Opta Analyst

Tottenham are battling relegation, but only the two Premier League title chasers have won more points away from home than them. Is that a good recipe for survival?

The 2025-26 season has been so miserable at Tottenham Hotspur that it is difficult to find any measure by which they rank high up in the Premier League. And of the few there are, most come alongside something negative.

Spurs rank second in the top flight this season for duels won (1,871), but they are also second for duels lost (1,930). Only Arsenal (17) have scored more goals from corner situations than them (16), but only a handful of teams have scored fewer than them in open play (27).

Another more noteworthy measure by which Spurs rank favourably, meanwhile, is for their away record. Just looking at results on the road this season, Tottenham have been the third best team in the entire Premier League.

Yes, really.

Relegation-threatened Spurs have earned more points away from home (26) than every other team in the top flight this season aside from Arsenal and Manchester City (32 each), the best two teams in the country.

It’s difficult, given how poor Tottenham have been almost all campaign, to comprehend that this might be true. How can the Champions League chasers, the perfectly solid mid-table sides, even the teams also fighting relegation who have so clearly been better than Spurs all year, all have worse records than this Tottenham team? Somehow, it really is the case.

It’s worth pointing a few things out here. Spurs are third in terms of points won, but they have played one away game more than many of the teams around them. On a points-per-game basis, they drop to sixth.

Also, seven teams are within one result of Spurs’ away-points total, so they could quite feasibly drop down this particular table by the end of the season.

However, Spurs’ points tally on the road is noteworthy regardless of what other teams have done this season. It is most significant in the context of their own terrible home form.

In 2025-26, Spurs have earned just 11 points on home soil. No team in the league has won fewer, and only relegated Burnley have as poor a record. Spurs are only off the bottom of the Premier League home table by dint of their goal difference of -10, which is just a single goal better than Burnley’s -11.

It has been a wretched campaign for Tottenham’s home fans. In a stadium where tickets are about as expensive as any other in the country, Spurs have provided only two home Premier League wins from 17 matches. One of those was their first game of the season (a 3-0 win over Burnley) and the other came in December (a 2-0 win over Brentford). They are currently on a nine-game run without a home Premier League win.

It means they have earned 70.3% of their points this season in away games. That is the highest proportion by any team in any season in Premier League history. The Tottenham team of 2025-26 are more reliant on away points than any other side the competition has ever seen.

Only six teams have ever earned more than 60% of their points in a Premier League season in away games, and Spurs are three games away from becoming the first team to break the 70% mark.

However, if they are to survive, they will probably need to even things out a little, the reasons for which are two-fold.

Firstly, two of their three remaining games are at home, and those two – against Leeds next Monday and Everton on the final day of the season – look kinder on paper than the 19 May trip to Stamford Bridge, where Spurs have won only once in any competition in the Premier League era.

Tottenham are likely to need to win at least one of their last three matches, and even without considering fixture difficulty, they have twice as many opportunities to earn home points as they do away ones. Survival may well require them to improve their home record.

Secondly, teams who win a large majority of their points away from home have historically been relegated. The four teams with the highest proportion of their points earned in away games in completed Premier League seasons have all gone down. Clearly, it isn’t a positive to rely quite so heavily on away results.

If they do stay up, fixing their home form will have to be a priority, because history suggests that winning a majority of your points in away games is not a sustainable model. Of the 10 teams with the highest proportion of points won away from home who were not relegated, only one improved their league position the following campaign. Two of them were relegated a year later, and five more saw their league position fall by at least four places.

One way or another, Tottenham’s home form must improve. They have won only one of their eight games against fellow bottom-half Premier League teams this season. Without making your home into something remotely resembling a fortress, it is always going to be difficult to retain your Premier League status for too long.

However, Spurs could yet become the first team to win a vast proportion of their points away from home and survive.

Their home record gives us little reason to expect them to beat Leeds or Everton. Leeds are unbeaten in their last six away Premier League games, winning at Old Trafford last time out, while Everton have taken only one point fewer on the road than Spurs, and they have played fewer games. Both of them could well prove tricky.

Chelsea, meanwhile, are on an awful run of form and have struggled particularly badly at home, failing to win any of their last six and losing the last four. Only the current bottom six have a worse home record in the Premier League this season than Chelsea. Plus, they host Spurs just a few days after facing Manchester City in the FA Cup final. Even the motivation of sending Spurs down might not be enough for the beleaguered Blues.

One win could be enough for Tottenham. In the Opta supercomputer’s 10,000 simulations of the rest of the season, West Ham ended up on an average of 39.2 points. Spurs are currently on 37 points, so there is a chance that they win at Chelsea, further boosting their away points total, and 40 points is all they need.

The turnaround under Roberto De Zerbi has been outstanding. Spurs have won back-to-back games for the first time since August, and the victory at Aston Villa on Sunday will give them renewed hope that they can add another win at Chelsea. They could survive despite only winning two home games all campaign.

Even if they do manage to win some more home points and make their record a little less lopsided, if Tottenham manage to stay up this season, their record on the road will be the reason they have done so.

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Tottenham’s Premier League survival chances received a huge boost on Sunday. Re-live an exceptional Spurs win in our Aston Villa vs Tottenham stats page.

Tottenham have climbed out of the Premier League relegation zone thanks to an excellent and richly deserved 2-1 win over high-flying Aston Villa at Villa Park on Sunday.

After West Ham were beaten 3-0 by Brentford on Saturday, Spurs knew they had an opportunity to hoist themselves out of the bottom three – surely, though, a gruelling test awaited them in Birmingham.

That wasn’t quite the case, however. Unai Emery’s side, who lost 1-0 to Nottingham Forest in the first leg of their Europa League semi-final on Thursday, were dreadful for most of the match and hardly laid a glove on Tottenham as they suffered a third successive defeat in all competitions.

Nevertheless, Spurs were excellent. Their off-ball intensity was difficult for Villa to live with as the visitors dominated physically, and they did a fine job of controlling possession for the most part.

Conor Gallagher and Richarlison got the Spurs goals in the first 25 minutes and Villa’s response was sorely lacking – it took them until the sixth minute of stoppage time to get a shot on target, coinciding with Emi Buendía’s late consolation.

For now, this defeat looks unlikely to be particularly definitive or impactful for Villa’s season in the grand scheme of things. For Spurs, however, victory here might be the difference between relegation and survival.

You’d have been forgiven for expecting a long evening for Tottenham. Villa had the chance to go fourth, and although they are in the middle of a two-legged Europa League semi, they’ll have been massively fancied by most.

After all, Spurs went into this game with one win from their last 16 league games.

But the first half was anything but predictable as Tottenham looked a completely different side to the one that’s been floundering near – or in – the relegation zone for the past few months.

