previous 10 knockout ties in European competition after failing to win the first leg at home. In fairness, it was one of the most famous nights in the history of the club, as they progressed past Ajax to reach the Champions League final in 2018-19.

It may take a performance of similarly heroic proportions for Spurs to reach their first European semi-final since then, just the fourth in their history.

Eintracht Frankfurt vs Tottenham Head-to-Head

The last meeting of these teams in Germany ended all square. However, that 0-0 draw occurred in the group stage of the 2022-23 UEFA Champions League, so it was not as important as this knockout clash.

Eintracht’s only prior victory over Tottenham occurred in the preceding instance of them playing in Germany. As it was way back in 1982, it’s only of use as an omen for the Bundesliga club rather than being relevant to the present-day sides.

With Spurs having two wins and a draw from their three meetings in the last three seasons, the balance of power in the recent head-to-head lies with them.

Eintracht Frankfurt vs Tottenham Prediction

The Opta supercomputer is siding with Eintracht Frankfurt. A home win was the outcome from 40.6% of its 10,000 simulations of the match.

As you would guess from that percentage, the margin is not huge though. Tottenham’s hopes of a win in 90 minutes are rated as a 32.8% possibility.

Should the 26.6% likelihood of a draw come to pass, we will be heading to extra-time and possibly penalties.

Taking all eventualities into consideration, the supercomputer gives Eintracht a 53.9% likelihood of reaching the semi-finals, therefore putting Spurs’ chances at 46.1%.

Eintracht Frankfurt vs Tottenham Predicted Lineups

Opta Power Rankings

The Opta Power Rankings are a global team ranking system. They assign an ability score to over 13,000 domestic football teams. This score is on a scale between zero and 100, where zero is the worst-ranked team in the world and 100 is the best team in the world.

Ahead of kick-off on Thursday, here is the Opta Power Ranking for both sides.

Can Spurs win a first trophy since 2008? We look ahead to Thursday’s UEFA Europa League game at the Tottenham Hotspur Stadium with our Tottenham Hotspur vs Eintracht Frankfurt prediction and preview.

Tottenham Hotspur vs Eintracht Frankfurt Stats: The Key Insights

The Opta supercomputer gives Tottenham Hotspur a 52.3% chance of winning the first leg of the tie.

Spurs have won both of their previous home games against Eintracht Frankfurt.

Tottenham are third favourites to win the UEFA Europa League according to the supercomputer.

Is it a case of UEFA Europa League glory or bust for Ange Postecoglou? With his Tottenham Hotspur side unlikely to even secure a top-half finish in the Premier League, never mind qualify for Europe, winning this competition is the Australian’s best chance of retaining his job into 2025-26.

The first hurdle to conquer is the visit of Eintracht Frankfurt. With six games to go they sit third in the Bundesliga, so are having a much better domestic season than the team they will face on Thursday evening.

Eintracht are also in red-hot form in this competition. They have lost just two of their last 23 matches in the Europa League (W14 D7), a run that includes lifting the trophy in 2021-22, and they have won seven games this season.

In only one major European campaign have they won more times, winning nine games in 2018-19. It’s an impressive record, but hidden within it are reasons for optimism for Tottenham fans.

The visitors lost two of their away games in the league phase of the Europa League this season. One was something of a dead rubber on the final matchday (2-0 at Roma), but they were also beaten 3-2 at Lyon. Omar Marmoush was one of their scorers that day, but the Egyptian has since left the club for Manchester City.

Manager Dino Toppmöller can still call upon Hugo Ekitiké, though. He has been involved in six goals in 10 Europa League appearances this season (three goals, three assists), scoring and assisting in the second leg of the last-16 tie against Ajax. While he hasn’t scored in any of his five away games in this competition, Ekitiké is Frankfurt’s top Bundesliga scorer on the road now that Marmoush has left.

It’s just as well that the 22-year-old will be available as Toppmöller has several injury issues affecting his plans for this game. Goalkeeper Kevin Trapp and attacking midfielder Can Uzun may be able to return, but up to eight players are doubtful at best.

Tottenham’s injury woes have eased considerably since they were at their worst earlier in the campaign. The main miss will be Dejan Kulusevski, who has three goal contributions in the 2024-25 Europa League, with both of his assists occurring at home. Centre-backs Kevin Danso and Radu Dragusin will also miss the visit of Frankfurt.

Spurs’ most creative player in Europe this season is available, though. Dominic Solanke has been involved in six goals in just 361 minutes of Europa League action this season (two goals, four assists). The only Englishman with more assists in a Europa League campaign is Bukayo Saka in 2019-20 (five), so perhaps Solanke can claim a niche record for his side of north London.

Postecoglou has also shown faith with the younger members of his squad in this competition. That was partly due to rotating the side in the league phase, but their collective numbers make for impressive reading nonetheless.

Players under the age of 21 have been involved in 10 Europa League goals for Spurs this term (six goals, four assists). Similar to Solanke versus Saka, the last side with more was Arsenal in 2020-21. They benefitted from 14 goal contributions from their youngsters.

No matter the age of the players involved, it is the Bundesliga club who have had better European experience of late. This is their third quarter-final in this competition, and despite failing to win the first leg in the previous two (losing 4-2 to Benfica in 2018-19 before drawing 1-1 with Barcelona in 2021-22), they ultimately progressed both times.