Spurs were ravenous without the ball, their three high turnovers in the first 30 minutes evidence of this and, as a result, highlighting Villa’s difficulty playing out from the back.

But it wasn’t just a case of good anticipation or clever reading; Spurs – mostly through the likes of Richarlison, João Palhinha and Gallagher – were aggressive, and that treatment seemed to rattled Villa on occasion.

In short, they were showing signs of being a Roberto De Zerbi team.

Clearly, though, Gallagher’s early opener in the 12th minute didn’t help Villa’s attempts to settle. The ball dropped kindly for the Spurs midfielder after a set-piece was partially cleared, and he found the bottom-left corner from about 25 yards for his first Premier League goal since May 2024.

Richarlison doubled their lead with 25 minutes on the clock, meeting Mathys Tel’s cross with a fine header to beat Emiliano Martínez.

It was only the second time (in 69 matches) that Unai Emery’s Villa failed to attempt a first-half shot in a league game. While they had made changes, with the second leg of their Europa League semi against Forest in mind, the level of their performance was well below what was expected, as reflected by the boos that greeted the half-time whistle.

Although surely tempted, Emery resisted any urge to change personnel at the break – and perhaps unsurprisingly so, there was no noticeable improvement from them upon the restart.

Eventually Emery introduced Ollie Watkins for the ineffective Tammy Abraham on the hour. They then recorded their first shot of the game in the 61st minute; only Burnley (twice) and Wolves have gone beyond the 61st minute before having their first shot in a Premier League game this season.

But even then, Morgan Rogers’ attempted was blocked, as was his next in the 64th minute.

It wasn’t until the 89th minute, when Tyrone Mings headed just over, that Villa managed to record a shot that wasn’t blocked. That was soon followed by Buendía glancing a header in to halve the deficit, but it was very much a case of too little, too late.

A bad day at the office for Villa, whereas there appears to be plenty of life left in Spurs on the evidence of this.

Our Opta match centre delivers you all the Aston Villa vs Tottenham stats from their Premier League meeting at Villa Park on Sunday.

The match centre below includes team and player stats, expected goals data, passing networks, an Opta chalkboard and more. It gives you everything you need to do your own match analysis.

Underneath the match centre you can find the official Opta stats on the game as well.

Aston Villa vs Tottenham Post-Match Facts

This is now Richarlison’s fifth Premier League season with 10+ goals (13 in 2018-19, 13 in 2019-20, 10 in 2021-22, 11 in 2022-23, 10 in 2025-26), the joint most of any Brazilian player along with Roberto Firmino. His goal for Spurs today was his first ever against Aston Villa, netting against 25 of the 31 sides he’s faced in the competition.

Tottenham’s 2-0 lead after 25 minutes was the earliest they’d scored two in a Premier League game since December 2024 against Southampton (4-0 after 25 mins), while Aston Villa found themselves 2-0 down at that stage of a home game for the first time since February 2021 against Leicester (23 mins).

Across 138 halves of Premier League football at Villa Park under Unai Emery, the first half of this game was Aston Villa’s fewest touches in the opposition box (1) and one of only two times they failed to have a single shot.

Aston Villa have lost four of their last eight home Premier League matches (W3 D1), only one fewer than they did across their previous 55 at Villa Park combined (W38 D12 L5).

Tottenham Hotspur have won consecutive Premier League matches for the first time since winning their opening two games of this season against Burnley and Manchester City.

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We look ahead to Sunday’s Premier League game at Villa Park with our Aston Villa vs Tottenham prediction and preview. Can Spurs earn back-to-back away wins?

Aston Villa vs Tottenham: The Key Stats

The Opta supercomputer heavily favours an Aston Villa victory, with Unai Emery’s side winning 61.5% of the pre-match simulations.

Tottenham have lost six of their last 10 Premier League games against Aston Villa (W4), more than they had in their previous 34 against them (W19 D10 L5).

Villa are looking to win three Premier League games in a row at home for the first time since winning eight straight between September and January.

Aston Villa and Tottenham Hotspur head into Sunday’s Premier League clash with very different objectives at opposite ends of the table, and there is plenty at stake for both sides.

Relegation candidates Spurs ended a 15-match winless run with a 1-0 victory over Wolverhampton Wanderers last weekend, picking up their first Premier League win of 2026.

It was not a perfect performance, but Spurs got the job done as João Palhinha’s late goal secured all three points and offered new boss Roberto De Zerbi some much-needed relief after a rocky start included a 1-0 defeat at Sunderland and a 2-2 home draw with Brighton and Hove Albion.

But Spurs are not out of the woods by any measure. Heading into Matchday 35 they are still in the drop zone with a two-point gap to safety, and with a daunting run ahead, they will need to find more points from somewhere to remain in the top-flight.

Palhinha’s strike would have lifted them out of the relegation zone but for West Ham’s late 2-1 victory over Everton. The Opta supercomputer currently rates Spurs’ chances of relegation at 60.2% with four matches remaining.

Tottenham are also looking to pick up consecutive wins in the league for the first time since their opening two matches of the season – winning 3-0 over Burnley and 2-0 over Manchester City.

But they are set to face a difficult challenge at Villa Park, where the hosts have won 11 of their 17 home league games this season (D2 L4).

Villa are looking to win three on the trot at home for the first time since a spectacular run of eight straight home wins between September and January that catapulted them into the Champions League reckoning.

Unai Emery’s side do come into Sunday’s clash on the back of some wobbly form, though, having won just two of their last seven league games (D1 L4), suffering as many defeats in that time as they did in their previous 24 matches (W15 D5).

Villa lost 1-0 at Fulham last weekend, though remain well placed in the race for Champions League qualification, with the top five teams set to secure a place in next season’s competition.

Their confidence may have been further dented by Thursday’s 1-0 loss at Nottingham Forest in the first leg of their UEFA Europa League semi-final. In a very tight game at the City Ground, Lucas Digne’s handball opened the door for Chris Wood to emphatically strike the only goal from the penalty spot.

With their Champions League qualification hopes high – the latest Opta supercomputer simulations saw them finish in the top five 97.6% of the time – Villa must be careful not to let their attention drift too much, with next week’s return leg at Villa Park on the horizon.

Tottenham, meanwhile, have shown signs of improvement under De Zerbi despite mixed results. Since the Italian’s arrival, Spurs are averaging more pressed sequences per game (12.7) and possession won in the final third per game (5.3) than they were under both Thomas Frank (11.1 and 3.7) and Igor Tudor (10.8 and 3.8).

While those numbers are encouraging, Spurs’ growing injury list is not. Their wretched luck continued against Wolves as Dominic Solanke was forced off in the first half with a hamstring issue, before Xavi Simons later suffered an ACL tear that will reportedly keep him out until well into next season.

They join Cristian Romero, Mohammed Kudus, Dejan Kulusevski and Wilson Odobert on the sidelines as the major absentees for Spurs, though Destiny Udogie could return to the squad for this one.

The main attacking responsibilities may fall on Richarlison, who is averaging 0.72 goal involvements per 90 this season (nine goals and four assists in 1,615 minutes) – his third-best rate in a Premier League campaign behind 2023-24 and 2024-25 (both 0.9 per 90).

Villa, meanwhile, will be without Amadou Onana following his injury against Forest in the semi-final.

But Ollie Watkins remains a key threat, with 10 of his 11 league goals this season coming since the start of December – more than any other player in that period. He has also scored in three previous league appearances against teams managed by De Zerbi, including a hat-trick in September 2023.

Aston Villa vs Tottenham Head-to-Head

Tottenham have lost six of their last 10 Premier League matches against Aston Villa (W4) – more defeats than they suffered across their previous 34 meetings with the Villans (W19 D10 L5).

That included the reverse fixture in October when Villa won 2-1 at Tottenham Hotspur Stadium.

Villa also won this fixture 2-0 last season, and are aiming for consecutive home league victories over Spurs for the first time since May/November 2004.

Interestingly, none of the last 21 league meetings between Villa (7 wins) and Spurs (14 wins) have ended in a draw. Only Chelsea vs Crystal Palace (26 between September 1997 and February 2024) has produced a longer run without a stalemate in the history of the Premier League.

Aston Villa vs Tottenham Prediction

It’s not good news for Tottenham fans, with the Opta supercomputer making Aston Villa big favourites with a 61.5% chance of victory.

Spurs came out on top in just 18.2% of the 10,000 pre-match simulations, while a draw is given a 20.3% chance.

Aston Villa vs Tottenham Predicted Lineups

Aston Villa: Emiliano Martínez, Matty Cash, Ezri Konsa, Pau Torres, Lucas Digne, Youri Tielemans, Lamare Bogarde, John McGinn, Morgan Rogers, Emiliano Buendía, Ollie Watkins.

Head Coach: Unai Emery

Tottenham: Antonín Kinsky, Pedro Porro, Kevin Danso, Micky van de Ven, Djed Spence, Yves Bissouma, Rodrigo Bentancur, Conor Gallagher, Randal Kolo Muani, Mathys Tel, Richarlison.

Head Coach: Roberto De Zerbi

Opta Power Rankings

The Opta Power Rankings are a global team ranking system that assigns an ability score to over 13,000 domestic football teams on a scale between zero and 100, where zero is the worst-ranked team in the world, and 100 is the best team in the world.

Ahead of kick-off this weekend, here is the Opta Power Ranking for both sides.

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Tottenham twice threw away leads against Brighton to draw 2-2. Check out the best Opta data from the game with our Tottenham vs Brighton stats page.

Tottenham remain in the relegation zone after twice surrendering the lead in a 2-2 draw with Brighton, conceding in both first-half and second-half stoppage time.

It looked as though Xavi Simons’ stunning strike from the edge of the box had earned Spurs a vital first league win of 2026. Instead, substitute Georginio Rutter struck late to deny them.

Not once but twice Tottenham led. Pedro Porro headed them in front before Kaoru Mitoma’s superb volley levelled the game just before half-time. Simons then reignited the contest with a moment of real quality in the second period, only for Brighton to peg the home side back once more.

It was a crushing outcome for Tottenham, who had delivered an energetic and encouraging performance in Roberto De Zerbi’s first home match in charge.

Spurs began brightly, with far more purpose than in recent weeks. Their approach was more direct and they showed a real emphasis on moving the ball forward quickly and pressing high.

That intensity brought the opening goal. Tottenham won possession high and worked the ball to Simons on the edge of the area. The Dutchman clipped a delicate cross into the box, where Porro had ghosted in to head past Bart Verbruggen.

Spurs continued to threaten. Simons dribbled a low effort onto the post before Porro’s crashing follow-up was tipped over the bar. At that stage, Tottenham looked in control.

But just before half-time, Brighton struck back, Mitoma superbly volleying first time with his left foot from a deep Pascal Groß cross.

The second half lacked the intensity of the first. Spurs struggled to replicate their first-half energy and the game became more disjointed.

Simons, however, remained a constant threat. He finished with a team-high four shots and created more chances than any teammate (2). It was his moment of magic which appeared to have won the game.

With 15 minutes remaining, substitute Lucas Bergvall, full of energy, pressed Jan Paul van Hecke into a mistake and helped the ball on to Simons. The midfielder cut inside and curled a superb effort into the far corner off the post. Simons has now both scored and assisted in two Premier League matches this season, also doing so against Brentford in December.

At that point, Tottenham looked set to secure a long-awaited victory. The Opta supercomputer, which had given them a 50% chance of relegation following Leeds’ win earlier in the day, had their chances down at 37%

But once again, they could not hold on. Brighton equalised late on as Van Hecke outmuscled Kevin Danso to regain possession before cutting the ball back for Rutter, who finished emphatically.

The late goal leaves Spurs still searching for their first league win of 2026. They are now winless in 15 Premier League matches this year (D6 L9). It is their second-longest winless run in league history, behind only a 16-game stretch between December 1934 and April 1935.

The pressure continues to build. For Tottenham, that run simply has to end next time out at Wolves.

Our Opta match centre delivers you all the Tottenham vs Brighton stats from their Premier League meeting at the Tottenham Hotspur Stadium on Saturday.

The match centre below includes team and player stats, expected goals data, passing networks, an Opta chalkboard and more. It gives you everything you need to do your own match analysis.

Underneath the match centre you can find the official Opta stats on the game as well.

With six games remaining in the 2025-26 Premier League season, we give the four teams still fighting relegation one reason to be optimistic and one reason to be less so.

That was a bad, bad, bad weekend of Premier League football for Tottenham Hotspur.

Roberto De Zerbi oversaw another Spurs defeat in his first game as their manager, while their rivals in the relegation battle all picked up points. West Ham battered Wolves, Nottingham Forest scraped a point against Aston Villa, and Leeds won away to Manchester United for the first time in the league since 1981.

Spurs, meanwhile, are in freefall. They haven’t won a Premier League game since December, and are now in the bottom three, two points adrift of safety and are the favourites for the drop.

A first relegation since 1977 would be a catastrophe for a club who were in the Champions League this season, but it is becoming an increasingly realistic possibility.

The relegation battle isn’t, however, done and dusted. It might feel right now like everything is pointing towards Spurs going down, but there are still six rounds of games to be played and that means 18 points on offer for each team.