Tottenham, by contrast, are in their first major European quarter-final since the 2018-19 UEFA Champions League. They’ve only won one of their last 13 quarter-final matches (D6 L6) too.

A repeat of their sole victory in that spell, a 1-0 home win over Man City in April 2019, would be very welcome here before the return leg in Germany next week.

Tottenham Hotspur vs Eintracht Frankfurt Head-to-Head

This is the third competition in which Tottenham Hotspur and Eintracht Frankfurt will have locked horns.

The most recent meetings occurred in the UEFA Champions League group stage in 2022. A goalless draw in Germany gave little hint of what would unfold in north London in the return fixture.

Daichi Kamada gave the visitors the lead, but goals from Son Heung-min either side of a Harry Kane penalty meant Spurs were 3-1 up before half time. The match ended 3-2.

The only other European tie between Tottenham and Eintracht was in the 1981-82 Cup Winners’ Cup quarter-final. Spurs won 2-0 at home before losing 2-1 away in the second leg, progressing 3-2 on aggregate.

Tottenham Hotspur vs Eintracht Frankfurt Prediction

Tottenham Hotspur are favourites to win the first leg, given a 52.3% chance of a victory by the Opta supercomputer.

Its 10,000 simulations of the match have split the remaining outcomes almost evenly. A draw is rated as a 24.3% possibility, while a victory for Eintracht Frankfurt has been deemed a 23.3% shot.

In seven of the eight European campaigns in which Spurs reached at least the semi-finals, they won their home leg in the quarter-finals.

Tottenham Hotspur vs Eintracht Frankfurt Predicted Lineups

Opta Power Rankings

The Opta Power Rankings are a global team ranking system. They assign an ability score to over 13,000 domestic football teams. This score is on a scale between zero and 100, where zero is the worst-ranked team in the world and 100 is the best team in the world.

Ahead of kick-off on Thursday, here is the Opta Power Ranking for both sides.

Enzo Fernández’s goal helped Chelsea take a big step towards securing Champions League football next season with a win over a disappointing Spurs side. Look back at the best facts and analyse the Opta data on our Chelsea vs Tottenham stats page.

Chelsea moved back into the Premier League top four with a London derby win over Tottenham Hotspur at Stamford Bridge.

Enzo Fernández scored the only goal of the game to give Chelsea a deserved victory against a Spurs side that struggled to make any impact in attack throughout the match.

Chelsea controlled much of the first half and would have been in the lead had it not been for good fortune – Nicolas Jackson hit the post in the opening minute – and a fantastic save from Guglielmo Vicario from Jadon Sancho just before half-time.

It took the Blues just five minutes into the second half to open the scoring, however. Cole Palmer’s excellent cross was met by the head of Fernández, with the Argentine planting his header past Vicario. It was Fernández fifth Premier League goal of the season – his best goal return in a league campaign since 2022 at River Plate in his home country.

Chelsea were denied a second goal minutes later after Moisés Caicedo’s excellent volley was disallowed following an offside in the build-up, eventually confirmed following a lengthy VAR check.

Tottenham failed to attempt a shot on target until Micky van de Ven’s weak strike at Robert Sánchez in the 66th minute of the match, but just three minutes later they thought they’d scored with their second, only for Pape Sarr’s long distance strike to be ruled out following VAR intervention. The midfielder was deemed to have fouled Caicedo before firing his shot past Sánchez. The goal was taken away and a yellow card was dished out instead.

Despite chasing the game from the 50th minute onwards, Tottenham offered little to suggest they would be able to force an equaliser, attempting just six shots after Fernández’s goal, despite over 12 minutes of added time. Son Heung-Min did come close late on, but his back-post sliding effort was kept out by a diving Sánchez.

It was yet another disappointing performance from Ange Postecoglou’s side in what has been an extremely underwhelming Premier League campaign. This latest defeat – their 16th in 30 league games in 2024-25 – leaves Spurs closer to the relegation zone (14 points) than the top four (18 points), where they would have aspired to have finished heading into the season.

Postecoglou has now lost all four of his Premier League meetings with Chelsea – the only side he has faced without yet picking up a point in the competition. This latest defeat saw him become the first ever Tottenham manager to lose each of his first four league games against Chelsea in charge of the club. Based on their performances this season, he might not get a fifth attempt.

Our Opta match centre delivers you all the Chelsea vs Tottenham stats from their Premier League meeting at Stamford Bridge.

The match centre below includes team and player stats, expected goals data, passing networks, an Opta chalkboard and more. It gives you everything you need to do your own post-match analysis.

Underneath the match centre you can find the official Opta stats on the game as well.

Chelsea 1-0 Tottenham Stats: Post-Match

Only the Premier League’s current bottom four teams have lost more games this season than Tottenham Hotspur, with Spurs losing 16 league games in a campaign for the first time since 2003-04 under Glenn Hoddle & David Pleat (19).

Chelsea vs Tottenham Hotspur was the third Premier League game this season to see 10+ cards brandished (5 yellow cards each) after Bournemouth vs Chelsea in September (14) and Aston Villa vs Bournemouth in October (13).

Tottenham Hotspur have failed to win any of their last nine Premier League games against teams starting the day in the top half of the table (D1 L8), since beating Manchester City 4-0 in November.