A lot can change very quickly in football. Just ask Arsenal, who were on for the quadruple ahead of the EFL Cup final, and now they’re suddenly in danger of throwing the title away, having also been knocked out of two other competitions.

With that in mind, there are reasons for hope and to fear the worst for each of the four teams who could join Burnley and Wolves – who are near certain for relegation – in the Championship next season.

Tottenham

Points: 30

Opta Supercomputer Chances of Relegation: 49.5%

Reason to be Cheerful

It might not feel like it, but there are still many eventualities that see Spurs survive. Each of their three relegation rivals have it in them to go on a bad run, which could hand Tottenham the opportunity to claw their way back towards safety.

Forest have won one of their last nine games, while Leeds’ win at Old Trafford on Monday was their first in seven. Both teams also have the distraction of another competition.

West Ham are in the best form of the four teams, but they also have the toughest remaining fixtures of any of them, according to the Opta Power Rankings. Until they face Leeds on the final day of the season, West Ham have five tricky-looking assignments.

Tottenham, meanwhile, have three winnable (yes, really) home fixtures against Brighton, Leeds and Everton, while they also travel to rock-bottom Wolves. Their display in the draw at Liverpool last month could also give them hope for trips to Chelsea and Aston Villa.

The Opta supercomputer has them has favourites to go down, but there are still (just about) more simulations in which Spurs survive (50.5%) than not (49.5%). It’s a slim hope, but Tottenham have to cling to something.

Reason to be Fearful

Put simply, Tottenham’s form is atrocious. They are on their longest run without a league victory since the 1930s. Only Derby in 2008 (18), Sunderland in 2003 (17) and Swindon Town in 1993 (15) have had longer winless runs to start a calendar year in the Premier League than Tottenham in 2026 (14). Ominously, all three of those clubs were relegated after those runs.

Roberto De Zerbi’s first match in charge brought little change in form or fortunes. They lost 1-0 at Sunderland, and they were low on luck, too, as they have been all season, with Nordi Mukiele’s winner taking a huge deflection and captain Cristian Romero sustaining a season-ending knee injury.

The main reason to fear for Spurs is that they have been drifting towards this position for a long, long time. They need something drastic to change, and fast, at at time when they have shown little to no sign of being able to do that in recent months. It doesn’t look good at all.

West Ham

Points: 32

Opta Supercomputer Chances of Relegation: 38.8%

Reason to be Cheerful

West Ham are on a genuinely decent run of form, having taken seven points from their last four games. Only Arsenal, Manchester City, Brighton and Sunderland have earned more from their last four matches.

They appear to believe fully in the instructions that Nuno Espírito Santo is giving them, and after a 4-0 win over Wolves last time out, they will be full of confidence heading into the final half-dozen games of the season.

They took a gamble in January on Taty Castellanos and it appears to be paying off handsomely. He scored a brace in the win over Wolves, but more broadly, he has also brought a presence and focus to West Ham’s front line that was lacking before he joined.

Momentum is key at this stage of the season, and West Ham have plenty of it.

Reason to be Fearful

As mentioned above, West Ham have the toughest run-in of the four teams in the relegation battle according to the Opta Power Rankings, facing mid-table teams who are chasing European qualification in Crystal Palace, Everton, Brentford and Newcastle, as well as Arsenal, before hosting Leeds on the final day of the season.

They might have won five of their last 11 Premier League games, but most of those wins came against the current bottom three. The only other teams they have beaten are Fulham and Sunderland. West Ham have a win rate in that time against the current top 14 teams of 25%, compared to 100% against teams in the bottom six.

An unkind fixture list could prove crucial.

Nottingham Forest

Points: 33

Opta Supercomputer Chances of Relegation: 10.1%

Reason to be Cheerful

Nottingham Forest might not be winning tonnes of games – they have only recorded one win in their last nine Premier League outings – but they have looked, recently at least, difficult to beat. They have now gone four games without defeat, getting draws against Manchester City (after twice going behind), Fulham, and Aston Villa.

Those results will give Vitor Pereira’s side confidence that they can take points off some of their tougher remaining opponents, who include Chelsea, Newcastle, Manchester United and Bournemouth.

They are a relatively solid side; only seven teams have conceded fewer non-penalty goals in the Premier League this season than them (39), while they rank safely in mid-table (11th) for non-penalty xG against (43.2). Those foundations could provide the base for a successful end to the season.

Reason to be Fearful

Forest’s problem all season has been scoring goals. Yes, they put three past Tottenham before the international break (who hasn’t?), but only Wolves (24) have scored fewer goals than them this season (32). Forest are averaging a goal a game, and if they continue to score at that meagre rate, it may prove difficult to survive.

Morgan Gibbs-White is their top scorer with nine goals, but aside from him, no Forest player has more than three. The only team with as poor a return for their second-highest scorer is Wolves (also three).

Forest have failed to score in 14 games this season, second only, again, to Wolves (16), so it isn’t unimaginable that they struggle for goals for the remainder of the season, too.

Leeds

Points: 36

Opta Supercomputer Chances of Relegation: 1.6%

Reason to be Cheerful

When the Opta supercomputer ran 10,000 simulations of the rest of the season, Leeds were relegated only 161 times. In other words, the model says they only have a 1.6% chance of relegation.

That really is a minuscule possibility. It’s about the same chance as 12th-placed Fulham have of making up the eight-point gap to Liverpool and overtaking seven teams to finish in the top five and qualify for the Champions League. It’s almost certainly not going to happen.

That figure is in part so low because Leeds have the easiest run-in of every team in the league, still to face each of the league’s current bottom four clubs.

On top of that, after Monday night’s memorable win at Old Trafford, Leeds have a six-point cushion between themselves and the relegation zone. They are likely to need to win only one of their remaining six games, and given they host Wolves next, they could give their survival hopes a huge boost in just a few days’ time.

Reason to be Fearful

There really isn’t much cause for pessimism at Elland Road, but that won’t stop Leeds fans worrying that their team will go on another of their bad runs.

Through the autumn, for example, Leeds lost six out of seven games, including defeats to Spurs, Burnley and Nottingham Forest. And before the win at United this week, they had gone six games in a row without a win, failing to score in the four most recent of those. The Old Trafford win was very unexpected.

Also, the very fact that they play against Tottenham and West Ham in their remaining fixtures means that if they were to embark on a poor run, they’d be directly helping their relegation rivals.

This Leeds team is more than capable of missing the opportunity to build on that victory, and they could get dragged back into the relegation scrap if they do. It remains an outside possibility, but while it is a possibility, nobody will be making any assumptions about their safety.

*All projection numbers are accurate as of 14 April 2026.

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Tottenham remain in the relegation zone after defeat in their new manager’s first game. Check out the best Opta data from the game with our Sunderland vs Tottenham stats page.

Desperate in their attempts to stave off relegation, Tottenham made one last roll of the dice two weeks ago by appointing Roberto De Zerbi as their manager. Here, though, their new boss was unable to bring any change in results as Spurs fell to a seventh defeat in their last eight Premier League games to remain mired in the relegation zone.

It is now 105 days since Spurs won a Premier League game, and after this loss, their 16th in 32 league matches this season, there was no change in the fact that they are staring at the very concerning, very real possibility of demotion to the second tier for the first time since the mid-1970s.

Although Sunderland relied on a heavy deflection for the win, they were still good value for three points, having had the better chances and kept Spurs largely at arm’s length. Despite badly needing to win this game, Spurs mustered just 0.91 xG over the 90 minutes.

The hosts, on the other hand, had decent chances throughout. In the first half, Granit Xhaka dragged a shot wide from the edge of the box with his weaker right foot, and Nordi Mukiele failed to get proper contact on a header when unmarked at the back post. Brian Brobbey had the best chance of the half, but stand-in Spurs goalkeeper Antonín Kinsky raced off his line to thwart the Sunderland centre-forward down low.

The most notable moment from a Spurs perspective came midway through the first half when they were awarded a penalty for a foul on Randal Kolo Muani, but the decision was overturned after a lengthy VAR review. Spurs remain one of only two teams, along with Aston Villa, who are yet to be given a penalty in the Premier League this season.

Although both teams had good chances, it was a feisty first half, which was characterised by the referee cautioning players. Only three Premier League games this season have seen more yellow cards in the first half than this one (four), with three of those cards going to members of Tottenham’s back four. The other was for Sunderland forward Brian Brobbey, who enjoyed a physical battle with Spurs’ centre-backs.

After the break, the deadlock was finally broken, but only thanks to a highly fortunate goal. Mukiele drove infield at the end of a 12-pass Sunderland move, and his shot from the edge of the box took a huge deflection off Micky van de Ven to leave a wrongfooted Kinksy completely helpless.

It was the 23rd Premier League game in which Spurs have gone behind this season, and they have now failed to win all of them (D7 L16).

After West Ham had beaten Wolves on Friday night, and with Nottingham Forest earning a point against Aston Villa on Sunday, Spurs could scarcely have needed a route back into the game more. But they struggled terribly to create chances as they have done for much of this season, and after going behind, they barely had a sigh of Roefs’ goal.

Sunderland held firm to secure a win that takes them into the top half of the table and means they remain in the fight to qualify for Europe next season, now just one point behind seventh-placed Brentford.

Defeat for Spurs means the Opta supercomputer now rates the likelihood of relegation for the north London club at 44.9%. It’s all getting very real, and this performance, as low on creativity as they have been all season, won’t have done much to convince anyone that they can turn things around. De Zerbi has a huge job on his hands, and now an even shorter time to do it in.

Our Opta match centre delivers you all the Sunderland vs Tottenham stats from their Premier League meeting at the Stadium of Light on Sunday.

The match centre below includes team and player stats, expected goals data, passing networks, an Opta chalkboard and more. It gives you everything you need to do your own match analysis.

Underneath the match centre you can find the official Opta stats on the game as well.

Sunderland vs Tottenham Post-Match Facts

Tottenham Hotspur have now failed to win any of their last 14 Premier League matches (D5 L9), now their outright second-longest run without a league victory in their history, behind a run of 16 between December 1934 and April 1935.

Sunderland kept their sixth clean sheet at the Stadium of Light in the Premier League this season, with only Arsenal (8) and Manchester City (7) keeping more at home in the competition this season. Their 14 goals conceded at home is again bettered only by Arsenal and Manchester City (both 11).

Aged 20 years and 31 days, Archie Gray became the second-youngest Tottenham Hotspur player to make 50 appearances for the club in the Premier League, with only Aaron Lennon (20y 12d) reaching this milestone quicker for Spurs in the competition.

Roberto De Zerbi has seven games to save Tottenham Hotspur. If he is to succeed, there are a fair few issues at the club that he will need to resolve.

After a disastrous 43 days under Igor Tudor, Tottenham have made their move and decided another change of manager was needed.

Tudor’s was the fourth-shortest reign for a permanent or interim manager in Premier League history, and given he took just one point from his five league games in charge as Spurs slipped perilously close to the relegation zone, it couldn’t really have gone much worse.

We’re not here to dwell on the past (although that is partly because we’ve already done that, below).

But that is also because Tottenham don’t have time to look back. They have just seven games to go to save their Premier League status, and less than two weeks until the first of those matches, away to Sunderland on 12 April.

The talk on Monday is that Roberto De Zerbi is the man they want to come in and head up the rescue mission. Spurs have never needed to get a managerial appointment right more than they do this one.

Beyond any reservations that some fans have about appointing the Italian, there are also reasonable questions to be asked as to whether the Tottenham players will be able to lurch so extremely between different styles of football. Thomas Frank and Tudor both played a defence-first game based around long balls, while De Zerbi likes his teams to play an attacking, short-passing game.

There is no time to waste; Spurs don’t have a pre-season or even one or two games to make mistakes while learning what they are doing. They need wins, and they need them right away.

So, what are the things that De Zerbi will need to do to help save Tottenham?

Stick to Four at the Back

One lesson to be learned from Tudor’s time at the club is going with three at the back was a mistake. The Croatian stuck by his favoured shape for too long, and Spurs only really showed any signs of life under him once he’d moved to the 4-4-2 with which he earned a 1-1 draw at Anfield and then a 3-2 win over Atlético Madrid.

The players weren’t accustomed to playing in back-three shapes, and Spurs were overrun consistently in midfield, clearly far more comfortable once they were in a more traditional formation.

Tottenham weren’t entirely hopeless in a back three under Frank, so there’s no need to write off the possibility of switching to a back three from time to time, but the players’ confidence is now all but completely shot. Surely there is nobody at the club or among the fanbase who would be given any belief by playing with three centre-backs.

The players need all the help they can get and a good starting point would be avoiding overcomplicating things with the choice of system.

Don’t Play Players Out of Position

Tudor made things even more difficult for himself by consistently playing players out of position. Conor Gallagher was fielded on the right side of midfield. Archie Gray played at right wing-back and left-back. João Palhinha and Pedro Porro were both played on the right side of central defence in a back three. In Tudor’s final game, Lucas Bergvall returned to action in an unfamiliar role on the right flank. A grand total of zero of those experiments worked.

The former manager did, in fairness, have to contend with an extreme injury crisis that left him with little room for manoeuvre, but he also didn’t help himself, largely in playing with three at the back and forcing his players to fit into the system he wanted.

Tottenham’s injury problems are subsiding a little, though, with Bergvall and Destiny Udogie back in action, while Tudor said before the defeat to Nottingham Forest that Mohammed Kudus and Rodrigo Bentancur are both “progressing well” in their recoveries. That should mean that De Zerbi has a little more choice in his team selection.

Tottenham don’t have the luxury of time for players to learn new jobs. They need to be comfortable with whatever the new man asks the players to do, which will presumably be very different from what came before.

Spurs have played 12.2% of their passes long in Premier League games this season – a higher proportion than nine other sides – while in De Zerbi’s first season at Brighton, his side ranked second from bottom, with just 7.5% of their passes played long.

There’s going to be a lot of change in the style of football, so he needs to make it as easy as he can for the players.

Sort Out Disciplinary Problems

Frustration got the better of a few Spurs players at the depths of their lowest ebbs this season, and that led to red cards that only made their jobs more difficult.

Key centre-backs and senior players Cristian Romero and Micky van de Ven both got straight red cards in Premier League games that left their teammates without a hope and suspensions for further games. And Van de Ven almost – and probably should have – been given another red for a wild lunge away to Atlético Madrid in the Champions League.

When Spurs needed calm heads, two of their most important leaders let them down. They clearly struggled to balance the motivation they had to succeed with the aggression they needed to win their individual battles.

Spurs cannot afford any more such issues. They can’t afford to be playing even a minute of the seven cup finals they face before the end of the season a man down. They need all the help they can get, and that means impeccable decision-making despite the utterly desperate situation.

One worry with De Zerbi coming in could be that he is hardly a calm head in difficult times. He is the definition of a hothead, in fact. Over his two years at Brighton, he received both more yellow cards (nine) and more red cards (two) than any other manager in the Premier League.

He needs to channel his anger positively and, more importantly, make sure his players do, too.

(Re)Teach Playing Out From the Back, but Find a Balance

Tottenham haven’t played out from the back or played through the thirds effectively with any consistency this season. Despite that being exactly what they did under Ange Postecoglou for the previous two campaigns, the club decided to change tack entirely last summer.

It probably shouldn’t have been a surprise. They have made stylistic jumps with their managerial appointments fairly consistently ever since Mauricio Pochettino left in 2019, only to make at best short-term gains. So, after Postecoglou won the Europa League last season playing a back-to-basics game, the switch to Frank’s football was perhaps predictable. So, too, whether right or wrong, is this latest veer back to a possession-based game.

The only problem this time is that the new manager has very, very little time to implement his game plan. He surely won’t compromise too much, though, and he may well need to hope that his players can learn on the job.

At the same time, whether or not the players are good enough to play De Zerbi’s football, they are unlikely to be able to do it well immediately, and some of their best moments under Frank and Tudor came after long balls.

The equaliser at Liverpool, for example, came from a punt upfield from Guglielmo Vicario, and Spurs had a few other chances after long balls in that game, with Dominic Solanke and Richarlison both performing well as a physical centre-forward duo.

De Zerbi doesn’t like long-ball football, but there’s a chance he’ll need a bit of it just to get Tottenham up the pitch.

Get Xavi Simons in the Team

Tottenham’s squad is terribly built. They are lacking in options in some areas, while having way too many of the same sort of player elsewhere.

This is a real issue in attack, where they currently have three fit centre-forwards, one player who can play on the left in Mathys Tel, and nobody available who is most comfortable on the right. Their squad planning is arguably the biggest failure of the last few years.

They have also only had one creative midfielder fit at all this season, and yet Xavi Simons, the most talented player in the squad, couldn’t get in the team under Tudor, perhaps in the interest of balance in the starting team.

The Dutch international was the inspiration behind the win over Atlético – Spurs’ only win in their last 10 games – and he surely needs to be one of the players this team is based around if they are going to try and keep the ball on the floor.

Spurs’ problems with creativity have been well documented this season. Only three teams have mustered a lower expected goals total in Premier League games than Spurs (32.6 xG).

Simons has not been faultless in that, but he also has the ability to create something from very little, and that could be invaluable in the run-in. His 3.1 expected assists from open play in Premier League games this season is higher than any other Spurs player, even though he has only played 1,599 of a possible 2,790 minutes (57.3%).

On a per-90 basis, his 0.17 open-play xA is higher than the likes of Anthony Gordon (0.16), Eberechi Eze (0.13) and Amad Diallo (0.15).

Spurs need to make him their main man for the final seven games of the season.

Bin Off Long Throws

Long throws have come back into fashion this season, and Spurs have been trying to replicate the success Frank had at Brentford with them all season. Long after he has departed, too.

They aren’t very good at them, though. They have hurled the ball into the opposition’s box (and at least 20 metres before the next touch of the ball) 74 times in league games this season, but only 12 of them have led to a shot.

Those 12 shots have been worth just 0.92 xG, and Spurs haven’t scored a single goal from any of them. They have the worst record with long throws of all Premier League teams this season.

Some teams are making use of long throws, but Spurs are not one of them. In fact, in the win over Atlético earlier this month, Spurs scored from a throw-in situation for the first time in any competition this season when Porro took a short throw-in to Tel, who crossed for Randal Kolo Muani to score. Then, just after half-time, with Spurs 1-0 up and chasing a second, they conceded from a counter-attack after sending defenders forwards for another failed long throw.

Long throws have arguably done more harm than good for Spurs this season, so it may be time to leave them in the past.

Tottenham’s Premier League relegation worries increased on Sunday following a 3-0 home defeat to Nottingham Forest: the latest disastrous result in a dreadful 2025-26 campaign.

Nottingham Forest secured a fourth successive Premier League victory over Tottenham Hotspur to give themselves a huge boost in the battle against relegation.

Goals from Igor Jesus, Morgan Gibbs-White and Taiwo Awoniyi sealed a 3-0 victory – the first league win under Vítor Pereira – and condemned Tottenham to their 15th Premier League defeat of the season, as they now sit just a point and a place above the relegation zone heading into the March international break.

Based on three points for a win, this defeat sees Tottenham equal their lowest points tally after 31 games of a league season, level with the 1914-15 campaign – a season that ended in relegation to the second tier.

Igor Jesus has struggled for goals in the Premier League since signing from Botafogo last summer, but he found the net for the third time in the competition with his opening strike in this match. Amazingly, it was the first time that Forest have taken the lead in a Premier League game under Pereira across his five matches in charge.

Neco Williams’ corner was swung into the box, and the Brazilian striker escaped his marker to meet the cross with his head before powerfully placing the ball into the net past Guglielmo Vicario.

Despite his issues in front of goal in league competition, only Erling Haaland (13), Igor Thiago (12) and João Pedro (11) have stuck more away goals across all competitions among Premier League players than he has (10).

Tottenham hadn’t come from behind to win a Premier League game since November 2024 versus Aston Villa at home, and Igor Tudor made a double substitution at half-time to try and inject some life into his side, with Lucas Bergvall and Destiny Udogie replacing Micky van de Ven and Djed Spence.

But 16 minutes into the second half, a player that Spurs tried to sign last summer; Gibbs-White, put Forest into a 2-0 lead.

Tottenham sat and watched Forest build-up play towards their goal before allowed Callum Hudson-Odoi to drift past the defence and lay the ball off to an unmarked Gibbs-White inside the box to score his ninth Premier League goal of the campaign.

As the seats emptied in the stadium, Awoniyi’s 87th-minute goal left the remaining Tottenham supporters booing the efforts of their players on the pitch. Only after that third goal did Spurs attempt their second shot on target, with their only other attempt on target coming in the first half added time.

Not since 1976-77 have Tottenham suffered relegation from the English top-flight, but following this latest defeat, there are serious threats of a drop down to the Championship.

This dominant win saw Forest leapfrog Tottenham in the Premier League table and move two points above them with seven games left to play. The only positive for Spurs today is that West Ham also lost, going down at Aston Villa, to remain one place below them in the relegation zone.

Before kick-off, Spurs were given a 12.8% chance of relegation from the Premier League this season. Now, after this latest demoralising defeat, that projected chance has risen to 23.3% with the Opta supercomputer.

Tottenham are the only side without a Premier League win so far in 2026, drawing five and losing eight of their 13 games. In fact, in their top-flight league history, only from December 1934 to April 1935 (16) have they ever gone longer without winning.

Tudor’s appointment as interim manager on 14 February was supposed to reinvigorate Spurs in their fight against relegation. Instead, the Croatian has led them into deeper trouble, winning the fewest points of any Premier League club across his five-game tenure (1).

With three weeks until their next league game, a trip to Sunderland on 12 April, he might not get a chance to take charge of a sixth.

Our Opta match centre delivers you all the Tottenham Hotspur vs Nottingham Forest stats from their Premier League meeting at the Tottenham Hotspur Stadium on Sunday 22 March 2026.

The match centre below includes team and player stats, expected goals data, passing networks, an Opta chalkboard and more. It gives you everything you need to do your own match analysis.

Underneath the match centre you can find the official Opta stats on the game as well.

Tottenham 0-3 Nottingham Forest Post-Match Facts

Tottenham haven’t won any of their last 13 league matches (D5 L8), equaling their second longest winless run in league competition in their history (also 13 in November 1912). They’ve only had a longer run once before, going 16 without a victory between December 1934 and April 1935.

Tottenham have won just 30 points from 31 Premier League games this season – accounting for 3pts/win all-time, this is their joint-lowest return after 31 games of a league campaign, along with 1914-15 (30).

Nottingham Forest have achieved a league double over Tottenham in consecutive seasons for just the second time (2024-25 and 2025-26), after doing so in both 1995-96 and 1996-97.

Across spells with Juventus and current club Tottenham, Igor Tudor hasn’t won any of his last 10 league matches as manager (D4 L6) – the longest run of his career.

This was just the third time that Tottenham have lost by 3+ goals at home to a side starting the day in 17th or lower in the Premier League table, along with 0-3 defeats to West Ham in October 2013 and Sheffield Wednesday in August 1998.

Tottenham Hotspur and Newcastle United will be hoping to get their ailing campaigns back on track on Tuesday. We look ahead to this Premier League clash with our Tottenham vs Newcastle prediction and preview.

Tottenham vs Newcastle: The Key Stats

Tottenham are slightly more likely to win, according to the Opta supercomputer. They won 40.7% of the pre-game simulations compared to Newcastle’s 32.6% win rate.

Since winning four of their first five home Premier League matches in the 2024-25 season, Tottenham have won just four out of their last 26 games on their own turf (D7 L15).

Dominic Solanke has scored 13 goals in his last 19 home Premier League starts and found the net in each of his three previous encounters with Newcastle (four goals).

Tottenham Hotspur host Newcastle United in the Premier League on Tuesday in a match that could be pivotal in the futures of both managers.

The pressure on Thomas Frank has been increasing in a disappointing campaign, with a 2-0 defeat at Manchester United on Saturday leaving Tottenham just six points clear of the relegation zone.

Cristian Romero’s latest red card in the opening half an hour at Old Trafford made getting something from the game far more difficult; the Argentina international became the first player to be dismissed twice in the Premier League this season, meaning he will now serve a four-game ban.

Romero apologised to his team-mates in the dressing room, but that will be of little consolation after goals from Bryan Mbeumo and Bruno Fernandes meant Spurs’ search for a first Premier League win of 2026 remains ongoing.

The result will have been even more disappointing given the visitors produced a stirring second-half comeback from two goals down to earn a point with a 2-2 draw against Manchester City in their prior outing, albeit with 11 men.

And Frank does not have a strong record against his counterpart on Tuesday, Eddie Howe. The Dane has only won one of their nine meetings in the Premier League.

Howe will be eager to get the better of Frank again after Newcastle were booed off following a 3-2 loss at home to Brentford on Saturday, which came in the wake of a 4-1 defeat at Liverpool as well as their EFL Cup defence ending with a heavy semi-final elimination at the hands of Man City on Wednesday (5-1 on aggregate).

The Magpies took a first-half lead against Brentford at St James’ Park through Sven Botman, and levelled to 2-2 when Bruno Guimarães scored from the spot, but succumbed to a third straight Premier League loss when Dango Ouattara sealed victory for the Bees late on.

Howe’s side have now dropped 19 points from winning positions this season, with the former Bournemouth boss remarking after the game: “I’m obviously not doing my job well enough.”

Newcastle are now just 10 points clear of the bottom three, meaning they are as close to the relegation zone as they are to fifth place, which is expected to be the final Champions League qualifying spot.

If they are to turn things around against Tottenham, Guimarães will likely play a key role. The Brazilian has now scored 10 goals in his last nine top-flight home games (7 goals, 3 assists) – more than any other player in the competition since the start of October.

Newcastle will hope to have Anthony Gordon – who has been involved in more Premier League goals against Spurs than he has versus any other team (five – three goals, two assists) – and Lewis Miley available once again following injury, but Tino Livramento and Fabian Schar remain sidelined.

In addition to Romero’s suspension, Tottenham have concerns over the fitness of Destiny Udogie after the left-back was forced off with a hamstring issue early in the second half in Manchester. Brazilian teenager Souza replaced him to make his Spurs debut, and could be handed his first start for the club here.

Tottenham vs Newcastle Head-to-Head

No Premier League match between Tottenham and Newcastle – and there have been 61 of them – has ever finished goalless, which is a record. There have been 196 goals across those fixtures, making it the fourth-highest-scoring fixture in the competition’s history.

Spurs are enduring a poor run against Newcastle, losing five of their last seven top-flight meetings. That is only one fewer defeat than they had suffered in the 23 prior matches against the Magpies.

That recent record means Newcastle have won more Premier League games against Spurs than they have against any other team (27, level with Aston Villa). However, the Magpies have only been victorious twice in their past 15 matches on the road in the top flight.

Romero will be a big miss, especially as it was his two goals in the reverse fixture in December that earned Spurs a point. The Argentine first equalised after Guimarães had given Newcastle the lead, and did so again in the 95th minute following Gordon scoring from the spot.

Tottenham vs Newcastle Prediction

It is tough to know what you are going to get from Tottenham in the Frank era, but they came out on top in 40.7% of the Opta supercomputer’s simulations.

They are by no means clear favourites, though, with our projections giving Newcastle a 33.6% chance of snatching all three points in north London, leaving a 26.7% possibility of a draw.

Tottenham vs Newcastle Predicted Lineups

Tottenham: Guglielmo Vicario, Archie Gray, Radu Dragusin, Micky van de Ven, Souza, João Palhinha, Pape Sarr, Conor Gallagher, Wilson Odobert, Xavi Simons, Dominic Solanke.

Head Coach: Thomas Frank

Newcastle United: Nick Pope, Kieran Trippier, Malick Thiaw, Dan Burn, Luke Hall, Sandro Tonali, Joe Willock, Jacob Ramsey, Anthony Elanga, Harvey Barnes, Nick Woltemade.

Head Coach: Eddie Howe

Opta Power Rankings

The Opta Power Rankings are a global team ranking system. They assign an ability score to over 15,000 domestic football teams. This score is on a scale between zero and 100, where zero is the worst-ranked team in the world and 100 is the best team in the world.

Ahead of kick-off at the Tottenham Hotspur Stadium on Tuesday, here is the Opta Power Ranking for both sides.

Manchester United won their fourth Premier League game in succession following another controlled performance against Tottenham Hotspur at Old Trafford, with Bruno Fernandes yet again playing a key role.

Manchester United defeated Tottenham Hotspur 2-0 at Old Trafford in Saturday’s early kick-off to make it four wins from four under interim boss Michael Carrick.

Bruno Fernandes capped off another impressive United performance, scoring a goal nine minutes from time to hit another landmark at the club.

After scoring in the second half, Fernandes has now been directly involved in 200 goals (104 goals, 86 assists) in 314 games in all competitions for United, with only Wayne Rooney (295 games) reaching this milestone in fewer matches for the club in the Premier League era.

Bryan Mbeumo had given the home side a first-half lead on 38 minutes, but only after Tottenham had been reduced to 10 men following Cristian Romero‘s red card.

Michael Carrick named an unchanged starting XI from last weekend’s last-gasp win over Fulham, meaning he’s already named more unchanged lineups (2) in four games than Ruben Amorim did in 47 games in charge (1).

It was very even start to the match, with both sides creating chances. There were 10 shots (five each) in the first 20 minutes, with only Brighton vs Nottingham Forest (11) in November having more shots in the opening 20 minutes of a Premier League match this season.

Tottenham looked bright, but a reckless tackle from captain Romero on Casemiro left the Brazilian in a heap. Referee Michael Oliver had no option but to produce the red card, doing so without hesitation.

It was the Argentine defender’s second red card of the season already, having also been dismissed versus Liverpool in December, meaning he’ll now miss four games and add to the plethora of unavailable players for Thomas Frank’s side. In fact, since making his Tottenham debut in August 2021, Romero has been sent off six times in all competitions, more than any other Premier League player during this period.

Just nine minutes later, United took the lead. A brilliant corner routine saw Fernandes play the ball low to Kobbie Mainoo, before the young midfielder flicked the ball with a no-look pass to the edge of the box to Mbeumo. The Man Utd forward, in acres of space, sent a low strike past Guglielmo Vicario to score his ninth Premier League goal of the season.

It was his sixth goal in his last six league appearances against Spurs, with that (across a total of nine games) more than against any other opponent in the Premier League.

United came close to doubling their league minutes later, but Casemiro, who was making his 100th Premier League appearance in this match, saw his powerful header superbly tipped over the bar by Vicario.

Vicario made further smart stops from both Luke Shaw and Diogo Dalot in the opening 15 minutes of the second half, but saw yet another teammate come down with injury, as Destiny Udogie was forced off and replaced by debutant Souza.

Despite numerous attempts at goal, United couldn’t find a second goal of the game against Tottenham’s 10 men until the 81st minute, when Fernandes stole in at the back post to shin the ball into the net.

Overall, Fernandes either had (eight) or created (six) 14 of Manchester United’s shots in this match – the most by any player in a Premier League game this season.

Not only did they end a six-game winless streak against Spurs in the Premier League, but this victory also means United are on their best winning run since February 2024 under Erik ten Hag. It’s also eight league games unbeaten in league competition, with the Red Devils enjoying their best such run since an eight-game sequence under Ralf Rangnick in February 2022.

Manchester United have got their swagger back.

Our Opta match centre delivers you all the Manchester United vs Tottenham stats from their Premier League meeting at Old Trafford on Saturday 7 February 2026.

The match centre below includes team and player stats, expected goals data, passing networks, an Opta chalkboard and more. It gives you everything you need to do your own match analysis.

Underneath the match centre you can find the official Opta stats on the game as well.

Manchester United vs Tottenham Post-Match Facts

Manchester United have won four Premier League games in a row for the first time since February 2024 under Erik ten Hag and are now unbeaten in their last eight (W5 D3), their longest run since January-February 2022, under Ralf Rangnick (W4 D4).

Tottenham are now winless across their last seven Premier League games (D4 L3), their third such run since the start of the 2024-25 season; previously, they hadn’t gone as many matches without a win since May-October 2008 (a run of 9).

Bryan Mbeumo’s first-half goal was his sixth against Tottenham Hotspur in the Premier League, his most against any opponent in the competition.

Cristian Romero became the first player to be sent off twice in the Premier League this season. His red card today was his fourth in the Premier League since he joined Tottenham Hotspur in 2021, the most of any player during this period and the joint-most of anyone for Spurs in the competition overall (also Younes Kaboul).

Bruno Fernandes registered his 200th goal involvement for Manchester United in all competitions (104 goals, 96 assists), doing so in his 314th game for the club, with only Wayne Rooney (295) having taken fewer matches to reach that landmark for the Red Devils in the Premier League era.